> **来源:[研报客](https://pc.yanbaoke.cn)** 固定收益组 分析师:尹睿哲 (执业S1130525030009) yinruizhe@gjzq.com.cn 分析师:李豫泽 (执业S1130525030014) liyuze@gjzq.com.cn # 1月12日信用债异常成交跟踪 # 摘要 根据Wind数据,折价成交个券中,“24产融08”债券估值价格偏离幅度较大。净价上涨成交个券中,“20遵和02”估值价格偏离程度靠前。净价上涨成交二永债中,“24农行二级资本债02B”估值价格偏离幅度较大;净价上涨成交商金债中,“25河北银行绿色债”估值价格偏离幅度靠前。成交收益率高于 $5\%$ 的个券中,城投债排名靠前。 信用债估值收益变动主要分布在[-5,0)区间。非金信用债成交期限主要分布在2至3年,其中0.5年内品种折价成交占比最高;二永债成交期限主要分布在4至5年,其中2年内品种折价成交占比较高。分行业看,纺织服装行业的债券平均估值价格偏离最大。 # 风险提示 统计数据偏差或遗漏,高估值个券出现信用风险 图表1:折价成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">大幅折价个券成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>行业</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>24产融08</td><td>3.26</td><td>-0.82</td><td>82.38</td><td>29.84</td><td>9.13</td><td>8.83</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>22</td></tr><tr><td>24产融06</td><td>3.16</td><td>-0.79</td><td>83.24</td><td>29.81</td><td>9.11</td><td>8.81</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>146</td></tr><tr><td>24产融04</td><td>3.05</td><td>-0.76</td><td>84.41</td><td>29.76</td><td>9.07</td><td>8.78</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>3296</td></tr><tr><td>24产融02</td><td>3.00</td><td>-0.75</td><td>84.77</td><td>29.72</td><td>9.06</td><td>8.76</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>118</td></tr><tr><td>23产融13</td><td>2.87</td><td>-0.72</td><td>86.07</td><td>29.72</td><td>9.01</td><td>8.71</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>118</td></tr><tr><td>23产融11</td><td>2.82</td><td>-0.71</td><td>86.32</td><td>29.72</td><td>8.99</td><td>8.69</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>241</td></tr><tr><td>23产融09</td><td>2.67</td><td>-0.67</td><td>87.35</td><td>29.74</td><td>8.93</td><td>8.63</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>415</td></tr><tr><td>23产融K1</td><td>2.53</td><td>-0.64</td><td>87.68</td><td>29.77</td><td>8.87</td><td>8.57</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>1585</td></tr><tr><td>GV夷陵02</td><td>4.87</td><td>-0.23</td><td>100.06</td><td>5.17</td><td>2.75</td><td>2.69</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>社会服务</td><td>4001</td></tr><tr><td>25随州城建PPN002</td><td>4.54</td><td>-0.23</td><td>99.60</td><td>5.43</td><td>2.97</td><td>2.92</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1981</td></tr><tr><td>24金发04</td><td>3.98</td><td>-0.19</td><td>100.24</td><td>5.18</td><td>2.68</td><td>2.62</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>201</td></tr><tr><td>24赣交K1</td><td>8.57</td><td>-0.17</td><td>99.71</td><td>2.22</td><td>2.34</td><td>2.32</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>119</td></tr><tr><td>24湛基03</td><td>3.93</td><td>-0.16</td><td>100.28</td><td>4.30</td><td>2.42</td><td>2.38</td><td>AA</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>2001</td></tr><tr><td>24金发02</td><td>3.64</td><td>-0.15</td><td>100.93</td><td>4.41</td><td>2.59</td><td>2.54</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>4035</td></tr><tr><td>24赣交K2</td><td>3.62</td><td>-0.13</td><td>101.29</td><td>3.70</td><td>1.92</td><td>1.88</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>456</td></tr><tr><td>25珠华Y3</td><td>2.81</td><td>-0.12</td><td>98.92</td><td>4.77</td><td>3.00</td><td>2.96</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>1004</td></tr><tr><td>25珠华Y1</td><td>2.28</td><td>-0.11</td><td>99.97</td><td>4.96</td><td>2.91</td><td>2.86</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>4014</td></tr><tr><td>25中荣投资MTN003</td><td>2.20</td><td>-0.11</td><td>100.69</td><td>4.92</td><td>2.35</td><td>2.30</td><td>AA-</td><td></td><td>综合</td><td>2014</td></tr><tr><td>铁建YK35</td><td>2.95</td><td>-0.11</td><td>100.11</td><td>3.73</td><td>2.11</td><td>2.07</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>1698</td></tr><tr><td>25渝惠通MTN001</td><td>2.02</td><td>-0.10</td><td>100.63</td><td>5.04</td><td>2.03</td><td>1.98</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>2015</td></tr><tr><td>25海丝01</td><td>2.53</td><td>-0.09</td><td>99.68</td><td>3.90</td><td>2.33</td><td>2.29</td><td>AA</td><td></td><td