20180405-辉立证券-Chic_Republic_23页_3mb
报告摘要
CHIC Republic Summary
Core Content
CHIC Republic is a home fashion store chain in Thailand, founded in 2009 by Mr. Kijja Pattamasattayasonthi, a seasoned professional with over 30 years of experience in the furniture and home décor industry. The company operates large, stand-alone stores offering a wide range of products, including furniture, home décor, household items, decorative lights, and mattresses & bedding, under two main brands: 'Chic' and 'Rina Hey'.
Main Points
Brand Strategy
- Chic: Targets the mid-to-upper segment of the furniture and home décor market with unique designs made of natural wood. It offers lower prices than premium brands like Pinski, Luxe Style, and Trendy Life.
- Rina Hey: Targets the mid-to-low end segment with affordable prices and a simple, loft-style design. Launched in 2016, it complements the 'Chic' brand by catering to a broader customer base.
Store Network
- As of end-2017, CHIC had 4 stores in Bangkok (Praditmanutham, Bangna, Ratchapruek) and 1 in Pattaya.
- Each store has a selling area between 6,500 and 12,000 sq.m.
- The Ratchapruek branch is the largest with a selling space of 12,220 sq.m.
Revenue Streams
- In-store sales: The main revenue source, contributing over 70% of total revenue in FY17.
- Project sales: Involves selling ready-to-assemble or custom-designed furniture to residential projects.
- Retail space rental: Leasing parts of its stores to other brands like McDonald's, Starbucks, and various restaurants, enhancing foot traffic and revenue diversity.
Key Financials (FY16-FY18E)
| Metric | FY16 | FY17 | FY18E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales (Btmn) | 698 | 622 | 718 |
| Net Profit (Btmn) | 52 | 32 | 82 |
| EPS (Bt) | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| P/E (X) | 38.0 | 60.7 | 32.8 |
| BVPS (Bt) | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.80 |
| P/B (X) | 3.5 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| Dividend Yield (%) | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| ROE (%) | 10.46 | 5.84 | 9.98 |
| Debt/Equity (X) | 1.25 | 1.07 | 0.45 |
Expansion and Investment Plans
CHIC plans to use IPO proceeds for the following:
- Domestic Expansion: Open 5 new stores within 5 years, including:
- Ramintra (Bangkok): Expected to open in 2019 with a 9,500 sq.m. selling area and 4 retail shops.
- Udon Thani: Expected to open in 2020 with a 6,500 sq.m. selling area and 4 retail shops.
- Chiang Mai: Planning to open with an estimated investment of Bt220mn.
- Overseas Expansion: Open its first overseas store in Cambodia in 3QFY18 at Aeon Mall Sen Sok City in Phnom Penh, with an estimated construction budget of Bt30mn and working capital of Bt8mn.
- E-commerce Development: Launch an e-commerce platform as part of its O2O marketing strategy, focusing on the 'Rina Hey' brand initially.
Earnings Outlook
- FY17: Net profit declined by 37.3% due to lower project sales and higher operating costs.
- FY18: Strong recovery expected with a 151% year-over-year (y-y) profit increase to Bt82mn.
- FY19-FY21: Projected CAGR of 19.5% for total revenue and 48.0% for net profit, driven by store expansion and digital initiatives.
Valuation
- Target Price: Bt1.97/share, based on DCF valuation with WACC of 11.6% and terminal growth of 1.2%.
- P/E Ratio: 32.8x for FY18, aligning with the commerce sector's average. This is expected to drop to 20.4x in FY19 as growth normalizes.
Investment Thesis
- CHIC is positioned as a high-end furniture retailer with a unique product offering and a strong brand identity.
- Its focus on product differentiation and design strategies allows it to capture a diverse customer base.
- The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing property market, especially in Bangkok and other major provinces.
- The expansion into e-commerce and overseas markets is expected to enhance brand awareness, economies of scale, and profitability.
Competitive Landscape
- CHIC faces competition from major players like IKEA, SB Furniture, Index Living Mall, and Modernform.
- Despite the competition, CHIC has growth potential due to the relatively small size of the high-end furniture segment in Thailand (only 8% of the total market value).
- The company's unique style and value proposition should help it stand out in the market.
Conclusion
CHIC Republic is a promising player in Thailand's furniture and home décor market, with a clear strategy for growth through store expansion, e-commerce development, and overseas ventures. Its unique product lines, strong brand positioning, and recovery in earnings make it an attractive investment opportunity.
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