> **来源:[研报客](https://pc.yanbaoke.cn)** 固定收益组 分析师:尹睿哲 (执业S1130525030009) yinruizhe@gjzq.com.cn 固定收益组 分析师:李豫泽 (执业S1130525030014) liyuze@gjzq.com.cn # 2月10日信用债异常成交跟踪 # 摘要 根据Wind数据,折价成交个券中,“23产融09”债券估值价格偏离幅度较大。净价上涨成交个券中,“23产融06”估值价格偏离程度靠前。净价上涨成交二永债中,“23农行二级资本债01B”估值价格偏离幅度较大;净价上涨成交商金债中,“25南海农商科创债”估值价格偏离幅度靠前。成交收益率高于 $5\%$ 的个券中,非银金融行业的债券排名靠前。 信用债估值收益变动主要分布在[-5,0)区间。非金信用债成交期限主要分布在2至3年,其中0.5至1年期品种折价成交占比最高;二永债成交期限主要分布在4至5年,其中1年内品种折价成交占比最高。分行业看,房地产行业的债券平均估值价格偏离最大。 # 风险提示 统计数据偏差或遗漏,高估值个券出现信用风险 图表1:折价成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">大幅折价个券成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>行业</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>23产融09</td><td>2.59</td><td>-0.41</td><td>79.36</td><td>19.66</td><td>13.32</td><td>13.12</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>183</td></tr><tr><td>24内投02</td><td>3.38</td><td>-0.22</td><td>102.21</td><td>6.96</td><td>2.65</td><td>2.58</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>3069</td></tr><tr><td>24汇兴03</td><td>3.63</td><td>-0.22</td><td>105.03</td><td>6.43</td><td>2.79</td><td>2.72</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>2109</td></tr><tr><td>24交通01</td><td>3.35</td><td>-0.22</td><td>100.62</td><td>7.02</td><td>3.59</td><td>3.52</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>1509</td></tr><tr><td>24产融04</td><td>2.97</td><td>-0.21</td><td>76.32</td><td>9.04</td><td>13.13</td><td>13.04</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>450</td></tr><tr><td>24产融02</td><td>2.92</td><td>-0.20</td><td>76.76</td><td>9.11</td><td>13.12</td><td>13.03</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>3156</td></tr><tr><td>G22富源2</td><td>3.63</td><td>-0.20</td><td>86.66</td><td>9.60</td><td>2.87</td><td>2.77</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>726</td></tr><tr><td>25转型K1</td><td>4.59</td><td>-0.19</td><td>100.42</td><td>4.34</td><td>2.54</td><td>2.50</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>3011</td></tr><tr><td>24内江投资MTN001</td><td>3.08</td><td>-0.18</td><td>103.52</td><td>6.07</td><td>2.43</td><td>2.37</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>6200</td></tr><tr><td>26济城G4</td><td>9.95</td><td>-0.16</td><td>100.34</td><td>1.82</td><td>2.85</td><td>2.83</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>1004</td></tr><tr><td>26象屿MTN001B</td><td>2.93</td><td>-0.12</td><td>99.86</td><td>4.47</td><td>2.79</td><td>2.75</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>商贸零售</td><td>2000</td></tr><tr><td>25朝阳国资MTN002A</td><td>2.55</td><td>-0.12</td><td>100.20</td><td>4.78</td><td>1.92</td><td>1.87</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>1003</td></tr><tr><td>25中鼎股份MTN001(科创债)</td><td>2.75</td><td>-0.11</td><td>98.28</td><td>4.40</td><td>2.53</td><td>2.49</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>汽车</td><td>1963</td></tr><tr><td>25杭金03</td><td>4.41</td><td>-0.11</td><td>99.71</td><td>2.74</td><td>2.05</td><td>2.02</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>9970</td></tr><tr><td>24蜀道02</td><td>13.59</td><td>-0.10</td><td>100.38</td><td>0.92</td><td>2.59</td><td>2.58</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>601</td></tr><tr><td>24内投03</td><td>1.73</td><td>-0.09</td><td>103.88</td><td>5.03</td><td>2.30</td><td>2.25</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>4154</td></tr><tr><td>22进贤发展债01</td><td>2.96</td><td>-0.09</td><td>61.59</td><td>4.37</td><td>2.00</td><td>1.96</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1229</td></tr><tr><td>26浙投01</td><td>4.96</td><td>-0.08</td><td>100.06</td><td>1.75</td><td>2.05</td><td>2.03</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>社会服务</td><td>10002</td></tr><tr><td>20兖煤03</td><td>4.08</td><td>-0.08</td><td>109.25</td><td>2.01</td><td>1.91</td><td>1.89</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