20231114-招银国际-Fixed_Income_Daily_Market_Update_5页_895kb
报告摘要
Fixed Income Market Commentary Summary (November 14, 2023)
Market Overview
- Markets remained stable this morning before CPI data, with IG/Leasing bonds actively traded. High-beta stocks like Walmart and Meituan saw better selling, while LGFV sentiment stayed upbeat.
Analyst Comments and News
- ADANEM: Adani Electricity Mumbai initiated a to tender offer for its bond ADANEM394902/12/30 up to USD 120 million, reducing outstanding bonds by up to 92%. The bond closed at 5 points higher.
- China Policy: Credit growth stabilized due to fiscal expansion. CMBI forecasts GDP growth at 5.2% for 2023 and 4.9% for 2024, supported by government bond issuance and slow business/consumer recovery.
- Macroeconomic Data: U.S. yields stable; China's October new loans and M2 growth beat expectations, indicating fiscal support.
- Asia New Issues: No priced issues today; pipeline includes Jinan Rail Transit's USD 210 million bond.
- Other News: Dalian Wanda facing enforcement claims; delays in high-growth sectors noted.
Trading Desk Insights
- Asia ex-Japan spreads stable with light flows. High-coupon EUAT1s and Chinese SOEs firm, while TMT stocks and gaming sectors mixed in performance.
- Key movers included DALWAN (up), ADANEM (up), and underperformers like KMRLGP and DALWAN bonds.
China Credit Update
- New RMB loans fell short, driven by ultra-short-term bill financing as confidence remains weak. Social financing rose due to government bonds, but corporate bonds declined.
- Expected credit stabilization with potential GDP rebound from fiscal policies and monetary easing.
Disclaimer
- This report contains forward-looking statements and disclosures; actual results may differ. Transacting involves risks; consult a financial advisor.
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