英文_ERIA_东盟低碳能源技术路线图(ALERT)-第一阶段_东盟关于氢和氨的长期战略_117页_3mb
报告摘要
ASEAN Low-Carbon Hydrogen and Ammonia Roadmap Overview
Background
- Global Role: Hydrogen and ammonia are critical for decarbonizing hard-to-abate sectors (industry, transport, power) due to their versatility and potential to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
- ASEAN Position: The region faces rapid energy demand growth and climate change pressures. With abundant renewable energy resources, ASEAN has potential for green hydrogen production and can become a global leader in the hydrogen economy by 2050.
Roadmap Phases
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Short Term (2025–2030)
- Establish the Hydrogen ASEAN Alliance to foster cross-sector collaboration and share resources.
- De-risk investments through transparent pricing, subsidies, tax incentives, and financial guarantees.
- Prioritize hydrogen deployment in hard-to-abate sectors like heavy industry, transport, and power generation.
- Develop harmonized regional standards for safe handling, storage, and transport of hydrogen and ammonia.
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Medium Term (2031–2040)
- Scale up low-carbon hydrogen and ammonia production through blue and green pathways.
- Expand applications in transport (e.g., hydrogen fuel-cell electric vehicles) and power generation.
- Enhance cross-border infrastructure for hydrogen and ammonia transport and storage.
- Set clear production targets and policy frameworks to guide national-level implementation.
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Long Term (2041–2050)
- Position ASEAN as a hub for international hydrogen and ammonia trade.
- Integrate hydrogen into power generation and industrial process heat for decarbonization.
- Establish mandatory usage targets to enhance energy security and reduce fossil fuel reliance.
Key Findings
- Hydrogen and ammonia offer opportunities to decarbonize ASEAN's energy system, enhance energy security, and support renewable energy integration.
- Private investment is essential, supported by de-risking mechanisms, carbon pricing, and sectoral mandates.
- Regional collaboration is critical for cost-effective infrastructure development and market growth.
- Production costs for green hydrogen could decline to USD1.00–USD7.00/kg by 2030–2050 with technological advancements and economies of scale.
Recommendations
- Accelerate Pilot Projects: Demonstrate viability in high-priority sectors like industry and transport.
- Develop Market Mechanisms: Create standardized pricing and trading platforms for cross-border trade.
- Strengthen Policy Alignment: Ensure regulatory frameworks support hydrogen and ammonia deployment while addressing barriers like infrastructure and demand gaps.
ASEAN's hydrogren and ammonia roadmap emphasizes phased actions to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, with hydrogen becoming a cornerstone of sustainable energy transition.
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