CBRE-2018Q1亚太零售市场报告(英文)-2018.5-11页-1mb
报告摘要
Asia Pacific Retail Trends Q1 2018 Summary
Core Content
The first quarter of 2018 saw a mixed but generally positive retail leasing environment across the Asia Pacific region. While some markets experienced challenges, others showed signs of recovery and growth. F&B remained the strongest driver of leasing demand, with luxury and mid-range fashion sectors also showing activity, albeit with some caution. Emerging trends included the rise of experiential retail, pop-up stores, and the integration of technology such as AI and big data analytics.
Main Views
Overall Market Outlook
- Despite the traditional quiet period of Q1, leasing demand remained solid in key Asian markets.
- Most markets reported a positive outlook, with signs of recovery and growth.
- Hong Kong and Singapore showed green shoots of recovery, with prime retail rents reaching the bottom and becoming more affordable.
Sector Demand
- F&B: Strong demand in tier I cities, with new entrants and continued activity.
- Luxury: Steady demand in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Japan, with some retailers expanding and others struggling.
- Mid-Range Fashion: Mixed demand, with fast fashion retailers reviewing portfolios and closing underperforming stores.
- Sports: Robust demand driven by the PyeongChang 2018 Winter Olympics and continued interest in health and fitness.
- Entertainment & Experiential Retail: Gaining traction, with malls allocating more space to family and children-focused facilities.
- Others: Activities from bookstores, personal care, automotive, and supermarkets also contributed to leasing demand.
6-Month Outlook & Opportunities
- Rent: Expected to stabilize or increase as markets recover.
- Supply: Limited new supply in the near term, with landlords focusing on tenant mix optimization.
- Vacancy: Some landlords may use short-term pop-ups or divide space to fill vacancies.
- Opportunities: Expansion and upgrading in prime locations, especially for luxury and F&B retailers.
Key Markets
China
- Major cities saw an uptick in leasing activity and improved retail sentiment.
- F&B and luxury sectors were the main drivers, with a focus on placemaking and experiential retail.
- Retailers are leveraging lower rents to explore expansion or upgrading opportunities.
Hong Kong
- Prime retail locations are showing renewed interest.
- F&B and lifestyle products (especially cosmetics) were key demand drivers.
- Watch and jewellery retailers are expanding in core areas.
- Pop-up stores and relocation within submarkets are on the rise.
Japan
- Tokyo and regional cities reported solid leasing demand across multiple sectors.
- F&B and sports sectors remained active, with some challenges for fast fashion.
- Luxury demand improved, supported by strong sales and tourism.
Korea
- Leasing activity picked up, driven by demand from F&B and sports retailers.
- Department stores remain weak, with operators focusing on beauty and specialty stores.
- Chaebol retailers are seeking opportunities outside the capital.
Singapore
- Strong macroeconomic indicators supported healthy consumer confidence and leasing activity.
- F&B and mid-range fashion were key drivers, with some consolidation in fast fashion.
- Landlords are shifting towards longer-term leases for F&B tenants.
India
- A steady flow of new entrants and expansion by existing retailers drove leasing demand.
- F&B and entertainment-based retail were prominent, with some international brands entering the market.
- Online and offline retail convergence is gaining momentum.
Australia
- CBD locations attracted stronger leasing interest than suburban malls.
- F&B and entertainment sectors were active, with landlords adjusting tenant mix to accommodate these segments.
- Retailers are investing in big data and analytics to enhance operations.
Emerging Trends
- Experiential Retail: Malls are increasing their entertainment and experience-based offerings.
- Pop-Up Stores: Becoming a popular format for brands to maximize exposure and test new markets.
- Technology Integration: Use of AI and big data analytics to differentiate and optimize retail strategies.
- Omni-Channel Retailing: Online and offline retail are converging, with brands expanding both online and in physical spaces.
Selected Leasing Transactions
| Tenant | Size (SQ FT GFA) | Property | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| Topshop | 36,600 | Middle Huaihai Road | Shanghai |
| Uniqlo | 28,000 | MixC World | Shenzhen |
| Marni | 3,200 | K11 | Guangzhou |
| Tesla | 10,800 | Parkview Green | Beijing |
| Watson's | 9,100 | BC Mall | Mong Kok |
| Let's Go | 6,500 | 190 Nathan Road | Tsim Sha Tsui |
| TWIST | 6,200 | Excelsior Plaza | Causeway Bay |
| Chow Tai Fook | 1,800 | Cheong Hing Building | Tsim Sha Tsui |
| JD Sports | N/A | Gangnam, Seoul | |
| Tartine Bakery & Café | N/A | Hannam-dong, Seoul | |
| Sephora | 5,300 | Westgate | Jurong East |
| Fendi | N/A | ION Orchard | Orchard |
| Maryling | N/A | The Shoppes at Marina Bay Sands | Marina Bay |
| Celine | 2,002 | Westfield Sydney | Sydney |
| Rag & Bone | 2,152 | Chadstone | Melbourne |
| Berluti | 1,464 | Melbourne |
Contacts
-
Henry Chin, Ph.D. – Head of Research, CBRE Research, Asia Pacific
henry.chin@cbre.com.hk -
Ada Choi – Senior Director, CBRE Research, Asia Pacific
ada.choi@cbre.com.hk -
Jonathan Hills – Director, CBRE Research, Asia Pacific
jonathan.hills@cbre.com.hk -
Liz Hung – Associate Director, CBRE Research, Asia Pacific
lizhung@cbre.com.hk -
Joyce Ho – Analyst, CBRE Research, Asia Pacific
joyce.ho@cbre.com -
Manish Kashyap – Regional Managing Director, Advisory & Transaction Services
manish.kashyap@cbre.com.sg -
Alistair Palmer – National Director, Retail Services Group Australia
alistair.palmer@cbre.com.au
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