2017年-世界发展银行全球_Country_Partnership_Framework_for_the_Democratic_Republic_of_Ethiopia_for_the_Period_FY18-FY22_131页_6mb

Summary of the World Bank Group Country Partnership Framework for Ethiopia (2018-2022)

Core Content

The World Bank Group (WBG) Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for Ethiopia (2018–2022) is designed to support the Second Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP II) and align with the WBG’s twin goals of eliminating extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity, as well as the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The CPF aims to address Ethiopia’s development challenges by focusing on three main areas: promoting structural and economic transformation through increased productivity, building resilience and inclusiveness, and supporting institutional accountability and confronting corruption.

Main Points

1. Country Context and Development Agenda

• Ethiopia is a large, diverse, landlocked country with a population of around 92 million (2016), 80% of whom live in rural areas.
• It is a country of 98 nationalities and 93 languages, with a high population growth rate (2.5% annually in 2015).
• Ethiopia is a key player in regional integration, hosting the second-largest refugee population in Africa and being the fifth-largest globally.
• The country faces significant spatial inequality, with pockets of poverty even in relatively well-off areas. Certain regions and populations (e.g., pastoralists, women) require targeted and customized development solutions.

2. Economic Context

• Ethiopia has experienced strong economic growth, with an average real GDP growth of 10.5% between 2003/04 and 2015/16.
• The services sector has overtaken agriculture as the largest contributor to GDP since 2010/11.
• Agriculture remains central, especially for rural livelihoods, with a large portion of the population relying on rain-fed farming.
• Ethiopia has adopted a developmental state model, inspired by East Asian experiences, which emphasizes state-led growth. However, this model faces challenges in governance and citizen engagement.

3. Key Development Challenges

• Spatial inequality: Inequality exists between regions and woredas, requiring targeted interventions.
• Resilience: Frequent droughts and climate shocks threaten agricultural productivity and food security.
• Inclusiveness: Marginalized groups, including women and pastoral communities, need equitable access to services and opportunities.
• Productivity and employment: Ethiopia must enhance productivity and job creation, especially for its growing youth population.
• Sustainability of infrastructure financing: The country needs to develop a sustainable financing model to support long-term growth.
• Institutional accountability and corruption: Governance reforms are essential to ensure transparency and public trust.

Key Information

4. CPF Focus Areas

• Focus Area 1: Promote Structural and Economic Transformation through Increased Productivity

  • Enhance agricultural productivity (especially for female-headed households).
  • Improve infrastructure, including energy, water, and transportation, to support growth.
  • Encourage private sector participation through the Private Sector Window (PSW) and IFC's holistic approach.

• Focus Area 2: Building Resilience and Inclusiveness

  • Strengthen resilience through programs like the Productive Safety Nets Program (PSNP).
  • Improve access to services (e.g., electricity, water, sanitation) and equitable service delivery.
  • Focus on gender equality and inclusive growth.

• Focus Area 3: Supporting Institutional Accountability and Confronting Corruption

  • Promote public finance management (PFM) and citizen engagement (CE).
  • Enhance governance and decentralization to improve accountability and service delivery.
  • Address corruption through institutional reforms and transparent policies.

5. CPF Objectives and Targets

• Increase electricity access to 50% of the population by end of FY21.
• Improve learning outcomes for girls in grades 4 in English and Math by about one quarter and one third, respectively.
• Raise the contraceptive prevalence rate among rural women from 32% to 45%.
• Reduce stunting prevalence in children aged 0–23 months by 36%.
• Boost agricultural productivity for female-headed households by 23%.
• Protect up to 14 million people from food insecurity.
• Increase access to improved water sources by 20% and basic sanitation by 43%.
• Reduce travel time on upgraded roads by more than half (56%).
• Double reforested land area and land-use certificates issued.

6. CPF Implementation Strategy

• The CPF is based on the Systematic Country Diagnostic (SCD), which identified eight binding constraints to growth and two overarching challenges: a sustainable financing model and inadequate feedback mechanisms.
• It leverages the full range of WBG institutions, including IBRD, IFC, and MIGA.
• It supports IDA18 special themes and special windows, such as the Crisis Response Window (CRW).
• The CPF emphasizes agility in responding to client demand through advisory and analytical work.

7. Monitoring and Evaluation

• The CPF includes a comprehensive M&E framework.
• It aligns with the WBG's strategic framework for citizen engagement.
• The Completion and Learning Review (CLR) of the previous CPF (FY13–FY16) informed the current strategy.
• Performance and Learning Reviews (PLR) will be used to monitor progress and adapt strategies.

8. Risk Management

• The CPF includes a risk management strategy to address fragility, conflict, and violence (FCV).
• It emphasizes early warning systems, disaster risk financing, and conflict-sensitive approaches to ensure program resilience.

Conclusion

The CPF for Ethiopia (2018–2022) represents a strategic shift towards outcome-based development, with a strong focus on spatial inclusiveness, resilience, and institutional accountability. It builds on the lessons of the previous CPF and the SCD, aiming to support Ethiopia’s journey towards lower middle-income status by 2025. The framework integrates multilateral and bilateral development partners, private sector engagement, and community-driven development to ensure that development benefits all citizens.