2015年-世界发展银行全球_Country_Partnership_Framework_for_the_Republic_of_Mali_the_Period_FY16-19_127页_1mb

Summary of the World Bank Group Country Partnership Framework for the Republic of Mali (FY16-19)

Core Content

The World Bank Group (WBG) Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for Mali, covering the period FY16-19, outlines a strategic approach to support the country's recovery and development in the context of ongoing political and security challenges. The CPF builds on the previous Interim Strategy Note (ISN, FY14-15) and aligns with the findings of the Systematic Country Diagnostic (SCD). It is structured around three main areas of focus: improve governance, create economic opportunities, and build resilience.

Main Points

1. Country Context and Development Agenda

• Social and Political Context:

  • Mali is a large, landlocked, and geographically diverse country with a population of about 14.9 million.
  • The 2012 political and security crisis led to a significant drop in economic growth and increased poverty.
  • The country's fragility is rooted in weak governance, high population growth, and climate change impacts.
  • The 2015 peace agreement aims to strengthen decentralization and integrate former armed groups into the national army, though implementation remains challenging.
  • Security issues persist, especially in the North, with violent groups still controlling large areas and increasing attacks in the South.

• Recent Economic Developments:

  • Economic growth has been around 4.5% in the past decade, driven by gold, agriculture, and public investment.
  • Growth fluctuated significantly due to climate shocks (2011, 2013), political instability, and aid disruptions.
  • In 2012, GDP growth dropped to 0.0%, but recovered to 7.2% in 2014 due to catch-up effects.
  • Consumer price inflation has generally remained below WAEMU convergence criteria of 3% since 2012.

• Poverty Profile and Trends:

  • Before 2012, poverty incidence declined from 60% to 51% between 2000 and 2010.
  • As of 2015, Mali ranks 176th on the Human Development Index (HDI), with low life expectancy (54 years), adult literacy (34%), and high malnutrition rates (28% of children under five are stunted).
  • The country is one of the poorest in the world with a per capita GDP of USD 480 in 2012.

2. WBG Country Partnership Framework

• Areas of Focus:

  1. Improve Governance:
     • Strengthen public resource management at central and local levels.
     • Foster citizen engagement and social accountability.
  2. Create Economic Opportunities:
     • Enhance the productive capacity and market integration of farmers and pastoralists.
     • Diversify agricultural value chains to catalyze economic transformation.
     • Improve infrastructure and connectivity for all Malians.
  3. Build Resilience:
     • Develop human capital through education and health.
     • Strengthen safety nets and risk management mechanisms for the poor and vulnerable.
     • Adapt to climate shocks and improve access to water and sanitation.

• Proposed WBG Engagement:

  • Focus on poverty reduction, shared prosperity, and sustainable development.
  • Tailor interventions to the geographic and livelihood-specific conditions of the country.
  • Mainstream safety net systems and social accountability mechanisms established under the ISN.
  • Support the Government's Action Plan (PAG) and the third Growth and Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (CSCRP-3).
  • Emphasize decentralization and the integration of ex-combatants into the national army.

• Key Challenges and Constraints:

  • Weak governance, including corruption, poor public oversight, and failed decentralization.
  • Limited agricultural transformation and vulnerability to climate change.
  • High population growth (6.9 children per woman) leading to a high age dependency ratio.
  • Youth unemployment and lack of skills are major social and security issues.
  • Inadequate statistical capacity and poor data dissemination.

3. Risk Management

• The CPF acknowledges the risk of continued instability in the North and the complexity of policy and implementation actions required by the peace agreement.
• Conflict-related risks, such as the spread of violence and disruption of basic services, could affect the CPF's impact.
• Political and macroeconomic instability may hinder government commitment to security and resource transfers.
• The CPF proposes a more systematic and regular collection of information on the conflict situation, in collaboration with the UN and key partners.
• Implementation arrangements will include remote supervision and mobile surveys to engage beneficiaries and monitor poverty trends.
• Governance reforms will be pursued through a combination of existing and new operations, including DPOs and investment projects.

4. Implementation and Partnerships

• The CPF is supported by a multi-donor approach, with the WBG working closely with the Government of Mali, the UN, and other development partners.
• The CPF includes both financing and knowledge activities, such as:
  • Investment in infrastructure, agriculture, and energy.
  • Statistical capacity building and data dissemination.
  • Social safety nets and risk management programs.
  • Decentralization and reintegration of ex-combatants.
• The CPF also supports the Sahel Program, which aims to address regional development challenges.

Key Information

• CPF Period: FY16-19.
• Country: Republic of Mali.
• Currency: CFA Franc, with USD 1.00 = FCFA 596.
• Government Objectives: Recovery and development after the 2012 crisis, as outlined in CSCRP-3 and PAG.
• WBG Teams:
  • IDA: Led by Makhtar Diop, with support from Paul Noumba Um and Paola Ridolfi.
  • IFC: Led by Malick Fall, with team members including Eric Mabushi and Mahamadou Magassouba.
  • MIGA: Led by Keiko Honda, with support from Ravi Vish and Conor Healy.
• CPF Monitoring and Evaluation:
  • Includes a Results Monitoring Matrix.
  • Relies on the Completion and Learning Review (CLR) to assess impact and learning from the ISN.
• Key Initiatives:
  • Agricultural productivity and competitiveness.
  • Decentralization and regional development.
  • Youth employment and skill development.
  • Climate change adaptation and resilience.
  • Infrastructure development and connectivity.
  • Social safety nets and public accountability.

Conclusion

The CPF for Mali aims to address the country's long-term development challenges while managing the risks posed by ongoing insecurity and weak governance. It proposes a tailored and integrated approach to support the Government of Mali in its recovery and development agenda, with a focus on improving governance, creating economic opportunities, and building resilience. The framework is aligned with the SCD and the ISN, and it builds on the progress made in previous years, emphasizing the need for sustained international support and cooperation to ensure durable peace and shared prosperity.