>综合</td><td>3986</td></tr><tr><td>20瀛洲债</td><td>1.92</td><td>-0.09</td><td>41.84</td><td>4.74</td><td>1.97</td><td>1.93</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>2510</td></tr><tr><td>23驻投06</td><td>1.88</td><td>-0.08</td><td>98.76</td><td>4.80</td><td>2.28</td><td>2.23</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>1478</td></tr><tr><td>22珠华01</td><td>1.77</td><td>-0.08</td><td>99.51</td><td>4.92</td><td>2.59</td><td>2.54</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>2000</td></tr><tr><td>23赣交K2</td><td>2.44</td><td>-0.07</td><td>103.04</td><td>2.70</td><td>1.80</td><td>1.77</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>835</td></tr><tr><td>24华发集团MTN011</td><td>1.49</td><td>-0.07</td><td>99.94</td><td>4.73</td><td>2.56</td><td>2.51</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>600</td></tr><tr><td>24红旗渠</td><td>1.51</td><td>-0.07</td><td>100.38</td><td>4.50</td><td>2.28</td><td>2.23</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>5497</td></tr><tr><td>25首集K8</td><td>4.12</td><td>-0.07</td><td>100.06</td><td>1.69</td><td>2.03</td><td>2.02</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>1950</td></tr><tr><td>24海创05</td><td>1.78</td><td>-0.07</td><td>103.39</td><td>2.98</td><td>2.53</td><td>2.50</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>21190</td></tr><tr><td>25三峡GN001(碳中和债)</td><td>2.28</td><td>-0.07</td><td>99.75</td><td>3.01</td><td>1.76</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>公用事业</td><td>1995</td></tr><tr><td>25首集K6</td><td>4.08</td><td>-0.07</td><td>99.88</td><td>1.70</td><td>2.03</td><td>2.01</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>1457</td></tr><tr><td>19黄石国资绿色债</td><td>0.70</td><td>-0.07</td><td>20.51</td><td>5.05</td><td>2.05</td><td>2.00</td><td>AA</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>410</td></tr><tr><td>25首集K4</td><td>4.01</td><td>-0.07</td><td>100.20</td><td>1.72</td><td>2.03</td><td>2.01</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>1102</td></tr><tr><td>24西科K1</td><td>1.54</td><td>-0.06</td><td>100.30</td><td>4.09</td><td>2.14</td><td>2.10</td><td>AA</td><td></td><td>电子</td><td>8020</td></tr><tr><td>24红开投</td><td>1.02</td><td>-0.06</td><td>103.30</td><td>3.84</td><td>2.66</td><td>2.62</td><td>AA-</td><td></td><td>城投</td><td>9295</td></tr><tr><td>20惠通双创债</td><td>1.30</td><td>-0.06</td><td>41.05</td><td>3.68</td><td>1.91</td><td>1.88</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>821</td></tr><tr><td>23华发集团MTN006</td><td>0.85</td><td>-0.05</td><td>101.08</td><td>5.25</td><td>2.48</td><td>2.43</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>3034</td></tr><tr><td>24华发集团MTN002</td><td>1.06</td><td>-0.05</td><td>100.61</td><td>4.78</td><td>2.51</td><td>2.46</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>1506</td></tr><tr><td>GK三峰03</td><td>2.17</td><td>-0.05</td><td>100.83</td><td>2.21</td><td>1.91</td><td>1.88</td><td>AA+</td><td></td><td>环保</td><td>3027</td></tr><tr><td>24厦信Y1</td><td>0.93</td><td>-0.05</td><td>100.08</td><td>5.16</td><td>3.02</td><td>2.97</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>汽车</td><td>2001</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表2:净价上涨个券成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">大幅正偏离个券成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>行业</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>20遵和02</td><td>1.71</td><td>0.76</td><td>39.22</td><td>-65.19</td><td>5.69</td><td>6.34</td><td>A</td><td>AA-</td><td>城投</td><td>609</td></tr><tr><td>20遵和01</td><td>1.28</td><td>0.49</td><td>39.67</td><td>-65.43</td><td>5.59</td><td>6.24</td><td>A</td><td>AA-</td><td>城投</td><td>20</td></tr><tr><td>25惠商V1</td><td>2.77</td><td>0.32</td><td>100.97</td><td>-12.26</td><td>3.11</td><td>3.23</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>综合</td><td>1011</td></tr><tr><td>25惠临03</td><td>4.91</td><td>0.27</td><td>99.99</td><td>-5.90</td><td>3.13</td><td>3.19</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>2004</td></tr><tr><td>22资城01</td><td>1.44</td><td>0.22</td><td>83.54</td><td