> **来源:[研报客](https://pc.yanbaoke.cn)** 固定收益组 分析师:尹睿哲 (执业S1130525030009) yinruizhe@gjzq.com.cn 固定收益组 分析师:李豫泽 (执业S1130525030014) liyuze@gjzq.com.cn # 2月24日信用债异常成交跟踪 # 摘要 根据Wind数据,折价成交个券中,“23陕旅04”债券估值价格偏离幅度较大。净价上涨成交个券中,“23产融09”估值价格偏离程度靠前。净价上涨成交二永债中,“25绵阳商行永续债01”估值价格偏离幅度较大;净价上涨成交商金债中,“25贵州银行绿色债01”估值价格偏离幅度靠前。成交收益率高于 $5\%$ 的个券中,非银金融债排名靠前。 信用债估值收益变动主要分布在[-5,0)区间。非金信用债成交期限主要分布在2至3年,其中0.5至1年期品种折价成交占比最高;二永债成交期限主要分布在4至5年,其中1年内品种折价成交占比最高。分行业看,汽车行业的债券平均估值价格偏离最大。 # 风险提示 统计数据偏差或遗漏,高估值个券出现信用风险 图表1:折价成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">大幅折价个券成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>行业</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>23陕旅04</td><td>0.55</td><td>-0.16</td><td>102.92</td><td>0.04</td><td>1.90</td><td>1.90</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>社会服务</td><td>2057</td></tr><tr><td>24水城01</td><td>3.83</td><td>-0.11</td><td>104.67</td><td>2.15</td><td>3.67</td><td>3.65</td><td>AA-</td><td>0</td><td>城投</td><td>313</td></tr><tr><td>26滨控01</td><td>2.96</td><td>-0.11</td><td>99.62</td><td>3.84</td><td>2.03</td><td>2.00</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>3976</td></tr><tr><td>24市中01</td><td>3.07</td><td>-0.10</td><td>106.00</td><td>1.77</td><td>2.88</td><td>2.86</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>2336</td></tr><tr><td>陕汽KY02</td><td>2.44</td><td>-0.10</td><td>100.18</td><td>4.19</td><td>2.32</td><td>2.28</td><td>AA</td><td>0</td><td>汽车</td><td>1810</td></tr><tr><td>17兵装06</td><td>1.38</td><td>-0.09</td><td>104.32</td><td>0.15</td><td>1.70</td><td>1.70</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>汽车</td><td>1043</td></tr><tr><td>18京基投MTN001B</td><td>0.81</td><td>-0.09</td><td>102.42</td><td>0.11</td><td>1.67</td><td>1.67</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>4100</td></tr><tr><td>25运达GY01</td><td>2.83</td><td>-0.09</td><td>100.38</td><td>2.99</td><td>2.35</td><td>2.32</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>电力设备</td><td>1995</td></tr><tr><td>26川金01</td><td>4.96</td><td>-0.08</td><td>99.12</td><td>1.87</td><td>2.10</td><td>2.08</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>19845</td></tr><tr><td>23空港城发PPN001</td><td>0.03</td><td>-0.08</td><td>100.07</td><td>0.04</td><td>1.74</td><td>1.74</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>3010</td></tr><tr><td>21厦门轨道债01</td><td>0.02</td><td>-0.07</td><td>100.05</td><td>0.27</td><td>1.64</td><td>1.64</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>10005</td></tr><tr><td>21环保债</td><td>0.51</td><td>-0.07</td><td>101.00</td><td>1.58</td><td>1.69</td><td>1.67</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>环保</td><td>1010</td></tr><tr><td>23科工YK01</td><td>0.71</td><td>-0.07</td><td>101.41</td><td>1.03</td><td>1.90</td><td>1.89</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>2029</td></tr><tr><td>26蓝乡产投PPN001B(乡村振兴)</td><td>4.96</td><td>-0.07</td><td>100.28</td><td>1.36</td><td>2.93</td><td>2.91</td><td>AA</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>4021</td></tr><tr><td>24昆产01</td><td>1.21</td><td>-0.06</td><td>102.47</td><td>0.49</td><td>2.89</td><td>2.89</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>837</td></tr><tr><td>21杭实01</td><td>0.44</td><td>-0.06</td><td>100.80</td><td>1.47</td><td>1.76</td><td>1.75</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>商贸零售</td><td>202</td></tr><tr><td>26建川GT01</td><td>4.94</td><td>-0.06</td><td>99.97</td><td>1.33</td><td>2.78</td><td>2.76</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>3000</td></tr><tr><td>16豫高管MTN002</td><td>0.53</td><td>-0.06</td><td>101.07</td><td>0.09</td><td>1.70</td><td>1.69</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>9108</td></tr><tr><td>21光大Y4</td><td>0.38</td><td>