SP08_SP10合约全商品对冲报告-20230619-银河期货-28页_721kb
报告摘要
银河期货SP08~SP10合约全商品对冲报告总结
核心内容概述
本报告为银河期货发布的SP08~SP10合约全商品对冲报告,主要分析了不同商品与SP系列合约之间的对冲比例和对冲策略变动。报告提供了各商品合约与SP合约之间的对冲比例,以及在特定时间段内的价差变动情况,旨在为投资者提供跨品种对冲策略的参考。
主要观点
-
跨品种对冲策略:
- 通过跨品种对冲,可以降低波动率,提升策略的安全性。
- 合理配比的跨品种套利波动率通常低于单边头寸,有时甚至同时低于两种对冲商品。
- 价差波动率每季度刷新,策略需动态调整。
-
对冲比例与策略变动:
- 报告提供了1手SP合约对冲其他商品合约所需的对冲手数和吨数。
- 对冲策略变动反映了不同商品与SP合约之间的价差变化,便于投资者评估对冲效果。
-
商品分类:
- 报告分为多个商品类别,包括贵金属、有色金属、黑色金属、煤炭、轻工、石油、化工、谷物、油脂油料、软商品、农副产品。
- 每个类别下分别列出对应的对冲比例和策略变动数据。
关键信息
一、对冲比例
| 合约 | 交易单位 | 1手纸浆对冲手数 | 1吨纸浆对冲吨数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| AU08 | 1000 | 0.20 | 20.00克 |
| AG08 | 15 | 0.91 | 1.37千克 |
| CU09 | 5 | 0.21 | 0.10吨 |
| AL09 | 5 | 0.71 | 0.36吨 |
| ZN09 | 5 | 0.54 | 0.27吨 |
| PB09 | 5 | 0.70 | 0.35吨 |
| NI09 | 1 | 0.43 | 43.4千克 |
| SN09 | 1 | 0.32 | 31.9千克 |
| SI09 | 5 | 0.81 | 0.41吨 |
| RB10 | 10 | 1.50 | 1.50吨 |
| I09 | 100 | 0.78 | 7.84吨 |
| HC10 | 10 | 1.52 | 1.52吨 |
| SS09 | 5 | 0.77 | 0.38吨 |
| SF09 | 5 | 1.66 | 0.83吨 |
| SM09 | 5 | 1.64 | 0.82吨 |
| JM09 | 60 | 0.60 | 3.61吨 |
| J09 | 100 | 0.26 | 2.56吨 |
| FG09 | 20 | 1.75 | 3.49吨 |
| SC09 | 1000 | 0.12 | 11.73桶 |
| FU09 | 10 | 2.24 | 2.24吨 |
| LU09 | 10 | 1.79 | 1.79吨 |
| BU09 | 10 | 1.81 | 1.81吨 |
| PG09 | 20 | 0.67 | 1.34吨 |
| TA09 | 5 | 2.04 | 1.02吨 |
| V09 | 5 | 1.63 | 0.82吨 |
| RU09 | 10 | 0.41 | 0.41吨 |
| NR09 | 10 | 0.52 | 0.52吨 |
| L09 | 5 | 1.25 | 0.62吨 |
| PF09 | 5 | 1.47 | 0.74吨 |
| EG09 | 10 | 1.01 | 1.01吨 |
| MA09 | 10 | 2.28 | 2.28吨 |
| PP09 | 5 | 1.30 | 0.65吨 |
| EB09 | 5 | 1.20 | 0.60吨 |
| UR09 | 20 | 1.48 | 2.96吨 |
| SA09 | 20 | 1.41 | 2.82吨 |
| C09 | 10 | 2.39 | 2.39吨 |
| CS09 | 10 | 2.05 | 2.05吨 |
| A09 | 10 | 1.18 | 1.18吨 |
| B09 | 10 | 1.46 | 1.46吨 |
| M09 | 10 | 1.83 | 1.83吨 |
| Y09 | 10 | 0.78 | 0.78吨 |
| RM09 | 10 | 2.12 | 2.12吨 |
| OI09 | 10 | 0.66 | 0.66吨 |
| P09 | 10 | 0.86 | 0.86吨 |
| CF09 | 5 | 0.72 | 0.36吨 |
| SR09 | 10 | 0.97 | 0.97吨 |
| JD09 | 10 | 1.31 | 1.31吨 |
| LH09 | 16 | 0.19 | 0.31吨 |
| AP10 | 10 | 0.74 | 0.74吨 |
二、对冲策略变动(单位:万元)
| 对冲合约 | 对冲组合(货值差) | 6月19日 | 6月16日 | 变动δ | 占SP合约比例 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG09 | 1.00SP09-1.75FG09 | -0.07 | -0.43 | 0.35 | 6.83% |
| NI09 | 1.00SP09-0.43NI09 | -1.89 | -2.09 | 0.20 | 3.73% |
| SN09 | 1.00SP09-0.32SN09 | -1.69 | -1.82 | 0.13 | 2.43% |
| JM09 | 1.00SP09-0.6JM09 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 1.99% |
| CF09 | 1.00SP09-0.72CF09 | -0.72 | -0.82 | 0.10 | 1.95% |
| TA09 | 1.00SP09-2.04TA09 | -0.41 | -0.50 | 0.09 | 1.82% |
