SFA Engineering (056190) - Company Update (2017.11.15)
Core Content
SFA Engineering is a company that has shown positive performance in its third quarter of 2017, with a strong outlook for the first half of 2018. The report highlights the company's financial results, future forecasts, and valuation metrics, as well as its investment rating.
Key Highlights
3Q17 Results
- Consolidated Sales: KRW458.2 billion (up 43.1% y-y, down 20.3% q-q)
- Operating Profit: KRW62.6 billion (up 111.8% y-y, down 19.9% q-q)
- Operating Margin: 13.7% (post-4Q14 high)
- Parent-Based Sales: KRW316.8 billion
- Parent-Based Operating Profit: KRW52.6 billion
- Parent-Based Operating Margin: 16.6% (post-4Q12 high)
Performance vs. Market
- 1M: 14.1% (vs. Kosdaq: 0.0%)
- 6M: 5.2% (vs. Kosdaq: -10.5%)
- 12M: 64.8% (vs. Kosdaq: 35.3%)
Key Changes
- Recommendation: Maintained as BUY
- Target Price: Revised to KRW53,000 (+17.8%)
- 2017E EPS: KRW4,242 (+2.8% from previous estimate)
- 2018E EPS: KRW4,176 (-0.3% from previous estimate)
SAMSUNG vs THE STREET
- No of Estimates: 6
- Target Price: KRW49,833
- Recommendation: 3.8 (BUY★★★:5, BUY:4, HOLD:3, SELL:2, SELL★★★:1)
Full-Year Forecast Revisions
| Metric |
Old (2017E) |
New (2017E) |
Diff (%) |
Old (2018E) |
New (2018E) |
Diff (%) |
| Sales |
1,925.9 |
1,880.2 |
-2.4 |
1,918.9 |
1,878.3 |
-2.1 |
| Operating Profit |
208.5 |
214.0 |
+2.6 |
201.5 |
200.7 |
-0.4 |
| Pre-Tax Profit |
201.0 |
206.6 |
+2.8 |
204.0 |
203.3 |
-0.3 |
| Net Profit |
150.7 |
154.9 |
+2.8 |
153.0 |
152.5 |
-0.3 |
Target-Price Calculation
| Metric |
Value (KRW) |
Note |
| EBITDA (2017E-2018E) |
261.3 |
Weighted average |
| EV/EBITDA multiple |
7.5 |
Average of Korean OLED equipment makers |
| Operating value |
1,960.0 |
|
| Discount (%) |
10 |
Weak order momentum |
| Fair operating value (A) |
1,764.0 |
|
| Non-operating value (B) |
146.3 |
|
| Net cash |
146.3 |
|
| Total value to shareholders |
1,910.3 |
|
| Fair value per share |
53,199 |
|
| Target price |
53,000 |
|
| Current price |
46,550 |
Nov 14 close |
| Upside (%) |
13.9 |
|
Valuation Summary
| Metric |
2016 |
2017E |
2018E |
| P/E |
21.4 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
| P/B |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
| EV/EBITDA |
9.7 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
| Dividend Yield (%) |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
| EPS Growth (%) |
153.7 |
94.7 |
-1.6 |
| ROE (%) |
14.7 |
24.0 |
19.8 |
Income Statement (KRWb)
| Metric |
2015 |
2016 |
2017E |
2018E |
2019E |
| Sales |
526 |
1,320 |
1,880 |
1,878 |
1,993 |
| Cost of Goods Sold |
418 |
1,126 |
1,570 |
1,582 |
1,691 |
| Gross Profit |
108 |
194 |
310 |
296 |
302 |
| Gross Margin (%) |
20.5 |
14.7 |
16.5 |
15.8 |
15.2 |
| Operating Profit |
58 |
121 |
214 |
201 |
201 |
| Net Profit |
31 |
80 |
155 |
152 |
154 |
| EPS (parent-based) (KRW) |
859 |
2,179 |
4,242 |
4,176 |
4,217 |
| EPS (consolidated) (KRW) |
859 |
2,216 |
4,314 |
4,247 |
4,289 |
| BVPS (KRW) |
14,020 |
16,064 |
19,536 |
22,592 |
25,689 |
| DPS (KRW) |
402 |
1,120 |
1,120 |
1,120 |
1,120 |
Cash Flow Statement (KRWb)
| Metric |
2015 |
2016 |
2017E |
2018E |
2019E |
| Cash Flow from Operations |
19 |
164 |
177 |
208 |
193 |
| Net Profit |
31 |
80 |
155 |
152 |
154 |
| Cash Flow from Investments |
-101 |
-77 |
-15 |
-12 |
-6 |
| Cash Flow from Financing |
-14 |
-58 |
-97 |
-40 |
-40 |
| Change in Cash |
-95 |
29 |
65 |
156 |
146 |
| Cash at Beginning of Year |
342 |
247 |
276 |
497 |
644 |
| Cash at End of Year |
247 |
276 |
342 |
497 |
644 |
| Gross Cash Flow |
75 |
223 |
273 |
258 |
249 |
| Free Cash Flow |
17 |
136 |
170 |
201 |
193 |
Balance Sheet (KRWb)
| Metric |
2015 |
2016 |
2017E |
2018E |
2019E |
| Total Assets |
1,189 |
1,505 |
1,566 |
1,678 |
1,817 |
| Total Liabilities |
562 |
730 |
655 |
655 |
680 |
| Net Debt to Equity |
13.9 |
0.1 |
-16.1 |
-30.0 |
-40.3 |
| Current Assets |
520 |
824 |
938 |
1,098 |
1,283 |
| Fixed Assets |
669 |
682 |
629 |
580 |
534 |
| Total Equity |
628 |
776 |
911 |
1,023 |
1,137 |
Financial Ratios
| Metric |
2015 |
2016 |
2017E |
2018E |
2019E |
| ROE (%) |
6.3 |
14.7 |
24.0 |
19.8 |
17.5 |
| ROA (%) |
3.4 |
5.9 |
10.1 |
9.4 |
8.8 |
| ROIC (%) |
8.5 |
12.5 |
21.0 |
20.4 |
21.6 |
| Payout Ratio (%) |
22.7 |
25.0 |
26.4 |
26.8 |
26.6 |
| Dividend Yield (common) (%) |
0.9 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
Investment Rating
- BUY: Expected to increase in value by 10% or more within 12 months and is highly attractive within the sector
- HOLD: Expected to increase/decrease in value by less than 10% within 12 months
- SELL: Expected to decrease in value by 10% or more within 12 months
Summary of Investment Outlook
- The company is expected to benefit from order momentum in 1H18, driven by increases in orders for clean logistics, module equipment, evaporators, and general logistics.
- The parent company had KRW797.3 billion in backlogged orders at the end of 3Q17.
- The report recommends maintaining a BUY rating, with a target price of KRW53,000, indicating a 13.9% upside from the current price of KRW46,550.
- The analyst notes that although 4Q results may weaken, this is due to past orders and is unlikely to significantly impact investor sentiment.
- Investors should monitor order momentum from Samsung Display's new fab and changes in orders from Chinese panel makers.
Compliance Notice
- The report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation.
- No individual or entity is liable for any loss or damage arising from the use of this report.
- Information is based on publicly available data and may change without notice.
- The report is not intended for all investors and should not be relied upon for individual investment decisions.
- All information is subject to change and may not be accurate or complete.
- The report is not a complete statement or summary of the securities or markets discussed.
- Samsung Securities disclaims all responsibility or liability for any loss or damage resulting from the use of the report.