2023-03-08-UNDP-预测亚太地区的风险和不确定性_一份混合视野扫描报告（英）_92页_5mb

报告摘要

Risks and Uncertainties for Asia-Pacific

The report identifies several key risks and uncertainties across the Asia-Pacific region:

Climate Change

Natural Hazards: Increasing frequency and intensity of floods, heatwaves, wildfires, and storms.
Slow-onset Events: Sea-level rise, drought, and biodiversity loss present long-term challenges requiring proactive adaptation.

Energy Transition

Renewable Energy Gains: Growing importance of renewables, but depends on responsible mining practices to avoid environmental damage and social issues. Mineral demand for renewable tech requires balancing economic benefits with ecological and community impacts.
Energy Access: Uncertain renewable infrastructure results in some countries remaining dependent on expensive fossil fuels.

Economic Challenges

Economic Mismatches: Skills taught do not meet labor market demands. Unemployment among youth remains high.
Poverty: Rising poverty due to inflation, energy costs, and climate change impacts.

Governance and Digitalization

Governance Challenges: Increasing authoritarianism, restrictions on digital freedoms, and inadequate regulation of emerging technologies.
Digital Divide: Uneven access to digital infrastructure and tools limiting opportunities for vulnerable groups.

Health and Education

Healthcare System Strain: Staff shortages, compounded by high out-of-pocket expenses and inadequate care systems.
Education Disruptions: COVID-19 has exacerbated educational inequalities, particularly affecting rural and marginalized areas.

Key Recommendations

Prioritize climate action and disaster preparedness.
Promote responsible renewable energy development.
Strengthen social protection systems and inclusive access to education.
Enhance digital infrastructure to bridge the digital divide.

Overall, Asia-Pacific remains highly exposed to climate and economic risks, requiring regional and global coordinated responses for resilience and sustainable development.

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