2011年-IMF国际货币组织全球_Algeria_Statistical_Appendix_40页_460kb
报告摘要
Algeria: Statistical Appendix Summary (2005–2009)
Core Content
This document provides a comprehensive statistical overview of Algeria's economic and financial indicators, resource use, sectoral distribution of GDP, and other relevant economic data from 2005 to 2009. It was prepared by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as part of a periodic consultation with the country and is based on information available up to December 27, 2010. The views expressed are those of the IMF staff and not necessarily those of the Algerian government or the Executive Board.
Main Economic Indicators
GDP and Prices
- Nominal GDP increased from 23.3% in 2005 to 18.2% in 2008, then fell by 9.5% in 2009.
- Real GDP grew at an average of around 3% annually, with a slight dip in 2009.
- Real nonhydrocarbon GDP (NHGDP) showed significant growth, rising from 4.7% in 2005 to 9.3% in 2009.
- GDP deflator fluctuated, with a notable increase of 17.0% in 2005 and a decrease of -9.9% in 2009.
- NHGDP deflator also fluctuated, with a peak of 8.3% in 2008.
- Consumer price index (CPI) rose steadily from 1.6% in 2005 to 5.7% in 2009.
External Sector
- Exports (FOB) increased significantly from 46.3 billion USD in 2005 to 78.6 billion USD in 2008, then dropped to 45.2 billion USD in 2009.
- Imports (FOB) rose from 19.9 billion USD in 2005 to 38.0 billion USD in 2008, then slightly decreased to 37.4 billion USD in 2009.
- Current account balance was positive in most years, peaking at 34.5 billion USD in 2008, but dropped to 0.4 billion USD in 2009.
- Overall balance fluctuated, reaching a peak of 37.0% of GDP in 2008 and then declining to 3.9% in 2009.
- Total external debt decreased from 17.2 billion USD in 2005 to 5.3 billion USD in 2009.
- Total external debt as a percentage of GDP dropped from 16.7% in 2005 to 3.8% in 2009.
Central Government
- Total budget revenue and grants varied from 40.9 billion DZD in 2005 to 36.3 billion DZD in 2009.
- Hydrocarbon revenue decreased from 31.2 billion DZD in 2005 to 23.8 billion DZD in 2009.
- Total expenditure and net lending increased from 29.0 billion DZD in 2005 to 43.1 billion DZD in 2009.
- Overall balance decreased from 11.9 billion DZD in 2005 to -6.8 billion DZD in 2009.
- Nonhydrocarbon primary balance was negative throughout the period, with the most severe decline of -53.1% in 2008.
Money and Credit
- Broad money (M2) grew at an average rate of 18.6% annually, with a decline in 2009.
- Net credit to government was negative in all years, with the most negative at -25.2% in 2008.
- Credit to the economy increased from 15.9% in 2005 to 18.5% in 2009.
- 13-week T-bill interest rate remained low, ranging from 0.0% to 1.4% annually.
- Official reserves rose from 56.2 billion USD in 2005 to 148.9 billion USD in 2009, equivalent to 26.5 to 35.6 months of next year's imports.
Sectoral Distribution of GDP
- Hydrocarbons dominated GDP, contributing around 44% to 45% annually, but dropped to 31% in 2009.
- Other sectors accounted for approximately 49% of GDP in 2005 and increased to 61.9% in 2009.
- Agriculture represented 7.7% to 9.2% of GDP, with a significant increase in 2009.
- Industry contributed 5.6% to 5.7% of GDP, showing a relatively stable performance.
- Construction and public works accounted for 11.4% to 13.2% of GDP, with growth in 2008.
- Government services contributed 8.4% to 10.9% of GDP, increasing in 2009.
- Nongovernment services accounted for 33.7% to 37.4% of GDP, with a slight rise in 2009.
Real GDP Growth by Sector
- Hydrocarbons showed fluctuating growth, with a decline in 2009.
- Other sectors had a more stable growth, increasing from 10.3% in 2005 to 14.4% in 2009.
- Agriculture had significant growth in 2009, reaching 20%.
- Industry showed mixed results, with declines in some years and growth in others.