>煤炭</td><td>4370</td></tr><tr><td>21桂城01</td><td>1.99</td><td>-0.07</td><td>40.74</td><td>4.68</td><td>2.02</td><td>1.98</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>81</td></tr><tr><td>24高创投资PPN001</td><td>3.24</td><td>-0.07</td><td>108.07</td><td>2.13</td><td>2.66</td><td>2.64</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>4997</td></tr><tr><td>24中燃投资MTN004</td><td>3.46</td><td>-0.07</td><td>100.54</td><td>2.09</td><td>2.07</td><td>2.04</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>公用事业</td><td>2010</td></tr><tr><td>24城资03</td><td>3.24</td><td>-0.07</td><td>106.13</td><td>2.13</td><td>2.76</td><td>2.74</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>3151</td></tr><tr><td>24潍海01</td><td>3.24</td><td>-0.07</td><td>107.36</td><td>2.13</td><td>3.31</td><td>3.29</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>1826</td></tr><tr><td>24巴中04</td><td>3.18</td><td>-0.07</td><td>106.62</td><td>2.15</td><td>2.75</td><td>2.72</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>4477</td></tr><tr><td>24綦江01</td><td>3.21</td><td>-0.07</td><td>105.50</td><td>2.15</td><td>2.65</td><td>2.63</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1583</td></tr><tr><td>24寿光02</td><td>3.18</td><td>-0.07</td><td>105.88</td><td>2.15</td><td>2.65</td><td>2.62</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>1057</td></tr><tr><td>24盘开01</td><td>3.26</td><td>-0.07</td><td>106.01</td><td>2.11</td><td>3.07</td><td>3.05</td><td>AA-</td><td></td><td>城投</td><td>1051</td></tr><tr><td>24邹平02</td><td>3.19</td><td>-0.07</td><td>105.69</td><td>2.15</td><td>2.80</td><td>2.78</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1566</td></tr><tr><td>24黔江02</td><td>3.28</td><td>-0.07</td><td>104.26</td><td>2.10</td><td>2.62</td><td>2.60</td><td>AA-</td><td></td><td>城投</td><td>623</td></tr><tr><td>24渝南02</td><td>3.26</td><td>-0.07</td><td>104.10</td><td>2.11</td><td>2.67</td><td>2.65</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1042</td></tr><tr><td>24安居01</td><td>3.13</td><td>-0.07</td><td>108.67</td><td>2.13</td><td>3.33</td><td>3.31</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>综合</td><td>2174</td></tr><tr><td>24泰丰02</td><td>3.24</td><td>-0.07</td><td>106.39</td><td>2.13</td><td>3.76</td><td>3.74</td><td>AA-</td><td></td><td>综合</td><td>261</td></tr><tr><td>24天港01</td><td>3.32</td><td>-0.07</td><td>102.86</td><td>2.05</td><td>2.58</td><td>2.56</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>1023</td></tr><tr><td>24文蓝01</td><td>3.36</td><td>-0.07</td><td>105.20</td><td>2.00</td><td>2.85</td><td>2.83</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>5214</td></tr><tr><td>24市中01</td><td>3.10</td><td>-0.07</td><td>106.07</td><td>2.11</td><td>2.88</td><td>2.86</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>2118</td></tr><tr><td>24西经01</td><td>3.34</td><td>-0.07</td><td>103.61</td><td>2.02</td><td>3.04</td><td>3.02</td><td>AA-</td><td></td><td>城投</td><td>5303</td></tr><tr><td>24梧城02</td><td>3.09</td><td>-0.07</td><td>105.81</td><td>2.11</td><td>2.47</td><td>2.45</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>1049</td></tr><tr><td>24济源01</td><td>3.35</td><td>-0.07</td><td>102.39</td><td>2.02</td><td>2.49</td><td>2.47</td><td>AA-</td><td></td><td>城投</td><td>2048</td></tr><tr><td>24开乾02</td><td>3.35</td><td>-0.07</td><td>102.70</td><td>2.01</td><td>2.65</td><td>2.63</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1025</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表2:净价上涨个券成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">大幅正偏离个券成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>行业</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>23产融06</td><td>0.38</td><td>0.77</td><td>95.53</td><td>-200.20</td><td>15.17</td><td>17.17</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>114</td></tr><