20140220-巴黎银行证券-2014_Election_tracker_14页_1mb

报告摘要

Brazil: 2014 Election Tracker Summary

Core Content Overview

The document provides an overview of the 2014 Brazilian Presidential Election, including details on the first and second rounds, rejection rates, election calendar, potential candidates, government and president approval, and disclaimers related to the report's use and distribution.

Main Candidates in the 1st Round

The primary candidates in the first round of the 2014 election included:

Dilma Rousseff (Workers' Party - PT)
Marina Silva (Brazilian Social Party - PSB)
Aécio Neves (Brazilian Social Democracy Party - PSDB)
Eduardo Campos (Brazilian Social Party - PSB)

These candidates represented different political ideologies and had varying levels of support and influence.

Key Election Dates

The election calendar outlines important deadlines and activities:

Month	Date	Event Description
April	5th	Deadline for candidates to leave public office
June	10th-30th	Period for parties to decide on candidate associations
July	5th	Deadline for parties to present candidates to the electoral court
July	6th	Campaign marketing begins (radio, TV, internet, streets)
August	19th	Publicly financed campaign starts on TV and radio
October	5th	First round of the elections (president, governor, senator, federal and state congressmen)
October	11th	Publicly financed campaign for the second round begins
October	24th	Last day of all types of marketing
October	26th	Second round of the elections

Government and President Approval

The document includes visual data on government approval and president approval trends. These metrics reflect public sentiment toward the ruling government and President Dilma Rousseff, respectively, and are likely used to assess the political climate leading up to the election.

Candidate Biographies

Dilma Rousseff (PT)

Place / Date of Birth: Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais (December 14, 1947)
Political Background: Member of left-wing and Marxist urban guerrilla groups; founder of the Democratic Labour Party (PDT); joined PT in 2001; served as President of the Republic (2010 - present)
Academic Background: BA in Economics (1977), unfinished Masters and PhD in Economics
Party: Workers' Party (PT), a centre-left party with significant representation in legislative bodies

Marina Silva (PSB)

Place / Date of Birth: Rio Branco, Acre (February 8, 1958)
Political Background: Joined PT in 1986; served as Senator from Acre (1995-1998, 2003-2011); switched to Green Party (PV) in 2009, then affiliated with PSB
Academic Background: BA in History (1984); specialization in psychoanalytical theory and psychopedagogy
Party: Brazilian Social Party (PSB), a centre-left party with strong local and national presence

Eduardo Campos (PSB)

Place / Date of Birth: Recife, Pernambuco (August 10, 1965)
Political Background: Joined PSB in 1985; served as state and federal congressman; held various state government positions; current governor of Pernambuco
Academic Background: BA in Economics (Federal University of Pernambuco)
Party: Brazilian Social Party (PSB), same as Marina Silva

Aécio Neves (PSDB)

Place / Date of Birth: Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais (March 10, 1960)
Political Background: Served as governor of Minas Gerais; federal senator; previously held positions in the federal government and local administration
Academic Background: BA in Economics (Pontifical Catholic University of Minas Gerais)
Party: Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB), a centre-right party with substantial representation in legislative bodies

José Serra (PSDB)

Place / Date of Birth: São Paulo, São Paulo (March 19, 1942)
Political Background: Served as Planning Secretary, federal congressman, federal senator, and governor of São Paulo; held key ministerial roles
Academic Background: Engineering (University of São Paulo), Economics (University of Chile and Cornell University)
Party: Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB), same as Aécio Neves

Rejection Rates

The document includes a visual representation of rejection rates, which likely refer to the percentage of voters who did not cast a ballot in the first round. This data helps assess voter turnout and engagement.

Disclaimers

The report includes several disclaimers regarding the use and distribution of the information:

Steer™ is a trademark of BNP Paribas.
The information is based on public sources and is not guaranteed to be accurate or up to date.
No liability is accepted for any loss or damage resulting from reliance on the report.
The report is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
It is intended for professional clients in certain jurisdictions and not for retail clients.
BNP Paribas may have financial interests in the entities mentioned and may have acted on the information before its publication.

Jurisdictional Restrictions

The document specifies that it is intended for professional clients in various countries, including the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, and Brazil, and is not suitable for retail clients in some regions. It also includes legal information on the authorization and regulation of BNP Paribas in different jurisdictions.

Conclusion

The 2014 Brazilian Election Tracker provides a detailed breakdown of the election process, key candidates, and political context. It serves as an analytical tool for understanding the dynamics of the election, including public approval trends and rejection rates. However, the report includes important legal and ethical disclaimers, emphasizing that the information is for professional use only and not to be relied upon as authoritative.

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