2017年Q2全球人才市场季刊（英文版）_7页_712kb

报告摘要

Global Talent Market Quarterly Report - Second Quarter 2017

Core Content Overview

The second quarter of 2017 shows a mixed outlook for the global talent market, with the Americas region leading the way in positive economic growth, while EMEA and APAC regions present varied trends. The report also highlights recent labor reforms in several countries and the growing importance of the "human cloud" in workforce solutions.

Americas Region

United States

Economic Outlook: GDP growth is expected to accelerate in the remainder of 2017, driven by consumer and business confidence.
Labor Market: The labor market continues to tighten, with unemployment reaching a nearly 10-year low.
Political Risks: Uncertainty surrounding US trade and immigration policies, as well as the future of NAFTA, affects investment and economic expansion.

Canada

Economic Outlook: The economy is forecast to see healthy growth in 2017, supported by a rebound in oil prices and solid export and consumption trends.
Labor Market: Employment growth remains strong, though earnings growth has not matched.

Brazil

Economic Outlook: After a protracted recession, Brazil's economy is forecast to stabilize in 2017 and return to growth in 2018.
Labor Market: Unemployment has soared above 12%, and labor market recovery will lag the economy.
Policy Changes: A new law allows unrestricted outsourcing and subcontracting, extending the maximum duration of temporary work contracts to nine months.

Mexico

Policy Changes: New amendments to the federal labor law abolish conciliation/arbitration boards, replacing them with federal and state labor courts. It also strengthens the right to collective bargaining.

EMEA Region

General Outlook

The outlook for EMEA is generally positive, but growth trends vary across key markets.
Uncertainties from Brexit and upcoming elections in the UK, Germany, and Italy cast a shadow over the region.

Germany

Economic Outlook: Maintains momentum in 2017, supported by strong domestic demand and export activity.
Labor Market: Job growth remains robust, and the unemployment rate is low despite the recent refugee influx.

France

Economic Outlook: The declining unemployment rate reached a five-year low in Q1 2017.
Policy Changes: Newly elected President Emmanuel Macron is expected to prioritize pro-business policies and labor market flexibility.

Russia

Economic Outlook: The economy rebounded at the end of 2016 but is projected to have sluggish growth in 2017.
Labor Market: Inflation is abating, which helps consumer outlook, but wage growth is modest and underemployment is rampant.

United Kingdom

Economic Outlook: The UK economy is expected to slow in 2017-18 due to heightened uncertainty from Brexit.
Labor Market: The labor market remained healthy in Q1 2017 but may show dampening effects in the future.

Switzerland

Economic Outlook: The Swiss economy has recovered from the 2015 franc devaluation and is expected to maintain strong growth in 2017.
Labor Market: Unemployment rates are low, and the rate is projected to fall below 3% by late 2018.
Policy Changes: The labor market is affected by the ripple effects of Brexit, with a slight deceleration expected in the coming years.

APAC Region

General Outlook: APAC continues to lead regional growth trends, supported by the growth engines of China and India.
China: Economic growth is expected to continue cooling in 2017, with potential instability from government reshuffling.
Japan: Stimulus plans are helping to prop up growth, with a tight labor market and historic low unemployment.
India: Robust growth is forecast, driven by private consumption, though a new goods and services tax may have a temporary impact.
Australia: Positive economic outlook due to new LNG and resource projects, with unemployment expected to remain just below 6%.
Key Policy Changes:
- Qatar: Implemented a new law requiring standard electronic employment contracts (e-Contracts) and became the first Gulf Cooperation Council state to implement a data protection law.
- Saudi Arabia: New legislation will impose monthly fees on private sector companies employing expatriates, starting in January 2018 and phased over three years.
- Hong Kong: Enacted a Code of Practice (CoP) for employment agencies to promote professionalism and service quality. An amendment bill for enforcement is expected later in the year.
- Singapore: The Retirement and Re-employment Bill improves the rights of older workers, making it unlawful to arbitrarily reduce salaries of those reaching 60.
- Taiwan: Amendments to the Labor Standards Act, including a five-day work week and updated regulations on annual leave, holidays, and rest times, took effect in January 2017.

Global Talent Spotlight: Women at Work

Key Findings

Labor Force Participation: Half of women worldwide are not in the labor force, but many express a desire to work.
Work Preferences: Younger women are more likely to prefer working in some capacity.
Challenges:
- Work/family balance is a top concern in every region.
- Other challenges vary by geography, including lack of affordable care, unequal pay, and unfair treatment.

Regional Trends

Global Trends: Only 27% of women globally say they do not want to work at any kind of paid job.
Policy Focus: The report highlights the need for better support and policies to address the challenges women face in the workforce.

Workforce Solutions Spotlight: The Human Cloud

Definition

The "human cloud" refers to the growing use of flexible and contingent workforce models, including online staffing platforms, online work services, and crowdsourcing.

Business Models

Online Staffing Platforms: Direct legal relationships between managers and workers.
Online Work Services: Platforms organize and manage freelance workforces to deliver products or services (e.g., Uber).
Crowdsourcing: Firms use micro-tasks and contest-based work performed by independent workers.

Importance

The human cloud is becoming increasingly important as employers seek more flexible talent solutions.
Awareness and usage of online staffing models are growing rapidly.

Key Statistics

Unemployment in Brazil: Surpassed 12% in 2017.
Unemployment in Switzerland: Projected to fall below 3% by late 2018.
Unemployment in the US: Nearly 10-year low.
Unemployment in France: Fell to a five-year low in Q1 2017.
Unemployment in Germany: Remains low despite refugee influx.
Unemployment in Japan: At historic lows.
Unemployment in Australia: Expected to remain just below 6%.
Unemployment in Venezuela: Projected to surpass 16% in 2017.

Conclusion

The global talent market in Q2 2017 is marked by regional disparities and evolving labor policies. While the Americas show strong growth, EMEA and APAC regions present mixed economic and labor market conditions. The human cloud is reshaping how employers access and manage talent, emphasizing the need for adaptability and innovation in workforce strategies.

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