-0.06</td><td>100.76</td><td>0.30</td><td>1.69</td><td>1.68</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>907</td></tr><tr><td>21电建04</td><td>0.46</td><td>-0.06</td><td>100.79</td><td>1.83</td><td>1.67</td><td>1.65</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>10079</td></tr><tr><td>21豫交投MTN001</td><td>0.56</td><td>-0.06</td><td>101.13</td><td>0.03</td><td>1.70</td><td>1.70</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>4048</td></tr><tr><td>24万盛03</td><td>1.12</td><td>-0.06</td><td>102.10</td><td>0.46</td><td>2.28</td><td>2.27</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>102</td></tr><tr><td>23新兴K2</td><td>0.76</td><td>-0.06</td><td>101.34</td><td>0.64</td><td>1.84</td><td>1.83</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>4051</td></tr><tr><td>21鲁高03</td><td>0.44</td><td>-0.06</td><td>100.73</td><td>1.82</td><td>1.68</td><td>1.66</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>705</td></tr><tr><td>23钱塘01</td><td>0.01</td><td>-0.06</td><td>100.02</td><td>1.07</td><td>1.71</td><td>1.70</td><td>AA+</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>8005</td></tr><tr><td>21深投03</td><td>0.44</td><td>-0.06</td><td>100.71</td><td>1.81</td><td>1.70</td><td>1.68</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>1108</td></tr><tr><td>23粤财K2</td><td>2.38</td><td>-0.06</td><td>103.22</td><td>0.83</td><td>1.79</td><td>1.78</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>非银金融</td><td>206</td></tr><tr><td>23镇风02</td><td>0.73</td><td>-0.06</td><td>101.39</td><td>0.02</td><td>1.95</td><td>1.95</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1014</td></tr><tr><td>21深高01</td><td>0.42</td><td>-0.06</td><td>100.69</td><td>1.67</td><td>1.67</td><td>1.65</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>交通运输</td><td>2014</td></tr><tr><td>23延长K7</td><td>2.66</td><td>-0.06</td><td>103.84</td><td>0.58</td><td>1.80</td><td>1.79</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>石油石化</td><td>831</td></tr><tr><td>26环水01</td><td>4.90</td><td>-0.06</td><td>99.53</td><td>1.26</td><td>2.47</td><td>2.46</td><td>AA</td><td>AA</td><td>环保</td><td>4965</td></tr><tr><td>22两江01</td><td>1.05</td><td>-0.06</td><td>102.00</td><td>0.06</td><td>1.79</td><td>1.79</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>1020</td></tr><tr><td>24兴工债</td><td>1.14</td><td>-0.05</td><td>101.94</td><td>0.50</td><td>2.43</td><td>2.42</td><td>AA-</td><td>0</td><td>城投</td><td>1012</td></tr><tr><td>22蜀道投资MTN003</td><td>0.99</td><td>-0.05</td><td>101.63</td><td>0.01</td><td>1.72</td><td>1.72</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>4066</td></tr><tr><td>鲁金KY02</td><td>0.76</td><td>-0.05</td><td>101.10</td><td>1.07</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.72</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>有色金属</td><td>3336</td></tr><tr><td>25济发K1</td><td>4.79</td><td>-0.05</td><td>100.59</td><td>1.07</td><td>2.86</td><td>2.85</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>基础化工</td><td>769</td></tr><tr><td>21深能源MTN001(碳中和债)</td><td>0.43</td><td>-0.05</td><td>100.72</td><td>0.10</td><td>1.65</td><td>1.65</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>公用事业</td><td>2015</td></tr><tr><td>蓉金KY01</td><td>0.71</td><td>-0.05</td><td>101.13</td><td>0.43</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.73</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>910</td></tr><tr><td>21武汉城投MTN001A</td><td>0.81</td><td>-0.05</td><td>101.36</td><td>0.12</td><td>1.72</td><td>1.72</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>6092</td></tr><tr><td>24绍兴城投PPN001</td><td>3.19</td><td>-0.05</td><td>102.37</td><td>0.99</td><td>2.07</td><td>2.06</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>公用事业</td><td>2048</td></tr><tr><td>铁工YK13</td><td>0.64</td><td>-0.05</td><td>100.93</td><td>0.95</td><td>1.71</td><td>1.70</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>55209</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表2:净价上涨个券成交跟踪 