>-21.37</td><td>2.19</td><td>2.40</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1666</td></tr><tr><td>25阜城03</td><td>4.87</td><td>0.22</td><td>99.96</td><td>-4.80</td><td>2.812.86</td><td></td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>3977</td></tr><tr><td>25饶发01</td><td>4.60</td><td>0.20</td><td>100.21</td><td>-4.60</td><td>2.88</td><td>2.93</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>2004</td></tr><tr><td>25武金控MTN001</td><td>1.99</td><td>0.18</td><td>100.65</td><td>-9.42</td><td>2.02</td><td>2.12</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>2013</td></tr><tr><td>24三峡GN006(碳中和债)</td><td>28.93</td><td>0.18</td><td>94.90</td><td>-0.85</td><td>2.52</td><td>2.53</td><td>AAA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>公用事业</td><td>5672</td></tr><tr><td>25皖交控MTN003</td><td>29.81</td><td>0.17</td><td>98.57</td><td>-0.84</td><td>2.57</td><td>2.58</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>交通运输</td><td>4927</td></tr><tr><td>24中化08</td><td>28.42</td><td>0.16</td><td>99.89</td><td>-0.83</td><td>2.99</td><td>2.99</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>39</td></tr><tr><td>25重发02</td><td>9.24</td><td>0.15</td><td>98.29</td><td>-1.84</td><td>2.54</td><td>2.56</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>11754</td></tr><tr><td>25成都高新MTN001</td><td>9.26</td><td>0.15</td><td>98.28</td><td>-1.84</td><td>2.58</td><td>2.60</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>5897</td></tr><tr><td>25财金01</td><td>4.54</td><td>0.14</td><td>99.40</td><td>-3.31</td><td>2.09</td><td>2.12</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>6263</td></tr><tr><td>24淮北04</td><td>8.56</td><td>0.14</td><td>91.81</td><td>-1.78</td><td>3.73</td><td>3.75</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>274</td></tr><tr><td>24川高01</td><td>8.60</td><td>0.14</td><td>99.46</td><td>-1.78</td><td>2.52</td><td>2.54</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>995</td></tr><tr><td>24蜀道投资MTN014</td><td>8.77</td><td>0.14</td><td>102.14</td><td>-1.80</td><td>2.52</td><td>2.54</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>2040</td></tr><tr><td>24淮北03</td><td>8.53</td><td>0.13</td><td>95.80</td><td>-1.78</td><td>3.73</td><td>3.75</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>191</td></tr><tr><td>24兴城07</td><td>8.49</td><td>0.13</td><td>101.29</td><td>-1.78</td><td>2.52</td><td>2.54</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>3033</td></tr><tr><td>24长产02</td><td>8.28</td><td>0.13</td><td>101.53</td><td>-1.73</td><td>2.61</td><td>2.63</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>1013</td></tr><tr><td>24长建01</td><td>8.41</td><td>0.12</td><td>102.73</td><td>-1.77</td><td>3.39</td><td>3.41</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>828</td></tr><tr><td>25皖投集MTN004(科创债)</td><td>19.85</td><td>0.12</td><td>97.73</td><td>-0.79</td><td>2.73</td><td>2.74</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>3909</td></tr><tr><td>24中铝集MTN005B(科创票据)</td><td>18.60</td><td>0.12</td><td>98.66</td><td>-0.82</td><td>2.64</td><td>2.65</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>有色金属</td><td>1971</td></tr><tr><td>25两产K2</td><td>9.80</td><td>0.12</td><td>99.23</td><td>-1.39</td><td>2.57</td><td>2.58</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>3962</td></tr><tr><td>24中铝集MTN008</td><td>18.78</td><td>0.12</td><td>102.28</td><td>-0.82</td><td>2.64</td><td>2.65</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>有色金属</td><td>2044</td></tr><tr><td>24农行二级资本债02B</td><td>8.29</td><td>0.12</td><td>100.54</td><td>-1.60</td><td>2.42</td><td>2.43</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>银行</td><td>6024</td></tr><tr><td>24交行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.30</td><td>0.12</td><td>101.35</td><td>-1.60</td><td>2.42</td><td>2.43</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>银行</td><td>1012</td></tr><tr><td>24中行二级资本债02B</td><td>8.24</td><td>0.12</td><td>102.21</td><td>-1.61</td><td>2.41</td><td>2.43</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>银行</td><td