tr><td>23产融10</td><td>0.75</td><td>0.70</td><td>91.11</td><td>-100.09</td><td>16.30</td><td>17.30</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>1196</td></tr><tr><td>23产融05</td><td>0.32</td><td>0.67</td><td>96.18</td><td>-200.23</td><td>15.14</td><td>17.15</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>2321</td></tr><tr><td>23产融08</td><td>0.59</td><td>0.58</td><td>92.81</td><td>-99.97</td><td>16.26</td><td>17.26</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>979</td></tr><tr><td>25开封城投MTN002</td><td>4.60</td><td>0.32</td><td>101.85</td><td>-7.60</td><td>2.96</td><td>3.04</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>2036</td></tr><tr><td>25开封城投MTN001</td><td>4.43</td><td>0.32</td><td>99.47</td><td>-7.76</td><td>2.93</td><td>3.00</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>984</td></tr><tr><td>25莱阳V1</td><td>4.85</td><td>0.24</td><td>101.74</td><td>-5.42</td><td>3.09</td><td>3.14</td><td>AA-</td><td></td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>2646</td></tr><tr><td>25齐康01</td><td>4.47</td><td>0.24</td><td>100.82</td><td>-5.75</td><td>2.78</td><td>2.84</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>综合</td><td>4034</td></tr><tr><td>26乌建发PPN001</td><td>4.97</td><td>0.23</td><td>100.02</td><td>-4.96</td><td>2.78</td><td>2.83</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>2000</td></tr><tr><td>25邢路01</td><td>4.79</td><td>0.22</td><td>100.49</td><td>-5.01</td><td>2.89</td><td>2.94</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>3318</td></tr><tr><td>25郑交03</td><td>4.80</td><td>0.22</td><td>100.57</td><td>-5.01</td><td>2.94</td><td>2.99</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>交通运输</td><td>2013</td></tr><tr><td>25建发03</td><td>4.61</td><td>0.22</td><td>100.98</td><td>-5.06</td><td>2.70</td><td>2.75</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>2006</td></tr><tr><td>25许昌03</td><td>4.62</td><td>0.21</td><td>101.66</td><td>-5.06</td><td>2.80</td><td>2.85</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>2035</td></tr><tr><td>25利诚01</td><td>2.88</td><td>0.20</td><td>100.44</td><td>-7.49</td><td>2.72</td><td>2.79</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>社会服务</td><td>2022</td></tr><tr><td>25青资04</td><td>2.70</td><td>0.19</td><td>100.87</td><td>-7.38</td><td>3.01</td><td>3.08</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>1215</td></tr><tr><td>25扬子国资MTN003</td><td>9.18</td><td>0.19</td><td>99.56</td><td>-2.30</td><td>2.50</td><td>2.53</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>994</td></tr><tr><td>26诚通控股MTN001A(科创债)</td><td>9.96</td><td>0.19</td><td>100.22</td><td>-2.13</td><td>2.39</td><td>2.42</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>12008</td></tr><tr><td>24商古06</td><td>3.31</td><td>0.19</td><td>102.87</td><td>-6.02</td><td>2.44</td><td>2.50</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>6123</td></tr><tr><td>25贵安04</td><td>4.34</td><td>0.18</td><td>101.00</td><td>-4.62</td><td>3.25</td><td>3.29</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>3018</td></tr><tr><td>24赣交02</td><td>8.08</td><td>0.17</td><td>103.94</td><td>-2.32</td><td>2.25</td><td>2.27</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>4151</td></tr><tr><td>24金潼工业MTN001</td><td>3.51</td><td>0.17</td><td>101.29</td><td>-5.06</td><td>2.85</td><td>2.91</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>2019</td></tr><tr><td>24新浦04</td><td>1.68</td><td>0.16</td><td>103.73</td><td>-10.51</td><td>3.44</td><td>3.55</td><td>A+</td><td></td><td>城投</td><td>52</td></tr><tr><td>23产融04</td><td>0.03</td><td>0.16</td><td>99.94</td><td>-370.00</td><td>4.10</td><td>7.80</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>4473</td></tr><tr><td>25诚通控股MTN003稳增长扩投资专项</td><td>9.85</td><td>0.16</td><td>100.69</td><td>-1.83</td><td>2.39</td><td>2.41</