2015年-世界发展银行全球_Country_Partnership_Framework_for_the_Republic_of_Cote_dIvoire_for_the_Period_FY16-FY19_119页_1mb

Summary of the World Bank Group Country Partnership Framework for the Republic of Côte d'Ivoire (FY16-FY19)

Core Content

This document outlines the proposed World Bank Group (WBG) Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for Côte d'Ivoire (CIV) from FY16 to FY19. It is based on the country's socio-political context, recent economic developments, and poverty trends, as well as the WBG's strategic approach to support CIV's development agenda.

Main Points

1. Country Context and Development Agenda

• Economic Overview: CIV has a GDP of about US$35 billion and a population of 22.7 million. It has transitioned from crisis to relative stability since 2011.
• Economic Recovery: After a 4.7% drop in real GDP in 2011, the economy grew at 9.7% from 2012 to 2013, then moderated to 7.9% in 2014. Per capita GDP increased by over 20% between 2012 and 2014.
• Sector Contributions: Agriculture, industry, and services jointly contributed to GDP growth. Agricultural production rebounded due to favorable weather and price support mechanisms.
• Employment Trends: Formal employment increased by 5% in 2013, and the construction sector saw a boom due to public and private investment.
• Inflation: Inflation dropped to 0.4% in 2014, well below the WAEMU threshold of 3%.
• Fiscal Policy: The Government adopted prudent fiscal policies, reducing the fiscal deficit from 5.6% in 2011 to 2.3% in 2013.
• Debt Management: External public debt increased to 19.1% of GDP by 2014, but debt service remained stable. Domestic debt fell to 12.7% of GDP in 2014.
• Structural Reforms: The Government has implemented reforms to improve the business climate, financial sector development, and public financial management (PFM).

2. Poverty and Shared Prosperity

• Poverty Incidence: Poverty slightly decreased from 48.9% in 2008 to 46.3% in 2015, driven by economic recovery.
• Extreme Poverty: Increased five-fold between 1985 and 2008, with the poorest in rural areas being most affected.
• Poverty Distribution: Poverty is predominantly rural, with significant disparities between the North and South, and between urban and rural areas.
• Basic Services Access: Disparities in access to education, clean water, and sanitation persist, especially in rural regions.
• Gender Disparities: Gender gaps in education and access to resources remain, impacting future development outcomes.

3. Regional Integration

• Geographic Neighbors: CIV shares borders with Burkina Faso, Guinea, Ghana, Mali, and Liberia.
• Regional Role: As the largest economy in the WAEMU zone, CIV plays a key role in promoting regional economic integration and competitiveness.
• Synergies: CIV's stability and economic performance have positive spillover effects on neighboring countries, especially those in the Sahel region.
• Migration Impact: Migrants from neighboring countries contribute significantly to CIV's labor market and economy, while also facing challenges in their home countries.

Key Focus Areas

The CPF outlines three focus areas aligned with the WBG's twin goals of reducing extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity:

Focus Area One: Accelerating Sustainable Private Sector-Led Growth

• Objective: Strengthen the business environment to promote private sector growth.
• Activities: Include legal reforms, infrastructure development, and support for SMEs.
• Reforms: CIV was ranked among the top 10 reforming countries in the 2015 "Doing Business Report." The Government has established a Commercial Court, approved new investment and mining codes, and adopted an electricity code.

Focus Area Two: Building Human Capital for Economic Development and Social Cohesion

• Objective: Improve access to education and health services, especially for the poor and rural populations.
• Activities: Include expanding education access, improving health services, and addressing gender disparities.
• Challenges: Disparities in education access and poor sanitation infrastructure persist, particularly in rural areas.

Focus Area Three: Strengthening Public Financial Management and Accountability

• Objective: Enhance governance, transparency, and PFM systems.
• Activities: Implementation of WAEMU PFM directives, PFM reform strategy, and institutional reforms in key sectors like cocoa.
• Reforms: The High Authority for Good Governance (HAGG) and the National Authority for Disarmament, Demobilization and Reintegration (DDR) have played significant roles in improving governance and accountability.

Key Information

• Last Country Partnership Strategy: April 1, 2010.
• Currency Equivalent: US$1.00 = CFA F 593.
• Fiscal Year: January 1 – December 31.
• CPF Guiding Principles: Emphasize selectivity, alignment with national priorities, and leveraging WBG comparative advantage.
• CPF Development Process: Based on the Systematic Country Diagnostic (SCD) and lessons from the CPS Completion Report and IEG evaluations.
• CPF Priorities: Derived from the SCD, focusing on three main areas: private sector growth, human capital development, and PFM improvements.
• CPF Engagement Areas: Includes public investment, social protection, and regional integration.

Annexes and Supporting Documents

• Annex 1: CPF Results Monitoring Matrix.
• Annex 2: Monitoring and Evaluation of the CPF Results Framework.
• Annex 3: CPS Completion Report FY10-FY14.
• Annex 4: Managing the Impact of CIV's Climate and Disaster Risks.
• Annex 5: IDA 17 Commitments in CIV.
• Annex 6: Development Partner Activities in CIV.
• Annex 7: WBG Indicative Lending and Financing Program.
• Annex 8: IDA Indicative Knowledge Services Program.
• Annex 9: Regional Synergies in Economic Infrastructure.
• Annex 10: Selected Indicators of Bank Portfolio Performance and Management.
• Annex 11: Operations Portfolio (IBRD/IDA and Grants).
• Annex 12: IFC's Held and Disbursed Portfolio.

Conclusion

The CPF for Côte d'Ivoire aims to support the country's transition to an emerging economy by focusing on sustainable private sector growth, human capital development, and improved public financial management. It is aligned with the WBG's twin goals and the country's National Development Plan, while also addressing regional integration and long-term development challenges.