大幅正偏离个券成交跟踪 <table><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>行业</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>23产融09</td><td>2.55</td><td>1.21</td><td>79.35</td><td>-42.67</td><td>13.47</td><td>13.89</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>994</td></tr><tr><td>23产融K1</td><td>2.42</td><td>1.18</td><td>80.06</td><td>-43.07</td><td>13.42</td><td>13.85</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>40</td></tr><tr><td>23产融05</td><td>0.28</td><td>0.35</td><td>96.69</td><td>-0.98</td><td>14.83</td><td>14.84</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>610</td></tr><tr><td>26九龙江MTN001</td><td>4.88</td><td>0.32</td><td>100.96</td><td>-7.14</td><td>2.37</td><td>2.44</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>3824</td></tr><tr><td>25漳九Y4</td><td>4.77</td><td>0.30</td><td>100.90</td><td>-6.90</td><td>2.36</td><td>2.43</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>1007</td></tr><tr><td>23产融11</td><td>2.71</td><td>0.30</td><td>78.54</td><td>-2.12</td><td>13.22</td><td>13.24</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>118</td></tr><tr><td>24产融02</td><td>2.88</td><td>0.30</td><td>76.70</td><td>-1.49</td><td>13.28</td><td>13.29</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>24产融06</td><td>3.05</td><td>0.29</td><td>75.69</td><td>-0.97</td><td>12.93</td><td>12.94</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>8</td></tr><tr><td>24产融08</td><td>3.14</td><td>0.29</td><td>74.68</td><td>-0.80</td><td>12.95</td><td>12.96</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>15</td></tr><tr><td>25库城01</td><td>4.47</td><td>0.27</td><td>100.77</td><td>-6.47</td><td>2.73</td><td>2.80</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1508</td></tr><tr><td>25新华水力MTN004B</td><td>4.76</td><td>0.25</td><td>100.52</td><td>-5.74</td><td>2.35</td><td>2.41</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>公用事业</td><td>2012</td></tr><tr><td>26漳九02</td><td>4.96</td><td>0.20</td><td>100.51</td><td>-4.37</td><td>2.34</td><td>2.38</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>综合</td><td>9000</td></tr><tr><td>25津投04</td><td>6.31</td><td>0.18</td><td>101.36</td><td>-3.25</td><td>2.62</td><td>2.66</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>5059</td></tr><tr><td>25桂交Y2</td><td>2.65</td><td>0.16</td><td>100.87</td><td>-6.59</td><td>2.03</td><td>2.09</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>101</td></tr><tr><td>26厦国贸控MTN001</td><td>2.88</td><td>0.16</td><td>100.38</td><td>-5.93</td><td>2.42</td><td>2.48</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>商贸零售</td><td>4009</td></tr><tr><td>26厦国贸控MTN002A(并购)</td><td>2.94</td><td>0.15</td><td>100.26</td><td>-5.43</td><td>2.21</td><td>2.26</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>商贸零售</td><td>16032</td></tr><tr><td>21金地04</td><td>0.12</td><td>0.13</td><td>99.51</td><td>-1.11</td><td>8.31</td><td>8.33</td><td>BB+</td><td>AAA</td><td>房地产</td><td>110</td></tr><tr><td>26南康02</td><td>4.96</td><td>0.13</td><td>99.99</td><td>-2.83</td><td>3.00</td><td>3.03</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>4000</td></tr><tr><td>24乌经开MTN010B</td><td>5.82</td><td>0.12</td><td>102.00</td><td>-2.52</td><td>2.63</td><td>2.66</td><td>AA(2)</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>1019</td></tr><tr><td>26经发F1</td><td>4.94</td><td>0.12</td><td>100.46</td><td>-2.81</td><td>3.15</td><td>3.18</td><td>AA-</td><td>0</td><td>城投</td><td>1993</td></tr><tr><td>25川高K1</td><td>9