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>10069</td></tr><tr><td>26武开01</td><td>2.96</td><td>0.16</td><td>100.15</td><td>-5.54</td><td>2.54</td><td>2.60</td><td>AA</td><td></td><td>基础化工</td><td>11006</td></tr><tr><td>25武金03</td><td>4.59</td><td>0.15</td><td>101.26</td><td>-3.58</td><td>2.50</td><td>2.54</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>1011</td></tr><tr><td>23深铁13</td><td>7.61</td><td>0.14</td><td>104.15</td><td>-2.13</td><td>2.65</td><td>2.67</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>2081</td></tr><tr><td>25电网MTN019</td><td>9.20</td><td>0.14</td><td>98.79</td><td>-1.70</td><td>2.27</td><td>2.28</td><td>AAA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>公用事业</td><td>16778</td></tr><tr><td>25电网MTN018</td><td>9.12</td><td>0.14</td><td>100.05</td><td>-1.68</td><td>2.26</td><td>2.28</td><td>AAA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>公用事业</td><td>7994</td></tr><tr><td>25电网MTN016</td><td>9.12</td><td>0.14</td><td>100.05</td><td>-1.68</td><td>2.26</td><td>2.28</td><td>AAA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>公用事业</td><td>1000</td></tr><tr><td>26华泰C2</td><td>4.92</td><td>0.14</td><td>100.46</td><td>-2.97</td><td>2.10</td><td>2.13</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>非银金融</td><td>5016</td></tr><tr><td>24京投K3</td><td>8.41</td><td>0.14</td><td>102.09</td><td>-1.82</td><td>2.22</td><td>2.24</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>51</td></tr><tr><td>25湘财01</td><td>2.53</td><td>0.14</td><td>100.60</td><td>-5.61</td><td>2.19</td><td>2.25</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>10048</td></tr><tr><td>24江西交投MTN010</td><td>8.41</td><td>0.14</td><td>102.08</td><td>-1.81</td><td>2.27</td><td>2.29</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>21420</td></tr><tr><td>23深铁05</td><td>7.37</td><td>0.13</td><td>104.90</td><td>-2.02</td><td>2.64</td><td>2.66</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>2096</td></tr><tr><td>23农行二级资本债01B</td><td>7.12</td><td>0.13</td><td>108.88</td><td>-2.10</td><td>2.25</td><td>2.27</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>银行</td><td>17386</td></tr><tr><td>25中石化MTN002</td><td>8.93</td><td>0.13</td><td>97.65</td><td>-1.56</td><td>2.25</td><td>2.27</td><td>AAA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>石油石化</td><td>974</td></tr><tr><td>25华泰C5</td><td>4.67</td><td>0.13</td><td>101.33</td><td>-2.87</td><td>2.08</td><td>2.11</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>非银金融</td><td>304</td></tr><tr><td>25武开04</td><td>2.19</td><td>0.12</td><td>100.93</td><td>-5.84</td><td>2.37</td><td>2.43</td><td>AA</td><td></td><td>基础化工</td><td>1008</td></tr><tr><td>24云能投MTN018</td><td>13.50</td><td>0.12</td><td>90.44</td><td>-1.11</td><td>3.92</td><td>3.94</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>3608</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表3:二永债成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">二永债成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>银行分类</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>23农行二级资本债01B</td><td>7.12</td><td>0.13</td><td>108.88</td><td>-2.10</td><td>2.25</td><td>2.27</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>17386</td></tr><tr><td>23农行二级资本债02B</td><td>7.60</td><td>0.11</td><td>107.49</td><td>-1.69</td><td>2.26</td><td>2.28</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>4285</td></tr><tr><td>25农行二级资本债04B(BC)</td><td>9.78</td><td>0.11</td><td>99.92</td><td>-1.26</td><td>2.41</td><td>2.42</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>9976</td></tr><tr><td>25农行二级资本债03B(BC)</td><td>9.61</td><td>0.10</td><td>100.78</td><td>-1.23</td><td>2.41</td><td>2.42</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>46297</td></tr><tr><td>25绵阳商行永续债01</td><td>4.85</td><td>0.10</td><td>100.11</td><td>-2.16</td><td>2.68</td><td>2