2025-01-19-世界经济论坛-2025年全球风险报告（英）-世界经济论坛_104页_10mb

Summary of The Global Risks Report 2025

Introduction:
The World Economic Forum's Global Risks Report 2025 examines the evolving landscape of global risks across three timeframes: immediate-term (2025), short/medium-term (2027 outlook), and the longer-term (2035 outlook). The report highlights that a key challenge today is the erosion of multilateralism and growing geopolitical fragility, with national security concerns increasingly dominating agendas.

Current Risk Landscape Immediate and Short-Term:
State-based armed conflict, Geoeconomic confrontation, and Misinformation and disinformation rank highest for 2025 risks. Environmental risks such as Extreme weather events, Biodiversity loss, and resource shortages rise significantly over the coming years. Societal risks, particularly those related to Inequality and Societal polarization also dominate, worsening friction and hindering global cohesion. Among key business risks, short-term concerns have shifted from Inflation to Geoeconomic confrontation and Digital/Emerging risks, with Crime/Illicit activities also prominent.

Long-Term Risks to 2035:
Environmental risks become overwhelmingly dominant, with Extreme weather events and Biodiversity loss now leading long-term concerns. Many risks show severe deterioration over the 10-year timeframe. Climate change, while still tied for top rank, no longer saturates all risk perception volatility. Biotech and AI advancements bring significant opportunities and risks, including potential weaponization. Super-ageing societies risk becoming the new global problem, with pension crises and care crunches. Super-divisions appear set to diminish multilateral goodwill and responses, with the UN's central role likely to continue weakening.

Role of Structural Forces:
Technological acceleration enables powerful new surveillance and autonomous systems but also serves as a vector for polarization and polarization. Geostrategic shifts create a world where multipolarity reinforces regional assertiveness, destabilizing global order. Climate change acts as an underlying driver of many environmental and socioeconomic risks, with early-warning systems still underdeveloped. Demographic bifurcation sets up nations with surplus youth versus those aging, comparable to the wider risks of climate disruption.

The Danger of Inaction:
Negating rules-based international cooperation underwinds positive change. Without cross-stakeholder measures, humanitarian crises intensify and geopolitical polarization worsens. Focusing only on economic growth risks exacerbating inequality while ignoring governance and environmental networks. Presenting a world that is
becoming more dangerous.

Conclusions and Recommendations:
Action today must emphasize multilateral treaties on climate, better leveraging of public-private partnerships on supply chains and Green Tech, significant investments in early-warning systems for natural disasters and pandemics, and regulations for frontier AI. Resolute moves to make supply chains more resilient, reduce energy use, and protect key water resources matter immediately. Political unity governing scientific progress and cooperation on environmental action is essential to avert a potentially catastrophic future.

Keywords: Global Risk Assessment, Geopolitical Instability, Climate Change, Technological Disruption, Multilateralism, Humanitarian Aid, Supply Chain Resilience, AI Governance, Pandemic Preparedness.