20171114-凯基证券亚洲-Investment_Daily_5页_241kb
报告摘要
Market Summary
Core Market Indicators
| Indicator | 13 Nov | 10 Nov | 9 Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| HSI | 29,182 | 29,120 | 29,136 |
| HSI Change | +61 | -15 | +228 |
| HSI Turnover ($bn) | 38.09 | 36.57 | 37.48 |
| HSCEI | 11,684 | 11,745 | 11,744 |
| HSCEI Change | -61 | +1 | +168 |
| HSCEI Turnover ($bn) | 20.61 | 20.99 | 21.11 |
- The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 29,182 points on 13 Nov, up 61 points from the previous day.
- The HSCEI closed at 11,684 points, down 61 points on the same day.
- Overall turnover for the HSI was $38.09 billion on 13 Nov, indicating strong trading activity.
Key Market Trends
- Razer (1337) was listed and closed at $4.58, a 18% increase from the IPO price of $3.88.
- Technology stocks were a favorite among investors, with some surging 6%.
- AIA (1299) was stimulated by the China insurance liberalization policy, which aims to raise the ceiling on foreign insurers' ownership to 51% in three years and remove it entirely in five years.
- US stock market opened lower due to uncertainty over tax reform and General Electric's dividend cut, but recovered later, with the Dow and Nasdaq rising 17 points and 7 points respectively.
- Short-term treasury yields increased, with the 2-year yield rising 3 basis points to 1.70%, hitting a 9-year high.
Technical Analysis
- HSI is moving upward, aligning with the Bollinger Band top at 29,181 points, and the MACD bullish gap remains.
- The 14-day RSI is at 66.3, showing no peak divergence, indicating a bullish trend.
- Primary resistance is at 29,500 points, and primary support is at 28,790 points (the 10-day moving average).
- HSCEI shows a bearish trend, with a 14-day RSI of 57.5 and primary resistance at 11,804, primary support at 11,571.
Company Highlights
MGM China (2282)
- Opened a new casino in Cotai on 29 Jan 2018 with a $3.4bn investment.
- The new casino will have 1,390 rooms and an exhibition center of 2,870 square meters.
- Expected to have 125-150 new gaming tables, similar to Wynn Palace.
- Plans to cooperate with five VIP junkets to attract high-net-worth clients.
- The price-to-embedded-value ratio is 2.18x, higher than the 3-year average of 1.88x.
- Analysts suggest short-term speculative funds may flow into the stock, leading to short-term outperformance.
China Everbright (257)
- Waste-to-energy business contributes 60% of total revenue.
- Greentech and water businesses each contribute 20%.
- 1H17 net profit increased by 49% yoy, exceeding the positive alert of 40%.
- The greentech business has 69.7% stake and reported 69% revenue growth and 57% net profit growth in 1H17.
- The company has 73 projects with RMB17bn investment over the next three years.
- Analysts recommend accumulating due to fair valuation at 13x P/E and strong growth potential.
Stock Connect Statistics
- SH Connect and SZ Connect balances are RMB12.81bn and RMB12.46bn, respectively.
- Combined Southbound balance is RMB15.93bn.
- Top 10 Most Actively Traded Stocks (Southbound) include TENCENT (700), ICBC (1398), SMIC (981), and others.
- TENCENT (700) is the most actively traded stock with RMB756.458bn turnover.
- China Everbright (257) and AIA (1299) show high buy and sell activity.
Short Sell Statistics
- Top 10 Short Sell Stocks include TENCENT (00700.HK), PING AN (02318.HK), TRACKER FUND (02800.HK), and others.
- TENCENT (00700.HK) has the highest short sell at 1.34B, with a short sell ratio of 19.46%.
- CAM CSI300 (03188.HK) has the highest short sell ratio at 56.19%.
Economic Calendars
- MSCI will release its quarterly review results on Tuesday.
- China will release Oct. Retail Sales (YoY), Oct. Industrial Production (YoY), and Oct. Fixed Assets Ex-Rural (YoY YTD).
- Eurozone will release 3Q GDP (YoY) and Oct. CPI (YoY Finalized).
- Japan will release 3Q GDP (YoY).
- U.S. will release Oct. CPI (YoY), Oct. Advance Retail Sales (MoM), Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 11), Continuing Claims (Nov. 4), and Oct. New Housing Starts.
Disclaimer
- This report is for informational purposes only.
- It is not an invitation or offer to buy or sell securities.
- The information and opinions are subject to change without notice.
- KGI Asia Ltd. does not accept any liability for losses arising from the use of this report.
展开完整摘要
试读结束,高清完整版pdf/doc/ppt,请点下载