世界银行-重温萨赫勒地区地震的五个事实（英）-2025_16页_6mb

The Sahel region faces significant challenges from overlapping shocks, with approximately 60% of its population exposed to idiosyncratic, climate, or conflict shocks. Climate shocks, primarily droughts, affect 28% of households, while conflict shocks, though less prevalent at 6.5%, are geographically concentrated. Idiosyncratic shocks like illness and death impact 16% and 12% respectively. Poorer households are disproportionately affected and less resilient, with 25% of shock-affected households resorting to harmful coping strategies like selling assets or reducing access to food, which exacerbate poverty cycles. Senegal shows lower climate shock exposure compared to the region overall. The analysis emphasizes the need for adaptive social protection systems to enhance resilience, target the poor, and address geographic and categorical vulnerabilities in the face of intensifying climate change and conflicts. Policy recommendations include strengthening social protection through targeted programs and integrating diverse data sources for better shock response.

Key Findings:

• High shock exposure across Sahel.
• Wealth disparities increase vulnerability to climate and conflict.
• Negative coping strategies are prevalent among poor households.
• Senegal has unique risk profiles.

Policy Recommendations:

• Strengthen adaptive social protection systems.
• Combine resilience-building with emergency response.
• Tailor strategies to country-specific needs and vulnerabilities.