ACCA-全球经济状况调查：2023年第三季度（英）-2023-20页_1mb

The Global Economic Conditions Survey (GECS) Q3 2023, conducted by ACCA and IMA, indicates a slight decline in global confidence for the second quarter in a row, though it remains above levels from the same quarter a year ago. Key indices such as New Orders, Employment, and Capital Expenditure showed modest decreases, aligning with slowing global economic momentum. Regionally, North America experienced a notable drop in confidence due to aggressive monetary tightening, while Asia-Pacific and Africa showed signs of improvement, and Western Europe faced continued challenges.

Confidence declined slightly, with fears about customer business failures rising marginally but supplier concerns easing. The report highlights risks including economic instability, talent shortages, regulatory issues, international conflicts, and cybersecurity, based on responses from accounting and finance professionals. Globally, economic indicators point to a hard landing risk from monetary policy lags, high inflation, and geopolitical factors, with China's weak recovery adding uncertainty.

North America stood out with sharp confidence and orders declines, while emerging markets and Africa showed varied responses. The overall outlook is cautious, with a high risk of further deterioration due to persistent inflation, rising bond yields, and supply chain pressures. Accountants are advised to assist firms in planning for these challenges.