>17764</td></tr><tr><td>24中信02</td><td>18.61</td><td>0.12</td><td>99.58</td><td>-0.78</td><td>2.48</td><td>2.49</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>5964</td></tr><tr><td>25津城建MTN012</td><td>2.79</td><td>0.11</td><td>100.14</td><td>-4.18</td><td>2.17</td><td>2.21</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>6004</td></tr><tr><td>24中化06</td><td>13.33</td><td>0.11</td><td>100.59</td><td>-1.01</td><td>2.79</td><td>2.80</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>9274</td></tr><tr><td>24中煤K2</td><td>13.51</td><td>0.11</td><td>100.97</td><td>-0.97</td><td>2.49</td><td>2.50</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>煤炭</td><td>1009</td></tr><tr><td>25淮开04</td><td>9.87</td><td>0.11</td><td>99.00</td><td>-1.33</td><td>3.80</td><td>3.82</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>3975</td></tr><tr><td>25远发K1</td><td>13.99</td><td>0.11</td><td>96.27</td><td>-0.89</td><td>2.50</td><td>2.51</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>交通运输</td><td>961</td></tr><tr><td>25中化01</td><td>14.02</td><td>0.11</td><td>94.34</td><td>-0.89</td><td>2.79</td><td>2.80</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>112</td></tr><tr><td>25诚通控股MTN002B</td><td>14.44</td><td>0.11</td><td>95.65</td><td>-0.86</td><td>2.59</td><td>2.60</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>5714</td></tr><tr><td>24建行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.07</td><td>0.11</td><td>103.04</td><td>-1.51</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.42</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>银行</td><td>92642</td></tr><tr><td>24深投04</td><td>13.55</td><td>0.11</td><td>97.75</td><td>-0.91</td><td>2.56</td><td>2.57</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>5849</td></tr><tr><td>24中行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.06</td><td>0.11</td><td>103.26</td><td>-1.50</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.42</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>银行</td><td>56526</td></tr><tr><td>沪国投K1</td><td>14.25</td><td>0.10</td><td>95.57</td><td>-0.84</td><td>2.47</td><td>2.48</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>非银金融</td><td>605</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表3:二永债成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">二永债成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>银行分类</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>24农行二级资本债02B</td><td>8.29</td><td>0.12</td><td>100.54</td><td>-1.60</td><td>2.42</td><td>2.43</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>6024</td></tr><tr><td>24交行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.30</td><td>0.12</td><td>101.35</td><td>-1.60</td><td>2.42</td><td>2.43</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>1012</td></tr><tr><td>24中行二级资本债02B</td><td>8.24</td><td>0.12</td><td>102.21</td><td>-1.61</td><td>2.41</td><td>2.43</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>17764</td></tr><tr><td>24建行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.07</td><td>0.11</td><td>103.04</td><td>-1.51</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.42</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>92642</td></tr><tr><td>24中行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.06</td><td>0.11</td><td>103.26</td><td>-1.50</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.42</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>56526</td></tr><tr><td>24平安银行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.50</td><td>0.10</td><td>99.36</td><td>-1.33</td><td>2.58</td><td>2.60</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>2978</td></tr><tr><td>23中信银行二级资本债01B</td><td>7.94</td><td>0.10</td><td>105.53</td><td>-1.52</td><td>2.47</td><td>2.49</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>3163</td></tr><tr><td>24广发银行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.57</td><td>0.10</td><td>97.83</td><td>-1.25</td><td>2.58</td><td>2.60</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>11722</td></tr><tr><td>23建行二级资本债03B</td><td>7.85</