2023-09-17-亚开行-将气候韧性纳入城市规划和政策制定_重点关注亚美尼亚_格鲁吉亚和乌兹别克斯坦（英）_108页_4mb

Summary of Climate Resilience in Urban Planning and Policy Making for Armenia, Georgia, and Uzbekistan

Introduction/Background

This report, authored by the Asian Development Bank (ADB), focuses on incorporating climate resilience into urban planning and policy-making for Armenia, Georgia, and Uzbekistan. It presents high-level climate risk assessments at the national and city levels, providing guidance for infrastructure design, policy adaptation, and stakeholder engagement. The analyses are based on climate model projections and risk mapping techniques, supporting governments in fulfilling their climate commitments, such as nationally determined contributions (NDCs). Financial and technical support from ADB is facilitating implementation through targeted urban development projects.

Climate Trends and Risks (Per Country)

• Armenia: Projections indicate significant temperature increases by 2050, with moderate precipitation changes. Extreme heat waves, riverine flooding, and drought frequency are likely, especially in urban centers and western regions.
• Georgia: Most cities will experience rising temperatures and shifts in precipitation seasonality, with increased heat waves and flood risks. Coastal cities like Batumi face sea-level rise, which exacerbates coastal flooding.
• Uzbekistan: National-level analysis shows widespread temperature increases, with varying patterns across provinces (e.g., greatest rises in eastern cities). Flooding from intense rainfall is a key risk, alongside water stress and extreme cold events.

Adaptation Options and Recommendations

The report proposes practical measures to enhance urban resilience, including:

• Infrastructure design adjustments (e.g., incorporating sustainable urban drainage systems (SUDS) and blue-green infrastructure), green spaces, and heat-resistant materials.
• Early warning systems and community education programs for disaster preparedness.
• Institutional strengthening, capacity building, and risk-informed operation and maintenance (O&M) of urban infrastructure.
• Integration of ecosystem-based approaches, such as restoring natural water bodies or wetlands.
• Use of climate projections to guide large-scale spatial and land-use planning, while mitigating exposure to flood-prone areas through regulatory tools like zoning.

Limitations and Use of the Report

The climate risk profiles highlight uncertainties in climate projections and emission scenarios, advising users to avoid focusing on precise figures and instead interpret the data in aggregate as part of broader planning. Limitations include an inability to analyze street-level or localized risks; instead, detailed, context-specific data from local studies and stakeholder engagement should complement the profiles.

Conclusion

The report serves as a strategic decision-making tool for urban authorities, central governments, and development practitioners under climate change. By suggesting universally applicable actions, it supports climate-resilient urban growth for Armenia, Georgia, and Uzbekistan with alignment to regional cooperation frameworks.