- Construction and public works grew in 2008 and 2009.
- Government services increased in 2009.
- Nongovernment services showed consistent growth.
Energy Production and Consumption
- Liquid petroleum products production slightly declined from 85.6 million tons in 2005 to 77.2 million tons in 2009.
- Crude oil and substitutes production also decreased from 62.5 million tons in 2005 to 56.8 million tons in 2009.
- Condensate production was stable, ranging from 13.5 million tons to 14.5 million tons.
- LPG production remained relatively stable, with some fluctuations.
- Imports of liquid petroleum products were minimal, ranging from 0.3 to 0.4 million tons.
- Refinery input increased from 19.4 million tons in 2005 to 23.7 million tons in 2009.
- Direct exports of liquid petroleum products declined from 66.3 million tons in 2005 to 97.2 million tons in 2009.
- Domestic consumption of LPG increased in 2009.
Gas Products
- Gross production of gas products remained stable, with a slight decline in 2009.
- Net production increased from 104.8 billion cubic meters in 2005 to 117.4 billion cubic meters in 2009.
- Volume transported showed some variation, with a peak in 2008.
- Domestic consumption of gas products increased from 16.2 billion cubic meters in 2005 to 20.4 billion cubic meters in 2009.
- Sales to liquefaction plants declined in 2009.
- LNG production decreased from 24.7 billion cubic meters in 2005 to 22.1 billion cubic meters in 2009.
- LNG exports slightly declined, but remained a significant portion of total exports.
- Piped exports varied, with a peak in 2008.
Agricultural Data
- Cultivated land remained stable, with a slight decrease in 2009.
- Fallow land decreased from 3,589.9 thousand hectares in 2005 to 3,423.5 thousand hectares in 2009.
- Crop yields showed variation, with significant increases in some crops like cereals and barley.
- Livestock numbers increased across all categories, with the most notable growth in ovine and caprine.
Industrial Production
- Indices of industrial production in public enterprises showed mixed performance, with growth in some sectors and decline in others.
- Water and energy production increased from 231.7 to 293.4 (1989 = 100).
- Hydrocarbons production fluctuated, with a decline in 2009.
- Mining and quarrying showed steady growth, increasing from 91.0 to 137.3.
- Mechanical and electrical production declined significantly in 2007 and 2008.
- Construction materials production increased from 112.7 to 116.1.
- Chemicals production fluctuated, with a notable decline in 2007.
- Food processing showed mixed results, with declines in 2005 and 2007.
- Textiles production declined in 2006 and 2007.
- Leather and hides production decreased throughout the period.
- Woods and paper production fluctuated, with a significant decline in 2005.
- Other industries showed a decline in 2007 and 2008.
- General index of industrial production showed modest growth, with a slight decline in 2009.
- General index excluding hydrocarbons increased from 74.6 to 78.5.
- General index of manufactured commodities declined from 60.0 to 53.2.
Minerals Production
- Iron ore production fluctuated, with a peak in 2006 and a decline in 2009.
- Phosphates production increased from 872.0 thousand tons in 2005 to 1,800.0 thousand tons in 2007, then declined to 1,017.0 thousand tons in 2009.
- Zinc and lead production declined sharply from 4.0 thousand tons in 2005 to 0.0 thousand tons in 2009.
- Mercury production remained at 0.0 thousand tons throughout the period.
Key Information
- The document highlights the importance of hydrocarbons in Algeria's economy, which accounted for a large share of GDP and exports.
- The government's budget and fiscal policies were heavily influenced by hydrocarbon revenues.
- The real nonhydrocarbon GDP showed strong growth, indicating a diversification effort.
- The consumer price index increased, reflecting inflationary pressures.
- The overall balance improved in 2008 but deteriorated in 2009.
- There were significant fluctuations in industrial production, particularly in sectors like textiles and mechanical and electrical.
- Agricultural production and livestock numbers increased, showing potential for growth in this sector.
- The central government's debt decreased as a percentage of GDP, but the absolute amount remained high.
- The official reserves increased, providing a buffer for the economy.
展开完整摘要
试读结束,高清完整版pdf/doc/ppt,请点下载