.70</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>14000</td></tr><tr><td>25九江银行永续债01</td><td>4.82</td><td>0.09</td><td>99.28</td><td>-2.13</td><td>2.96</td><td>2.98</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>29724</td></tr><tr><td>25农行二级资本债02B(BC)</td><td>9.45</td><td>0.09</td><td>97.89</td><td>-1.11</td><td>2.37</td><td>2.38</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>41960</td></tr><tr><td>25农行二级资本债01B(BC)</td><td>9.35</td><td>0.09</td><td>97.76</td><td>-1.12</td><td>2.37</td><td>2.38</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>26342</td></tr><tr><td>25泉州银行永续债01</td><td>4.78</td><td>0.09</td><td>99.92</td><td>-2.09</td><td>2.62</td><td>2.64</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>2496</td></tr><tr><td>24农行二级资本债02B</td><td>8.21</td><td>0.08</td><td>101.48</td><td>-1.09</td><td>2.29</td><td>2.30</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>4056</td></tr><tr><td>25广发银行二级资本债01BC</td><td>4.85</td><td>0.08</td><td>100.40</td><td>-1.76</td><td>2.16</td><td>2.18</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>5017</td></tr><tr><td>24交行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.22</td><td>0.08</td><td>102.30</td><td>-1.09</td><td>2.29</td><td>2.30</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>1022</td></tr><tr><td>25日照银行永续债01</td><td>4.55</td><td>0.08</td><td>99.00</td><td>-1.85</td><td>2.63</td><td>2.65</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>744</td></tr><tr><td>25徽商银行二级资本债01</td><td>4.83</td><td>0.08</td><td>100.64</td><td>-1.74</td><td>2.24</td><td>2.26</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2011</td></tr><tr><td>25成都农商行二级资本债01</td><td>4.81</td><td>0.08</td><td>100.27</td><td>-1.72</td><td>2.24</td><td>2.26</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>农商行</td><td>11019</td></tr><tr><td>25长沙银行二级资本债01</td><td>4.81</td><td>0.08</td><td>100.54</td><td>-1.71</td><td>2.24</td><td>2.26</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>1005</td></tr><tr><td>25浦发银行二级资本债01A</td><td>4.78</td><td>0.07</td><td>100.30</td><td>-1.67</td><td>2.10</td><td>2.12</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>87192</td></tr><tr><td>22工行二级资本债04B</td><td>6.75</td><td>0.07</td><td>106.84</td><td>-1.27</td><td>2.24</td><td>2.25</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>94927</td></tr><tr><td>25恒丰银行二级资本债01</td><td>4.75</td><td>0.07</td><td>100.16</td><td>-1.63</td><td>2.31</td><td>2.33</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>161057</td></tr><tr><td>25威海银行永续债01</td><td>4.37</td><td>0.07</td><td>99.35</td><td>-1.73</td><td>2.56</td><td>2.57</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>8935</td></tr><tr><td>25湖南银行二级资本债01</td><td>4.72</td><td>0.07</td><td>100.53</td><td>-1.59</td><td>2.28</td><td>2.30</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>5023</td></tr><tr><td>24浦发银行二级资本债02B</td><td>8.84</td><td>0.07</td><td>99.68</td><td>-0.88</td><td>2.38</td><td>2.39</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>12949</td></tr><tr><td>22中行二级资本债02B</td><td>6.71</td><td>0.07</td><td>106.81</td><td>-1.19</td><td>2.23</td><td>2.25</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>73585</td></tr><tr><td>25中行二级资本债03A(BC)</td><td>4.87</td><td>0.07</td><td>100.75</td><td>-1.51</td><td>2.06</td><td>2.07</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>232588</td></tr><tr><td>25苏州银行二级资本债01</td><td>4.69</td><td>0.07</td><td>100.97</td><td>-1.55</td><td>2.23</td><td>2.24</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2826</td></tr><tr><td>25建行二级资本债03BC</td><td>4.83</td><td>0.07</td><td>100.85</td><td>-1.49</td><td>2.05</td><td>2.07</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>35266</td></tr><tr><td>25中行二级资本债02BC</td><td>4.79</td><td>0.07</td><td>100.49</td><td>-1.48</td><td>2.05</td><td>2.07