2025-06-13-花旗集团-药明康德(300759)_药石科技(300759.SZ)_基于估值将A股评级上调至买入;前景乐观_12页_443kb
报告摘要
Citigroup Research: Pharmaron (300759.SZ) - Upgrade to Buy
Key Takeaway
Citigroup upgrades Pharmaron's A-shares to Buy from Neutral and maintains a Buy rating on H-shares, citing valuation improvements and strong positive outlook.
Reasons for Upgrade
- Valuation: Shares corrected to 1.2-1.3x 2025E PEG, presenting attractive upside from target prices.
- Positive Outlook: Driven by better order trends (10%+ YoY new orders growth in 1Q25), innovative drug business development deals, secondary market enthusiasm, and potential easing of funding constraints for biotech.
- Fundamentals: Expected steady revenue growth (10-15%) and improved profitability in 2025 based on management guidance.
Target Prices and Financial Expectations
- A-Shares Target Price: RMB30, with expected total return of 17.8%.
- H-Shares Target Price: HK$33, with expected dividend yield of 0.9% and total return not specified.
- Key Metrics: Revenue growth of 12.4% in 2023A to a projected 13.0% in 2026E; net profit margin stable around 14-15%; valuation ratios show declining P/E and P/B.
Company Description
Pharmaron is a global leader in pharmaceutical R&D services, operating in China, US, and UK. It provides integrated contract research, development, and manufacturing services across drug discovery and development, aiming to build a fully-integrated platform.
Risks
- Downside Factors: Reduced customer demand, slower ramp-up of overseas facilities, US-China tensions, and intensifying competition.
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