2024-11-03-ACCA-全球经济状况调查_2024年第三季度（英）_10页_1mb

报告摘要

Accountants and CFOs confidence in global economy declined moderately in Q3 2024, reaching the lowest level since Q4 2023, below its historical average.
Forward-looking New Orders Index showed a moderate decline, further contributing to cautious sentiment.
The fatality of ongoing geopolitical risks and concerns about potential recessions complicate the outlook.

Global confidence among accountants and CFOs declined moderately, bringing them below their historical averages.
Capital Expenditure and Employment indices showed similar moderation declines, with varying regional impacts.
Cost pressures among businesses registered some easing compared to previous quarters.

Economic Inflation, Recession, Interest Rates remain the most consistent top priority globally.
Initial concerns about regulatory and compliance/legal issues are rising, especially in financial services.
Geopolitical instability, technology-related risks, and climate change continue ranking among the top concerns, reflecting high perceived stakes.

North America: Confidence is below average. Supportive policies and potential rate cuts by central banks offset worries.
Asia-Pacific: Confidence fell sharply, erasing gains from earlier in 2024. Concerns about China's performance and falling new orders weighed heavily.
Western Europe: Expressed mixed results; confidence significantly below average, especially in the UK. Policies and monetary easing were noted.
Middle East: Moderate confidence rise reported, potentially linked to non-oil sector resilience and anticipated U.S. policy shifts.
South Asia: Confidence hit new highs above average, driven by strong growth expectations among key economies like India.
Africa: Most indices declined, but confidence has mirrored overall trends. Inflation remains a challenge requiring policy interventions.

Within financial services, regulatory change and economic risks are consistently ranked as the highest priority among risk sections. Other concerns like cybersecurity, fraud, and climate change are under increasing scrutiny.

Global economic growth appears to be slowing, though few forecast the worst outcomes so far.
Central banks' support systems, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary easing, may mitigate some pressures but are subject to ongoing risks from government budgets and geopolitical escalations.

The overall tone reflects a global economy facing resilience but under increasing pressure from multiple fronts.

展开完整摘要