IEF-月度石油和天然气数据审查(英)-2023.7-24页_327kb
报告摘要
Summary of Monthly Oil & Gas Data Review - July 1, 2023
Oil Overview
- Global oil demand increased by 3 million barrels per day (mb/d) month-on-month in May 2023, reaching near-record highs, led by China, India, Saudi Arabia, and the United States.
- China's total product demand rose by 1.7 mb/d to 17.37 mb/d, the second-highest level ever recorded.
- Gasoline and diesel demand reached record seasonal highs, while fuel oil demand fell and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) demand remained flat.
- Jet fuel demand increased slightly but was still 9% below pre-COVID levels.
- Crude oil production declined by 0.8 mb/d month-on-month, with significant reductions in Saudi Arabia (502 kb/d), Canada, and the United States.
- Crude inventories decreased by 10 million barrels, while product inventories rose by 32 million barrels; overall, inventories remained 350 million barrels below the five-year average.
- Saudi Arabia's crude production and exports dropped notably, with increased domestic crude use.
- China boosted crude imports and product exports.
Gas Overview
- Global natural gas demand declined by 10.4 billion cubic meters (bcm) month-on-month in May, but remained near seasonal highs.
- European Union and United Kingdom demand was 17% below the seasonal average.
- Natural gas production fell by 2.1 bcm, primarily due to Norway's output drop, while inventories increased by 23.4 bcm, ending near the 5-year high for closing stocks.
Key Highlights
- Monthly participation in the Joint Oil Data Initiative (JODI) databases was high, with 53 countries updating gas and 51 updating oil data.
- Global inventories for oil and gas were mostly 99% of 2019 or 2022 levels, reflecting supply-demand dynamics.
- Countries with at least monthly reporting since 2018 provided aggregated data, enhancing comparability.
Overall Conclusions
The May 2023 update shows a recovering oil demand trend with regional variations, while natural gas demand remains seasonally adjusted with inventory builds supporting market balance. geopolitical factors and energy transitions continue to influence trends.
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