| SS09 | 1.00SP09-0.77SS09 | -0.47 | -0.55 | 0.08 | 1.62% |
| AP10 | 1.00SP09-0.74AP10 | -1.09 | -1.17 | 0.08 | 1.50% |
| J09 | 1.00SP09-0.26J09 | -0.29 | -0.36 | 0.07 | 1.31% |
| PF09 | 1.00SP09-1.47PF09 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1.29% |
| AL09 | 1.00SP09-0.71AL09 | -1.21 | -1.27 | 0.06 | 1.24% |
| HC10 | 1.00SP09-1.52HC10 | -0.66 | -0.72 | 0.06 | 1.18% |
| RB10 | 1.00SP09-1.5RB10 | -0.44 | -0.51 | 0.06 | 1.17% |
| EB09 | 1.00SP09-1.2EB09 | 0.97 | 0.92 | 0.04 | 0.85% |
| I09 | 1.00SP09-0.78I09 | -1.15 | -1.18 | 0.03 | 0.56% |
| EG09 | 1.00SP09-1.01EG09 | 1.13 | 1.11 | 0.02 | 0.41% |
| FU09 | 1.00SP09-2.24FU09 | -1.63 | -1.65 | 0.02 | 0.33% |
| NR09 | 1.00SP09-0.52NR09 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.33% |
| PG09 | 1.00SP09-0.67PG09 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.02 | 0.30% |
| UR09 | 1.00SP09-1.48UR09 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.19% |
| SA09 | 1.00SP09-1.41SA09 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.06% |
| MA09 | 1.00SP09-2.28MA09 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.04% |
| L09 | 1.00SP09-1.25L09 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.02% |
| SC09 | 1.00SP09-0.12SC09 | -1.02 | -1.02 | -0.00 | -0.02% |
| PP09 | 1.00SP09-1.3PP09 | 0.61 | 0.62 | -0.01 | -0.17% |
| SM09 | 1.00SP09-1.64SM09 | -0.25 | -0.24 | -0.01 | -0.24% |
| BU09 | 1.00SP06-1.81BU09 | -1.49 | -1.47 | -0.01 | -0.27% |
| CS09 | 1.00SP09-2.05CS09 | -0.96 | -0.95 | -0.02 | -0.11% |
| OI09 | 1.00SP09-0.66OI09 | -0.39 | -0.37 | -0.02 | -0.41% |
| P09 | 1.00SP09-0.86P09 | -0.96 | -0.92 | -0.04 | -0.73% |
| Y09 | 1.00SP09-0.78Y09 | -0.81 | -0.77 | -0.04 | -0.78% |
| AG08 | 1.00SP08-0.91AG08 | -2.54 | -2.49 | -0.05 | -0.54% |
| AU08 | 1.00SP08-0.2AU08 | -3.86 | -3.83 | -0.03 | -0.59% |
| CU09 | 1.00SP09-0.21CU09 | -1.80 | -1.80 | 0.01 | 0.11% |
| AL09 | 1.00SP09-0.71AL09 | -1.21 | -1.27 | 0.06 | 1.24% |
| ZN09 | 1.00SP09-0.54ZN09 | -0.23 | -0.24 | 0.02 | 0.33% |
| PB09 | 1.00SP09-0.7PB09 | -0.22 | -0.20 | 0.03 | 0.54% |
| NI09 | 1.00SP09-0.43NI09 | -1.69 | -1.82 | 0.13 | 2.43% |
| SN09 | 1.00SP09-0.32SN09 | -1.69 | -1.82 | 0.13 | 2.43% |
| SI09 | 1.00SP09-0.81SI09 | -0.78 | -0.75 | 0.03 | 0.56% |
| RB10 | 1.00SP10-1.5RB10 | -0.44 | -0.51 | 0.06 | 1.17% |
| I09 | 1.00SP09-0.78I09 | -1.15 | -1.18 | 0.03 | 0.56% |
| HC10 | 1.00SP10-1.52HC10 | -0.66 | -0.72 | 0.06 | 1.18% |
| SS09 | 1.00SP09-0.77SS09 | -0.47 | -0.55 | 0.08 | 1.62% |
| SF09 | 1.00SP09-1.66SF09 | -0.78 | -0.75 | 0.03 | 0.56% |
