亚开行-将气候韧性纳入城市规划和政策制定：重点关注亚美尼亚、格鲁吉亚和乌兹别克斯坦（英）-2023.8-108页_4mb

ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK: Incorporating Climate Resilience in Urban Planning and Policy Making (Focus on Armenia, Georgia, and Uzbekistan)

Purpose:
This report provides climate risk assessments for national and selected urban areas in Armenia, Georgia, and Uzbekistan to support climate-resilient urban planning, policy making, and infrastructure design.

Key Findings:

1. Climate Trends:

   • Armenia, Georgia, Uzbekistan: Predicted increases in average temperatures, with significant risks from heatwaves and flooding due to extreme precipitation events.
   • Urban Centers: Concentrated risks in densely populated areas, including urban heat island effects and riverine flooding.
   • Georgia: Notable sea-level rise risks in coastal cities like Batumi.

2. Adaptation Measures:

   • Cross-Country: Promote nature-based solutions (e.g., green roofs, blue-green networks), integrate SUDS (Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems), and update building codes for climate resilience.
   • Infrastructure-Specific:
     • Transport: Strengthen drainage, use heat-resistant materials, and incorporate flood defenses.
     • Buildings: Enhance ventilation, insulation, and cooling systems to mitigate heat impacts.
     • Water/Sewage: Upgrade drainage capacity, separate stormwater systems, and implement water conservation measures.

3. Limitations of Risk Profiles:

   • Not suitable for precise local engineering or street-level planning.
   • Outputs are general tools for strategic planning, not a substitute for detailed studies.

Conclusion:

• The climate risk profiles serve as a foundational tool for policymakers, urban planners, and infrastructure developers to prioritize climate adaptation.
• Recommendations emphasize leveraging national adaptation plans, integrating early warning systems, and institutional reforms for resilience-building.

Disclaimer: Predictions reflect model uncertainties; worst-case scenarios (e.g., RCP85) should be considered to ensure robust resilience planning.