td><td>0.09</td><td>107.21</td><td>-1.47</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.41</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>32134</td></tr><tr><td>23工行二级资本债02B</td><td>7.64</td><td>0.09</td><td>105.38</td><td>-1.45</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.41</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>66117</td></tr><tr><td>23农行二级资本债03B</td><td>7.81</td><td>0.09</td><td>108.09</td><td>-1.46</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.41</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>42091</td></tr><tr><td>23中行二级资本债02B</td><td>7.70</td><td>0.09</td><td>106.74</td><td>-1.45</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.41</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>31992</td></tr><tr><td>23农行二级资本债02B</td><td>7.68</td><td>0.09</td><td>106.58</td><td>-1.45</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.41</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>19160</td></tr><tr><td>25农行二级资本债03B(BC)</td><td>9.69</td><td>0.08</td><td>99.40</td><td>-0.99</td><td>2.57</td><td>2.58</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>11914</td></tr><tr><td>23邮储银行二级资本债01</td><td>7.34</td><td>0.08</td><td>106.60</td><td>-1.38</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.41</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>5326</td></tr><tr><td>23农行二级资本债01B</td><td>7.20</td><td>0.08</td><td>107.94</td><td>-1.33</td><td>2.39</td><td>2.41</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>10783</td></tr><tr><td>23光大二级资本债01B</td><td>7.25</td><td>0.07</td><td>107.94</td><td>-1.29</td><td>2.43</td><td>2.44</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>12946</td></tr><tr><td>24浦发银行二级资本债02B</td><td>8.92</td><td>0.06</td><td>97.98</td><td>-0.79</td><td>2.60</td><td>2.60</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>3917</td></tr><tr><td>22工行二级资本债05B</td><td>6.95</td><td>0.06</td><td>109.25</td><td>-1.14</td><td>2.39</td><td>2.40</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>6550</td></tr><tr><td>22工行二级资本债04B</td><td>6.83</td><td>0.06</td><td>105.96</td><td>-1.07</td><td>2.38</td><td>2.39</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>2118</td></tr><tr><td>22光大银行二级资本债01B</td><td>6.63</td><td>0.06</td><td>105.74</td><td>-1.06</td><td>2.40</td><td>2.41</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>7400</td></tr><tr><td>24农行二级资本债02A</td><td>3.28</td><td>0.05</td><td>101.17</td><td>-1.83</td><td>1.95</td><td>1.97</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>12134</td></tr><tr><td>24建行二级资本债02A</td><td>3.49</td><td>0.05</td><td>100.77</td><td>-1.69</td><td>1.98</td><td>2.00</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>52375</td></tr><tr><td>25无锡农商行二级资本债01</td><td>4.96</td><td>0.05</td><td>99.76</td><td>-1.17</td><td>2.58</td><td>2.59</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>农商行</td><td>3008</td></tr><tr><td>22农行二级资本债02B</td><td>6.70</td><td>0.05</td><td>105.89</td><td>-1.02</td><td>2.38</td><td>2.39</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>1059</td></tr><tr><td>24交行二级资本债02A</td><td>3.54</td><td>0.05</td><td>100.65</td><td>-1.65</td><td>1.99</td><td>2.00</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>27167</td></tr><tr><td>25紫金农商行二级资本债01</td><td>4.96</td><td>0.05</td><td>99.90</td><td>-1.17</td><td>2.72</td><td>2.73</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>农商行</td><td>25959</td></tr><tr><td>24交行二级资本债01A</td><td>3.30</td><td>0.05</td><td>101.58</td><td>-1.82</td><td>1.95</td><td>1.97</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>6091</td></tr><tr><td>25广发银行二级资本债01BC</td><td>4.93</td><td>0.05</td><td>99.72</td><td>-1.13</td><td>2.31</td><td>2.32</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>4980</td></tr><tr><td>24中行二级资本债02A</td><td>3.24</td><td>0.05</td><td>102.10</td><td>-1.84</td><td>1.94</td><td>1.96</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>7143</td></tr><tr><td>25中行永续债01BC</td><td>4.53</td><td>0.05</td><td>99.04</td><td>-1.06</td><td>2.19</td><td>2.20</