| SM09 | 1.00SP09-1.64SM09 | -0.25 | -0.24 | -0.01 | -0.24% |
| JM09 | 1.00SP09-0.60JM09 | -0.29 | -0.36 | 0.07 | 1.31% |
| J09 | 1.00SP09-0.26J09 | -0.29 | -0.36 | 0.07 | 1.31% |
| FG09 | 1.00SP09-1.75FG09 | -0.07 | -0.43 | 0.35 | 6.83% |
| SC09 | 1.00SP05-0.12SC05 | -1.02 | -1.02 | -0.00 | -0.02% |
| FU09 | 1.00SP09-2.24FU09 | -1.63 | -1.65 | 0.02 | 0.33% |
| LU09 | 1.00SP09-1.79LU09 | -2.05 | -1.99 | 0.06 | 1.24% |
| BU09 | 1.00SP09-1.81BU09 | -1.49 | -1.47 | -0.01 | -0.27% |
| PG09 | 1.00SP09-0.67PG09 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.02 | 0.30% |
| TA09 | 1.00SP09-2.04TA09 | -0.41 | -0.50 | 0.09 | 1.82% |
| V09 | 1.00SP09-1.63V09 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.06% |
| RU09 | 1.00SP09-0.41RU09 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.01 | 0.08% |
| NR09 | 1.00SP09-0.52NR09 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.33% |
| L09 | 1.00SP09-1.25L09 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.02% |
| PF09 | 1.00SP09-1.47PF09 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1.29% |
| EG09 | 1.00SP09-1.01EG09 | 1.13 | 1.11 | 0.02 | 0.41% |
| MA09 | 1.00SP09-2.28MA09 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.04% |
| PP09 | 1.00SP09-1.30PP09 | 0.61 | 0.62 | -0.01 | -0.17% |
| EB09 | 1.00SP09-1.20EB09 | -1.21 | -1.18 | -0.03 | -0.55% |
| UR09 | 1.00SP09-1.48UR09 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.19% |
| SA09 | 1.00SP09-1.41SA09 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.06% |
| C09 | 1.00SP09-2.39C09 | -1.21 | -1.18 | -0.03 | -0.55% |
| CS09 | 1.00SP09-2.05CS09 | -0.96 | -0.95 | -0.02 | -0.11% |
| OI09 | 1.00SP09-0.66OI09 | -0.39 | -0.37 | -0.02 | -0.41% |
| P09 | 1.00SP09-0.86P09 | -0.96 | -0.92 | -0.04 | -0.73% |
| Y09 | 1.00SP09-0.78Y09 | -0.81 | -0.77 | -0.04 | -0.78% |
| AG08 | 1.00SP08-0.91AG08 | -2.54 | -2.49 | -0.05 | -0.54% |
| A09 | 1.00SP09-1.18A09 | -0.72 | -0.66 | -0.06 | -1.16% |
| B09 | 1.00SP09-1.46B09 | -1.03 | -0.95 | -0.08 | -1.54% |
| M09 | 1.00SP09-1.83M09 | -1.57 | -1.48 | -0.09 | -1.68% |
| RM09 | 1.00SP09-2.12RM09 | -1.61 | -1.50 | -0.11 | -2.15% |
结论
本报告为期货投资者提供了基于SP08~SP10合约的全商品对冲比例及对冲策略变动信息,旨在帮助投资者构建低波动率的跨品种对冲组合。报告强调,合理的对冲比例可以有效降低整体波动率,提升投资安全性。投资者应结合《银河期货商品估值和周期报告》及《银河期货商品基差和月差报告》进行综合分析,并参考历史对冲图验证策略的可行性。
投资建议
- 关注波动率变化:跨品种对冲的波动率需定期更新,以确保策略的有效性。
- 结合基本面分析:建议投资者结合商品基本面报告,以辅助决策。
- 策略验证:利用历史对冲图验证当前策略是否符合预期,以确保其安全性。
- 独立判断:本报告仅作为参考,投资者应独立判断并谨慎操作。
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