</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>380555</td></tr><tr><td>25广州银行永续债01</td><td>4.43</td><td>0.06</td><td>99.56</td><td>-1.50</td><td>2.25</td><td>2.27</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>8954</td></tr><tr><td>24交行永续债01BC</td><td>3.55</td><td>0.06</td><td>101.25</td><td>-1.82</td><td>1.93</td><td>1.95</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>12143</td></tr><tr><td>25渤海银行永续债01</td><td>4.78</td><td>0.06</td><td>99.49</td><td>-1.34</td><td>2.48</td><td>2.50</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>748</td></tr><tr><td>25桂林银行永续债02</td><td>4.21</td><td>0.06</td><td>100.66</td><td>-1.54</td><td>2.63</td><td>2.65</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>1006</td></tr><tr><td>25河北银行永续债02</td><td>4.89</td><td>0.06</td><td>100.02</td><td>-1.31</td><td>2.45</td><td>2.46</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>751</td></tr><tr><td>25成都银行永续债01</td><td>4.53</td><td>0.06</td><td>99.88</td><td>-1.40</td><td>2.31</td><td>2.32</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>19963</td></tr><tr><td>25厦门银行永续债01</td><td>4.77</td><td>0.06</td><td>99.81</td><td>-1.34</td><td>2.36</td><td>2.38</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>11967</td></tr><tr><td>24工行永续债01</td><td>3.42</td><td>0.06</td><td>101.44</td><td>-1.86</td><td>1.91</td><td>1.93</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>18249</td></tr><tr><td>25长沙银行永续债01</td><td>4.76</td><td>0.06</td><td>100.04</td><td>-1.34</td><td>2.33</td><td>2.34</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>31526</td></tr><tr><td>25苏州银行永续债01</td><td>4.77</td><td>0.06</td><td>100.12</td><td>-1.34</td><td>2.33</td><td>2.35</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>22014</td></tr><tr><td>25华夏银行永续债01</td><td>4.81</td><td>0.06</td><td>100.42</td><td>-1.31</td><td>2.23</td><td>2.24</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>20061</td></tr><tr><td>25上海银行永续债01</td><td>4.84</td><td>0.06</td><td>100.77</td><td>-1.30</td><td>2.25</td><td>2.26</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>1007</td></tr><tr><td>25杭州银行永续债02</td><td>4.80</td><td>0.06</td><td>100.42</td><td>-1.30</td><td>2.23</td><td>2.24</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2007</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表4:商金债成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">商金债成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>银行分类</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>25南海农商科创债</td><td>4.52</td><td>0.05</td><td>99.84</td><td>-1.24</td><td>1.97</td><td>1.98</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>农商行</td><td>9931</td></tr><tr><td>25建行科创债01B(BC)</td><td>4.29</td><td>0.05</td><td>100.01</td><td>-1.18</td><td>1.76</td><td>1.77</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>3997</td></tr><tr><td>25邮储银行科创债01</td><td>4.53</td><td>0.05</td><td>100.08</td><td>-1.11</td><td>1.80</td><td>1.81</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>55000</td></tr><tr><td>25浙商银行债01B</td><td>4.02</td><td>0.04</td><td>100.05</td><td>-1.14</td><td>1.80</td><td>1.81</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>3998</td></tr><tr><td>25农业银行三农债02</td><td>3.95</td><td>0.04</td><td>100.28</td><td>-1.10</td><td>1.77</td><td>1.78</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>3007</td></tr><tr><td>25温州银行01</td><td>2.21</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.26</td><td>-1.11</td><td>1.83</td><td>1.84</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>8019</td></tr><tr><td>25温州银行债02</td><td>2.37</td><td>0.02</td><td>99.99</td><td>-0.91</td><td>1.84</td><td>1.85</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>9997</td></tr><tr><td>25平安银行科创债01BC</td><td>2.85</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.10</td><td>-0.38</td><td>1