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>51474</td></tr><tr><td>24华兴银行永续债01</td><td>3.55</td><td>0.05</td><td>96.53</td><td>-1.19</td><td>4.25</td><td>4.26</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>485</td></tr><tr><td>25九江银行永续债01</td><td>4.90</td><td>0.04</td><td>98.96</td><td>-0.95</td><td>3.03</td><td>3.04</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>12832</td></tr><tr><td>25四川银行永续债01</td><td>4.55</td><td>0.04</td><td>99.13</td><td>-0.96</td><td>2.50</td><td>2.51</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>15849</td></tr><tr><td>25湖州银行永续债01</td><td>4.85</td><td>0.04</td><td>99.28</td><td>-0.93</td><td>2.82</td><td>2.83</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>890</td></tr><tr><td>25苏州银行永续债01</td><td>4.85</td><td>0.04</td><td>99.53</td><td>-0.92</td><td>2.46</td><td>2.47</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>5000</td></tr><tr><td>25长沙银行永续债01</td><td>4.84</td><td>0.04</td><td>99.45</td><td>-0.91</td><td>2.46</td><td>2.47</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2982</td></tr><tr><td>25上海银行永续债01</td><td>4.92</td><td>0.04</td><td>100.18</td><td>-0.89</td><td>2.38</td><td>2.39</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>16021</td></tr><tr><td>25华夏银行永续债01</td><td>4.89</td><td>0.04</td><td>99.82</td><td>-0.88</td><td>2.36</td><td>2.37</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>74812</td></tr><tr><td>25杭州银行永续债02</td><td>4.88</td><td>0.04</td><td>99.83</td><td>-0.87</td><td>2.36</td><td>2.37</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>27936</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表4:商金债成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">商金债成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>银行分类</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>25河北银行绿色债</td><td>2.58</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.73</td><td>-0.17</td><td>1.94</td><td>1.94</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2992</td></tr><tr><td>25湖南银行债01</td><td>2.57</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.84</td><td>-0.16</td><td>1.86</td><td>1.87</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>10979</td></tr><tr><td>25东营银行科创债01</td><td>4.95</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.36</td><td>-0.08</td><td>2.10</td><td>2.10</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>1986</td></tr><tr><td>25九江银行绿色债</td><td>2.49</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.81</td><td>-0.13</td><td>1.92</td><td>1.92</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>998</td></tr><tr><td>25东莞银行01</td><td>2.50</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.87</td><td>-0.13</td><td>1.83</td><td>1.83</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>4993</td></tr><tr><td>25北部湾银行科创债</td><td>4.55</td><td>0.00</td><td>98.75</td><td>-0.02</td><td>2.09</td><td>2.09</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2963</td></tr><tr><td>25泉州银行小微债01</td><td>2.43</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.94</td><td>-0.11</td><td>1.92</td><td>1.92</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>4996</td></tr><tr><td>25建行科创债01A(BC)</td><td>2.37</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.80</td><td>-0.08</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.74</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>895</td></tr><tr><td>25光大银行债03</td><td>2.83</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.90</td><td>-0.08</td><td>1.84</td><td>1.84</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>39966</td></tr><tr><td>25交通银行科创债01</td><td>2.34</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.81</td><td>-0.07</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>895</td></tr><tr><td>25农业银行科创债</td><td>2.34</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.81</td><td>-0.07</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>895</td></tr><tr><td>25广州农商行债01</td><td>2.87</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.79</td><td>-0.06</td><td>1.93</td><td>1.93</