益普索:2022年崩溃系统情绪调查_21页_1mb
报告摘要
2022 Broken-System Sentiment Summary
Core Content
The Ipsos Broken-System Sentiment survey, conducted across 28 countries in September–November 2022, measures public perception of systemic issues in governance and economy. It is based on responses from 26,007 adults aged 16–74, using the Global Advisor online survey platform. The survey evaluates agreement with five key statements related to economic inequality, political disengagement, and the need for strong leadership.
Key Findings
Global Country Average
- 64% agree the economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful.
- 63% believe traditional parties and politicians don't care about people like them.
- 59% think a strong leader is needed to take the country back from the rich and powerful.
- 59% believe experts don't understand the lives of people like them.
- 45% agree that a strong leader willing to break the rules is needed to fix the country.
Trends from 2021
- Overall, broken-system sentiment has decreased by an average of -4 percentage points since 2021.
- Great Britain is the only country with an increase in sentiment (+5 percentage points).
- The steepest decreases occurred in South Korea, Chile, Brazil, Italy, and Colombia.
- Turkey, Thailand, and Malaysia saw significant increases in certain statements.
Country-Specific Insights
Economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful
- Highest agreement: Romania (78%), Hungary (75%)
- Lowest agreement: Sweden (45%), Netherlands (55%), Germany (55%)
Traditional parties and politicians don't care about people like me
- Highest agreement: Romania (79%), Turkey (70%)
- Lowest agreement: Sweden (44%), Netherlands (45%)
Country needs a strong leader to take it back from the rich and powerful
- Highest agreement: Romania (74%), Indonesia (70%)
- Lowest agreement: Germany (37%), Sweden (38%)
Experts don't understand the lives of people like me
- Highest agreement: Peru (70%), Turkey (69%)
- Lowest agreement: Sweden (42%), Netherlands (45%)
To fix the country, we need a strong leader willing to break the rules
- Highest agreement: Thailand (74%), Turkey (70%)
- Lowest agreement: Sweden (27%), Germany (29%)
Broken-System Index vs. Corruption Perceptions Index
- The Broken-System Index is based on agreement with the five statements.
- The Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) by Transparency International ranks countries on perceived public sector corruption (scale of 0–100).
- The survey highlights a disconnect between public perception and actual corruption levels, with countries like Sweden and the Netherlands showing low agreement with broken-system statements despite relatively high CPI scores.
Election Impact
- The six countries with the steepest index drop since April 2021 had national elections resulting in major political change.
- Great Britain, Belgium, Netherlands, and Great Britain showed increases in sentiment, but none had national elections since then.
- Elections in countries like Chile, Colombia, and Italy led to a decline in broken-system sentiment.
Methodology
- The survey included 1,000 respondents per country (except for Belgium, Hungary, Ireland, and Turkey, which had 500).
- Samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, Ireland, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, South Africa, Thailand, and Turkey are more urban, educated, and affluent than the general population.
- The Global Country Average is not population-weighted and does not represent total results.
- Data is weighted to reflect demographic profiles based on recent census data.
- The precision of the poll is ±3.5% for samples of 1,000 and ±4.8% for samples of 500.
Summary of Changes Since 2021
| Statement | 2022 Avg | Change (2021–2022) | Steepest Decrease | Steepest Increase |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy is rigged | 64% | -7 | South Korea (-21), Chile (-19) | Great Britain (+5) |
| Traditional parties don't care | 63% | -5 | Colombia (-17), Chile (-16) | Great Britain (+7) |
| Needs a strong leader to take back from the rich | 59% | -5 | Chile (-20), Italy (-19) | Great Britain (+5) |
| Experts don't understand people's lives | 59% | -6 | Italy (-19), Chile (-16), Brazil (-16) | Great Britain (+5), Belgium (+5) |
| Needs a strong leader to break the rules | 45% | +1 | South Korea (-16), Brazil (-15) | Turkey (+26), Malaysia (+8), Great Britain (+8) |
Key Takeaways
- Broken-system sentiment is high in several countries, particularly in Eastern Europe, Latin America, and parts of Asia.
- Great Britain is the only country showing an increase in broken-system sentiment since 2021.
- Elections have had a significant impact on sentiment, with political change associated with declines in broken-system perception.
- Urban, educated, and affluent populations are more likely to express broken-system views.
- The Global Broken-System Index is 2.65, reflecting a general decline in sentiment compared to 2021.
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