.82</td><td>1.82</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>10005</td></tr><tr><td>24湖州银行绿色债</td><td>1.54</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.49</td><td>-0.71</td><td>1.78</td><td>1.78</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>4019</td></tr><tr><td>25徽商银行小微债</td><td>2.84</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.17</td><td>-0.37</td><td>1.81</td><td>1.81</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>13018</td></tr><tr><td>25浦发银行03</td><td>2.84</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.25</td><td>-0.37</td><td>1.76</td><td>1.76</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>46105</td></tr><tr><td>25兴业银行债01</td><td>2.81</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.23</td><td>-0.34</td><td>1.75</td><td>1.76</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>23049</td></tr><tr><td>25南京银行债02BC</td><td>2.78</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.07</td><td>-0.31</td><td>1.77</td><td>1.78</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>8002</td></tr><tr><td>25光大银行债03</td><td>2.75</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.13</td><td>-0.28</td><td>1.75</td><td>1.75</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>32038</td></tr><tr><td>25湖南银行债01</td><td>2.49</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.01</td><td>-0.26</td><td>1.79</td><td>1.79</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>31000</td></tr><tr><td>25光大银行债02</td><td>2.41</td><td>0.01</td><td>99.92</td><td>-0.24</td><td>1.71</td><td>1.72</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>15984</td></tr><tr><td>25上海农商01</td><td>2.41</td><td>0.01</td><td>99.92</td><td>-0.24</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.74</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>农商行</td><td>999</td></tr><tr><td>25瑞丰农商行绿债01</td><td>2.62</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.05</td><td>-0.21</td><td>1.88</td><td>1.88</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>农商行</td><td>7001</td></tr><tr><td>25杭州银行01</td><td>2.35</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.02</td><td>-0.21</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>55006</td></tr><tr><td>25南京银行债01BC</td><td>2.60</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.33</td><td>-0.19</td><td>1.76</td><td>1.76</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>4013</td></tr><tr><td>25江西银行绿色债01</td><td>2.35</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.01</td><td>-0.19</td><td>1.80</td><td>1.81</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>21004</td></tr><tr><td>25浙商银行科创债01BC</td><td>2.27</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.85</td><td>-0.17</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>2995</td></tr><tr><td>25平安银行小微债01</td><td>2.27</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.02</td><td>-0.17</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>75020</td></tr><tr><td>24湖南银行债01</td><td>1.49</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.33</td><td>-0.30</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.73</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>1003</td></tr><tr><td>24顺德农商小微债01</td><td>1.50</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.36</td><td>-0.29</td><td>1.70</td><td>1.70</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>农商行</td><td>5018</td></tr><tr><td>25恒丰银行债02</td><td>2.28</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.04</td><td>-0.17</td><td>1.80</td><td>1.80</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>10005</td></tr><tr><td>25交通银行科创债01</td><td>2.26</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.94</td><td>-0.15</td><td>1.68</td><td>1.68</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>999</td></tr><tr><td