20180620-中国银河国际证券-China_Galaxy_A-Share_Morning_Comments_(晨会纪要)_3页_304kb
报告摘要
China Galaxy A-Share Morning Comments Summary (June 20, 2018)
Market Overview
- Trade War Impact: The escalation of the Sino-US trade war over the weekend led to a sharp decline in the A-share market on the first trading day after the Dragon Boat Festival.
- Indices Performance:
- SHCOMP opened below the 3,000 level and hit a two-year low, closing at 2,907.8 with a -3.78% drop.
- SZSE Comp closed at 9,414.8, down -5.31%.
- CSI 300 fell to 3,621.1, a -3.53% decline.
- ChiNext dropped nearly -5.76%, closing below 1,600.
- HSI and HSCEI also declined by -2.78% and -3.18%, respectively.
- Market Sentiment: Panic selling dominated, with over 100 stocks hitting limit-down and 2,600 stocks reporting losses over 5%. The market is considered technically oversold, and a rebound is expected as indices approach historical troughs.
- Sectoral Outlook: The market is likely to consolidate in the near term due to fragile sentiment.
Sector Analysis
Pharmaceuticals
- Investment Recommendation: Quality industry leaders may present opportunities post-correction. Sub-segment leaders with strong cash flows and faster earnings growth are preferred.
- Recommended Stocks:
Machinery
- Growth Drivers: Domestic manufacturers' increased market share and expansion of multiple units (MU) in high-speed rail equipment.
- Recommended Stocks:
Transportation
- Recommendation: Focus on structural changes in the industry from regional to national operations.
- Recommended Stocks:
Market Data Highlights
- Futures/Money Markets:
- NYMEX Crude fell -1.16% to 64.93.
- COMEX Gold dropped -0.27% to 1,276.60.
- LME Copper and Aluminum fell -1.99% and -1.82%, respectively.
- BDI declined -0.21% to 1,442.00.
- USD/RMB rose +0.90% to 647.43.
Top Gainers (CSI300)
- Puyang Refractories Group (002225) – 4.79
- Zhongnongfa Seed Industry (600313) – 3.16
- Guangzhou Jointas Chemical (002909) – 16.12
- Hongyu Wear-Resistant New Materials (300345) – 6.70
- Zhejiang Yueling Co (002725) – 11.10
Top Losers (CSI300)
- Sichuan Hongda (600331) – 2.57
- Dongfang Electric Heating Tech (300217) – 2.22
- BBMG Corp (601992) – 3.20
- Jiangsu SINOJIT Wind Energy (601218) – 2.49
- Pang Da Automobile Trade (601258) – 1.69
Recent Reports by China Galaxy Securities
- Non-ferrous Metals: Sector may see re-rating opportunities with improved macro environment.
- Wuhan Department Store (000501.CH): 2017 results in-line; 2018 earnings depend on high-end consumption reform.
- Hongqi China (002697.CH): Fresh food and convenience stores to be key growth drivers in 2018.
- Property: Transaction volume rising in Tier 1 and 3 cities; Tier 2 cities remain weak.
- Non-bank Financials: New asset management rules expected to reshape the industry.
- Retail: 47 retailers reported positive net profit growth in Q1 2018; recovery on track.
- Quantitative Analysis: Funds' equity exposure reached 89%; growth stocks outperformed.
- Media: eSports included as demonstration sport in Paris 2024 Olympics.
- GigaDevice Semiconductor (603986.CH): New capacity boosts operations; breakthroughs in storage products expected.
- Changjiang Electronics (600584.CH): Losses narrowing; benefiting from improving industry sentiment.
- Holitech Technology (002217.CH): Camera and FPC as new growth drivers; earnings growth to accelerate.
- TMT: Focus on medical diagnosis and chip import substitution.
- Macro: New asset management rules impacting public funds.
- China Yangtze Power (600900.CH): Power generation hit a record high; operations slightly increased.
- Strategy: Advises caution due to frequent market sentiment changes.
- Winka Times Department (603101.CH): Steady growth in 2017; key focus on Xinjiang expansion and transformation.
Disclaimer and Risk Statement
- The document is issued by China Galaxy International Securities (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. for institutional clients.
- No guarantees are made regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information.
- The analysis does not consider individual client investment objectives, financial situations, or risk tolerance.
- Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Disclosure of Interests
- China Galaxy International may have financial interests in the companies mentioned.
- Some directors, officers, and employees may be affiliated with the companies discussed.
- The firm may have provided investment advice or services, or received compensation, from the mentioned companies.
Copyright
- All rights reserved by Galaxy International Securities.
- Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is prohibited.
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