G7能源进展报告2023Tracking_SDG7_energy_progress_2023-292页
报告摘要
Summary of Tracking SDG 7: The Energy Progress Report 2023
Core Content
The Tracking SDG 7: The Energy Progress Report 2023 is a joint publication by five custodian agencies: the International Energy Agency (IEA), International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD), World Bank, and World Health Organization (WHO). It provides a comprehensive overview of global progress toward Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG 7), which aims to "ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern energy for all."
The report highlights the status of key SDG 7 indicators, including access to electricity, access to clean cooking fuels and technologies, renewable energy share, energy efficiency, and international public financial flows. It also outlines the challenges and opportunities in achieving the 2030 targets and emphasizes the need for stronger policy and financial commitments.
Main Findings
1. Access to Electricity (SDG 7.1.1)
- Global progress: From 2010 to 2021, the proportion of the global population with access to electricity increased from 84% to 91%, with the number of people without access dropping from 1.1 billion to 675 million.
- Current pace: Annual growth in access slowed to 0.6 percentage points between 2019 and 2021.
- 2030 target: To achieve universal access, the annual growth rate must increase to 1 percentage point from 2021 onward.
- Projected shortfall: Without additional efforts, 660 million people, mainly in Sub-Saharan Africa, will still lack electricity access by 2030.
- IEA projection: A USD 30 billion annual investment is required to reach universal access by 2030.
2. Access to Clean Cooking (SDG 7.1.2)
- Global progress: The number of people without access to clean cooking dropped from 2.9 billion in 2010 to 2.3 billion in 2021.
- 2030 target: 1.9 billion people are expected to still lack clean cooking access by 2030.
- Regional trends: Eastern Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean were the only regions to maintain progress, while Sub-Saharan Africa remains a major challenge.
- Risk of regression: Due to the ongoing impacts of the pandemic and rising energy prices, 100 million people who recently switched to clean cooking may revert to using traditional biomass.
- Policy actions: Integration into broader energy planning, affordability improvements, and better delivery mechanisms are essential to achieve the target.
3. Renewable Energy (SDG 7.2.1)
- Global progress: The share of renewable energy in total final energy consumption (TFEC) was 19.1% in 2020, up from 16% in 2010.
- 2030 target: To limit global temperature rise to less than 1.5°C, the share of renewables in TFEC must reach 33–38% by 2030.
- Power sector: Renewables must account for 60–65% of electricity generation.
- Challenges: Progress in transport and heating is slower than in electricity, requiring more aggressive policy and investment.
- Developing countries: Record-breaking renewable capacity growth in 2021, but uneven distribution and insufficient support in least developed countries remain issues.
4. Energy Efficiency (SDG 7.3.1)
- Global progress: Energy intensity improved by 1.8% per year from 2010 to 2020, falling short of the 2.6% target for 2030.
- 2030 target: To meet the 2.6% annual improvement rate, energy intensity must now improve by 3.4% per year from 2020 to 2030.
- Policy needs: More aggressive efficiency mandates, bans on inefficient equipment, and codes for net-zero buildings are necessary.
- Climate impact: Meeting the 2030 target is critical to limiting end-of-century temperature rise to less than 1.5°C.
5. International Public Financial Flows (SDG 7.a.1)
- Global trend: Financial flows to developing countries for clean energy support have declined since 2020, reaching USD 10.8 billion in 2021.
- Comparison: This is 35% below the 2010–19 average and only 40% of the 2017 peak of USD 26.4 billion.
- Concentration: Investments are heavily concentrated in a few countries.
- 2030 investment: IEA and IRENA estimate that USD 1.4–1.7 trillion annually will be needed in renewable electricity generation and related infrastructure.
- Public role: While the private sector funds most investments, the public sector remains critical, especially in developing countries.
Key Challenges
- Economic factors: Uncertain macroeconomic outlook, high inflation, currency fluctuations, and debt distress are hindering progress.
- Energy crisis: The effects of the pandemic and the war in Ukraine have slowed progress, especially in vulnerable countries.
- Inequity: Progress is uneven across regions, with Sub-Saharan Africa and least-developed countries lagging behind.
- Climate goals: Meeting SDG 7 targets is essential to achieving global climate goals, including limiting temperature rise to 1.5°C.
Call to Action
- Policy commitment: Stronger political will and policy actions are needed to close the access gap.
- System transformation: A fundamental transformation of the global energy system is required for sustainable development and energy security.
- International cooperation: Increased financial flows and transparent reporting are crucial for delivering on the energy transition.
- Data transparency: Continued improvements in data collection and tracking are vital for evidence-based decision-making.
Conclusion
Despite some progress, the current pace is insufficient to meet the 2030 targets. The report underscores the importance of scaling up efforts, strengthening policy frameworks, and enhancing international cooperation to achieve universal access to energy and support the global energy transition. The custodian agencies are committed to improving data tracking and policy guidance to ensure the SDG 7 agenda remains on course.
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