>24北京农商行债01</td><td>1.36</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.54</td><td>-0.33</td><td>1.69</td><td>1.69</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>农商行</td><td>2011</td></tr><tr><td>24广州银行小微债01</td><td>1.54</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.60</td><td>-0.27</td><td>1.70</td><td>1.70</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>28172</td></tr><tr><td>24重庆银行小微债01</td><td>1.37</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.64</td><td>-0.32</td><td>1.69</td><td>1.69</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>4025</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表5:成交收益率高于 $5\%$ 的个券 <table><tr><td colspan="11">高收益成交个券跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>行业</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>23产融06</td><td>0.38</td><td>0.77</td><td>95.53</td><td>-200.20</td><td>15.17</td><td>17.17</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>114</td></tr><tr><td>23产融10</td><td>0.75</td><td>0.70</td><td>91.11</td><td>-100.09</td><td>16.30</td><td>17.30</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>1196</td></tr><tr><td>23产融05</td><td>0.32</td><td>0.67</td><td>96.18</td><td>-200.23</td><td>15.14</td><td>17.15</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>2321</td></tr><tr><td>23产融08</td><td>0.59</td><td>0.58</td><td>92.81</td><td>-99.97</td><td>16.26</td><td>17.26</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>979</td></tr><tr><td>24产融08</td><td>3.18</td><td>0.05</td><td>74.35</td><td>-1.05</td><td>12.99</td><td>13.00</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>387</td></tr><tr><td>24产融06</td><td>3.08</td><td>0.05</td><td>75.37</td><td>-1.05</td><td>12.96</td><td>12.97</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>167</td></tr><tr><td>24产融05</td><td>1.08</td><td>0.04</td><td>88.09</td><td>-1.17</td><td>15.38</td><td>15.39</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>18</td></tr><tr><td>23辽宁方大MTN001</td><td>0.40</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.11</td><td>0.06</td><td>5.95</td><td>5.95</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>钢铁</td><td>1001</td></tr><tr><td>24产融02</td><td>2.92</td><td>-0.20</td><td>76.76</td><td>9.11</td><td>13.12</td><td>13.03</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>3156</td></tr><tr><td>24产融04</td><td>2.97</td><td>-0.21</td><td>76.32</td><td>9.04</td><td>13.13</td><td>13.04</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>450</td></tr><tr><td>23产融09</td><td>2.59</td><td>-0.41</td><td>79.36</td><td>19.66</td><td>13.32</td><td>13.12</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>183</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表6:当日信用债成交估值偏离分布 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表7:当日非金信用债成交期限分布(城投+产业) 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表8:当日二永债成交期限分布 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表9:各行业非金信用债折价成交比例及成交规模 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 # 风险提示 1、统计数据偏差或遗漏:报告基于CFETS、交易所债券成交数据进行统计,或与当日撮合成交结果存在一定偏差,也存在因统计时间造成数据遗漏的可能。 2、高估值个券出现信用风险:估值价格偏离较大的个券,需关注其主体资质变化。 # 特别声明: 国金证券股份有限公司经中国证券监督管理委员会批准,已具备证券投资咨询业务资格。 任何形式的复制、转发、转载、引用、修改、仿制、刊发,或以任何侵犯本公司版权的其他方式使用。经过书面授权的引用、刊发,需注明出处为“国金证券股份有限公司”,且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的删节和修改。 本报告的产生基于国金证券及其研究人员认为可信的公开资料或实地调研资料,但国金证券及其研究人员对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证。本报告反映撰写研究人员的不同设想、见解及分析方法,故本报告所载观点可能与其他类似研究报告的观点及市场实际情况不一致,国金证券不对使用本报告所包含的材料产生的任何直接或间接损失或与此有关的其他任何损失承担任何责任。且本报告中的资料、意见、预测均反映报告初次公开发布时的判断,在不作事先通知的情况下,可能会随时调整,亦可因使用不同假设和标准、采用不同观点和分析方法而与国金证券其它业务部门、单位或附属机构在制作类似的其他材料时所给出的意见不同或者相反。 本报告仅为参考之用,在任何地区均不应被视为买卖任何证券、金融工具的要约或要约邀请。本报告提及的任何证券或金融工具均可能含有重大的风险,可能不易变卖以及不适合所有投资者。本报告所提及的证券或金融工具的价格、价值及收益可能会受汇率影响而波动。过往的业绩并不能代表未来的表现。 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