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>农商行</td><td>8983</td></tr><tr><td>25杭州银行03</td><td>2.65</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.07</td><td>-0.10</td><td>1.84</td><td>1.84</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>28021</td></tr><tr><td>25建行小微债01BC</td><td>2.70</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.09</td><td>-0.10</td><td>1.81</td><td>1.82</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>35022</td></tr><tr><td>25长沙农商行小微债01</td><td>2.85</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.88</td><td>-0.07</td><td>1.96</td><td>1.96</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>农商行</td><td>3997</td></tr><tr><td>25上海银行债02</td><td>2.68</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.12</td><td>-0.10</td><td>1.84</td><td>1.84</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>8009</td></tr><tr><td>25厦门国际银行债02</td><td>2.81</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.86</td><td>-0.06</td><td>1.99</td><td>1.99</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>19967</td></tr><tr><td>25赣州银行债01</td><td>2.89</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.95</td><td>-0.07</td><td>1.97</td><td>1.97AA</td><td>AA+</td><td></td><td>城商行</td><td>4996</td></tr><tr><td>25兴业银行债01</td><td>2.88</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.00</td><td>-0.07</td><td>1.84</td><td>1.84</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>10001</td></tr><tr><td>25徽商银行小微债</td><td>2.92</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.94</td><td>-0.06</td><td>1.89</td><td>1.89</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>18988</td></tr><tr><td>25南海农商行债01</td><td>2.82</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.97</td><td>-0.07</td><td>1.96</td><td>1.96</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>农商行</td><td>9998</td></tr><tr><td>25湖州银行小微债01</td><td>2.90</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.06</td><td>-0.07</td><td>1.97</td><td>1.97</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>12003</td></tr><tr><td>25上海农商01</td><td>2.49</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.75</td><td>-0.04</td><td>1.80</td><td>1.80</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>农商行</td><td>10973</td></tr><tr><td>25光大银行债02</td><td>2.49</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.75</td><td>-0.04</td><td>1.78</td><td>1.78</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>998</td></tr><tr><td>25浦发银行03</td><td>2.92</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.02</td><td>-0.06</td><td>1.84</td><td>1.84</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>4001</td></tr><tr><td>25北部湾银行绿债01</td><td>2.67</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.95</td><td>-0.06</td><td>1.95</td><td>1.95</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>54956</td></tr><tr><td>25江苏银行债04BC</td><td>2.94</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.99</td><td>-0.06</td><td>1.86</td><td>1.86</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>7000</td></tr><tr><td>25江苏银行科创债01BC</td><td>4.78</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.16</td><td>-0.04</td><td>1.89</td><td>1.90</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>898</td></tr><tr><td>25华夏银行科创债01</td><td>4.41</td><td>0.00</td><td>99.68</td><td>-0.02</td><td>1.85</td><td>1.85</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>894</td></tr><tr><td>25温州银行01</td><td>2.29</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.09</td><td>-0.07</td><td>1.91</td><td>1.91</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>1001</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表5:成交收益率高于 $5\%$ 的个券 <table><tr><td