.00</td><td>0.12</td><td>99.76</td><td>-1.50</td><td>2.35</td><td>2.36</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>26红河02</td><td>4.91</td><td>0.12</td><td>100.26</td><td>-2.78</td><td>3.74</td><td>3.77</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>594</td></tr><tr><td>GC兰轨02</td><td>4.91</td><td>0.12</td><td>100.48</td><td>-2.78</td><td>3.79</td><td>3.82</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>2000</td></tr><tr><td>25饶创04</td><td>4.74</td><td>0.12</td><td>99.50</td><td>-2.62</td><td>3.05</td><td>3.08</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>1186</td></tr><tr><td>25潍海04</td><td>4.85</td><td>0.11</td><td>101.14</td><td>-2.72</td><td>3.73</td><td>3.75</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>2587</td></tr><tr><td>25中天F3</td><td>4.69</td><td>0.11</td><td>100.24</td><td>-2.57</td><td>2.84</td><td>2.87</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>997</td></tr><tr><td>24中关03</td><td>5.54</td><td>0.11</td><td>102.70</td><td>-2.38</td><td>2.03</td><td>2.05</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>2054</td></tr><tr><td>25华澜01</td><td>4.78</td><td>0.11</td><td>100.63</td><td>-2.65</td><td>3.81</td><td>3.84</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>1026</td></tr><tr><td>GC兰轨01</td><td>4.83</td><td>0.11</td><td>101.51</td><td>-2.70</td><td>3.52</td><td>3.55</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1616</td></tr><tr><td>24云铁01</td><td>3.45</td><td>0.11</td><td>99.88</td><td>-3.23</td><td>2.54</td><td>2.57</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>993</td></tr><tr><td>25金旭K2</td><td>4.77</td><td>0.11</td><td>101.21</td><td>-2.64</td><td>3.31</td><td>3.34</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>机械设备</td><td>403</td></tr><tr><td>25株国10</td><td>4.25</td><td>0.10</td><td>101.15</td><td>-2.75</td><td>2.44</td><td>2.47</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>医药生物</td><td>3022</td></tr><tr><td>25张通01</td><td>4.67</td><td>0.10</td><td>101.33</td><td>-2.55</td><td>2.94</td><td>2.96</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>255</td></tr><tr><td>24蜀道01</td><td>8.37</td><td>0.10</td><td>101.41</td><td>-1.41</td><td>2.35</td><td>2.37</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城投</td><td>2028</td></tr><tr><td>25青龙02</td><td>4.69</td><td>0.10</td><td>101.71</td><td>-2.57</td><td>2.99</td><td>3.02</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>社会服务</td><td>2019</td></tr><tr><td>24饶创05</td><td>3.48</td><td>0.10</td><td>100.92</td><td>-3.21</td><td>2.70</td><td>2.73</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>1515</td></tr><tr><td>25滨旅01</td><td>4.66</td><td>0.10</td><td>101.34</td><td>-2.55</td><td>3.94</td><td>3.96</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>170</td></tr><tr><td>22西安投资MTN002</td><td>1.71</td><td>0.10</td><td>101.12</td><td>-6.95</td><td>1.97</td><td>2.04</td><td>AA</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>2121</td></tr><tr><td>25泉丰05</td><td>4.24</td><td>0.10</td><td>101.54</td><td>-2.77</td><td>3.96</td><td>3.99</td><td>A+</td><td>AA</td><td>城投</td><td>1007</td></tr><tr><td>25梧运01</td><td>4.46</td><td>0.10</td><td>100.14</td><td>-2.39</td><td>3.34</td><td>3.37</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA</td><td>建筑装饰</td><td>597</td></tr><tr><td>25长寿02</td><td>4.41</td><td>0.10</td><td>100.07</td><td>-2.37</td><td>2.78</td><td>2.80</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城投</td><td>1000</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表3:二永债成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">二永债成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>银行分类</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>25绵阳商行永续债01</td><td>4.