colspan="11">高收益成交个券跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>行业</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>20遵和02</td><td>1.71</td><td>0.76</td><td>39.22</td><td>-65.19</td><td>5.69</td><td>6.34</td><td>A</td><td>AA-</td><td>城投</td><td>609</td></tr><tr><td>20遵和01</td><td>1.28</td><td>0.49</td><td>39.67</td><td>-65.43</td><td>5.59</td><td>6.24</td><td>A</td><td>AA-</td><td>城投</td><td>20</td></tr><tr><td>23中航产融MTN002</td><td>0.92</td><td>0.06</td><td>93.85</td><td>-0.60</td><td>10.44</td><td>10.44</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>469</td></tr><tr><td>21金地04</td><td>0.23</td><td>0.04</td><td>99.02</td><td>-0.63</td><td>8.32</td><td>8.32</td><td>BB+</td><td>AAA</td><td>房地产</td><td>60</td></tr><tr><td>23产融04</td><td>0.11</td><td>0.03</td><td>99.52</td><td>-0.59</td><td>7.01</td><td>7.01</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>1051</td></tr><tr><td>23产融K1</td><td>2.53</td><td>-0.64</td><td>87.68</td><td>29.77</td><td>8.87</td><td>8.57</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>1585</td></tr><tr><td>23产融09</td><td>2.67</td><td>-0.67</td><td>87.35</td><td>29.74</td><td>8.93</td><td>8.63</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>415</td></tr><tr><td>23产融11</td><td>2.82</td><td>-0.71</td><td>86.32</td><td>29.72</td><td>8.99</td><td>8.69</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>241</td></tr><tr><td>23产融13</td><td>2.87</td><td>-0.72</td><td>86.07</td><td>29.72</td><td>9.01</td><td>8.71</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>118</td></tr><tr><td>24产融02</td><td>3.00</td><td>-0.75</td><td>84.77</td><td>29.72</td><td>9.06</td><td>8.76</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>118</td></tr><tr><td>24产融04</td><td>3.05</td><td>-0.76</td><td>84.41</td><td>29.76</td><td>9.07</td><td>8.78</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>3296</td></tr><tr><td>24产融06</td><td>3.16</td><td>-0.79</td><td>83.24</td><td>29.81</td><td>9.11</td><td>8.81</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>146</td></tr><tr><td>24产融08</td><td>3.26</td><td>-0.82</td><td>82.38</td><td>29.84</td><td>9.13</td><td>8.83</td><td>A+</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>22</td></tr><tr><td>22万科02</td><td>1.14</td><td>-3.69</td><td>26.12</td><td>1334.62</td><td>234.44</td><td>221.09</td><td>CC</td><td>AAA</td><td>房地产</td><td>185</td></tr><tr><td>22万科04</td><td>1.40</td><td>-3.69</td><td>26.12</td><td>842.42</td><td>169.79</td><td>161.37</td><td>CC</td><td>AAA</td><td>房地产</td><td>46</td></tr><tr><td>22万科06</td><td>1.48</td><td>-3.69</td><td>26.12</td><td>746.23</td><td>155.97</td><td>148.51</td><td>CC</td><td>AAA</td><td>房地产</td><td>20</td></tr><tr><td>H1碧地03</td><td>0.67</td><td>-9.27</td><td>7.60</td><td>120.21</td><td>31.57</td><td>30.37</td><td>CC</td><td></td><td>房地产</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>H1碧地04</td><td>0.93</td><td>-9.28</td><td>7.77</td><td>123.56</td><td>31.93</td><td>30.70</td><td>CC</td><td></td><td>房地产</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>H1碧地02</td><td>1.42</td><td>-9.77</td><td>7.16</td><td>121.62</td><td>32.66</td><td>31.44</td><td>CC</td><td></td><td>房地产</td><td>37</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表6:当日信用债成交估值偏离分布 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表7:当日非金信用债成交期限分布(城投+产业) 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表8:当日二永债成交期限分布 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表9:各行业非金信用债折价成交比例及成交规模 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 # 风险提示 1、统计数据偏差或遗漏:报告基于CFETS、交易所债券成交数据进行统计,或与当日撮合成交结果存在一定偏差,也存在因统计时间造成数据遗漏的可能。 2、高估值个券出现信用风险:估值价格偏离较大的个券,需关注其主体资质变化。 # 特别声明: 国金证券股份有限公司经中国证券监督管理委员会批准,已具备证券投资咨询业务资格。 本报告版权归“国金证券股份有限公司”(以下简称“国金证券”)所有,未经事先书面授权,任何机构和个人均不得以任何方式对本报告的任何部分制作任何形式的复制、转发、转载、引用、修改、仿制、刊发,或以任何侵犯本公司版权的其他方式使用。经过书面授权的引用、刊发,需注明出处为“国金证券股份有限公司”,且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的删节和修改。 本报告的产生基于国金证券及其研究人员认为可信的公开资料或实地调研资料,但国金证券及其研究人员对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证。本报告反映撰写研究人员的不同设想、见解及分析方法,故本报告所载观点可能与其他类似研究报告的观点及市场实际情况不一致,国金证券不对使用本报告所包含的材料产生的任何直接或间接损失或与此有关的其他任何损失承担任何责任。且本报告中的资料、意见、预测均反映报告初次公开发布时的判断,在不作事先通知的情况下,可能会随时调整,亦可因使用不同假设和标准、采用不同观点和分析方法而与国金证券其它业务部门、单位或附属机构在制作类似的其他材料时所给出的意见不同或者相反。 本报告仅为参考之用,在任何地区均不应被视为买卖任何证券、金融工具的要约或要约邀请。本报告提及的任何证券或金融工具均可能含有重大的风险,可能不易变卖以及不适合所有投资者。本报告所提及的证券或金融工具的价格、价值及收益可能会受汇率影响而波动。过往的业绩并不能代表未来的表现。 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