81</td><td>0.09</td><td>100.34</td><td>-1.98</td><td>2.62</td><td>2.64</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>2005</td></tr><tr><td>25湖州银行永续债01</td><td>4.73</td><td>0.08</td><td>100.20</td><td>-1.74</td><td>2.61</td><td>2.63</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>14018</td></tr><tr><td>25维坊银行永续债02</td><td>4.65</td><td>0.06</td><td>100.41</td><td>-1.50</td><td>2.80</td><td>2.82</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>3914</td></tr><tr><td>25平安银行永续债02BC</td><td>4.74</td><td>0.04</td><td>100.48</td><td>-1.00</td><td>2.21</td><td>2.22</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>2009</td></tr><tr><td>25农行二级资本债04B(BC)</td><td>9.74</td><td>0.04</td><td>100.17</td><td>-0.49</td><td>2.38</td><td>2.39</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>11018</td></tr><tr><td>25长沙银行永续债01</td><td>4.72</td><td>0.04</td><td>100.23</td><td>-0.96</td><td>2.29</td><td>2.30</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>1002</td></tr><tr><td>25农行二级资本债02B(BC)</td><td>9.42</td><td>0.04</td><td>98.15</td><td>-0.40</td><td>2.34</td><td>2.34</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>4904</td></tr><tr><td>25农行二级资本债01B(BC)</td><td>9.32</td><td>0.04</td><td>98.04</td><td>-0.36</td><td>2.34</td><td>2.34</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>13738</td></tr><tr><td>22工商银行二级04</td><td>6.14</td><td>0.03</td><td>109.04</td><td>-1.24</td><td>2.15</td><td>2.16</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>4360</td></tr><tr><td>24长安银行永续债01</td><td>3.59</td><td>0.03</td><td>100.87</td><td>-1.10</td><td>2.34</td><td>2.35</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>4034</td></tr><tr><td>24晋商银行永续债01</td><td>3.58</td><td>0.03</td><td>101.22</td><td>-1.10</td><td>2.34</td><td>2.35</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>6776</td></tr><tr><td>22农业银行二级02</td><td>6.33</td><td>0.03</td><td>108.68</td><td>-1.10</td><td>2.16</td><td>2.18</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>43435</td></tr><tr><td>25光大银行永续债01</td><td>4.57</td><td>0.03</td><td>100.68</td><td>-0.70</td><td>2.13</td><td>2.14</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>11075</td></tr><tr><td>24民生银行永续债01</td><td>3.48</td><td>0.03</td><td>100.69</td><td>-0.93</td><td>2.14</td><td>2.15</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>201</td></tr><tr><td>25成都银行永续债01</td><td>4.49</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.08</td><td>-0.58</td><td>2.26</td><td>2.27</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>18014</td></tr><tr><td>25农行二级资本债03B(BC)</td><td>9.57</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.03</td><td>-0.31</td><td>2.38</td><td>2.38</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>6064</td></tr><tr><td>22工行二级资本债03B</td><td>6.50</td><td>0.02</td><td>106.85</td><td>-0.86</td><td>2.17</td><td>2.18</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>16035</td></tr><tr><td>24杭州银行二级资本债01</td><td>3.47</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.78</td><td>-0.86</td><td>1.91</td><td>1.92</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2015</td></tr><tr><td>24华夏银行永续债02</td><td>3.59</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.82</td><td>-0.83</td><td>1.99</td><td>2.00</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>3022</td></tr><tr><td>24广发银行永续债01</td><td>3.32</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.41</td><td>-1.04</td><td>1.94</td><td>1.96</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>1014</td></tr><tr><td>24浦发银行二级资本债01A</td><td>3.48</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.94</td><td>-0.86</td><td>1.89</td><td>1.89</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>2019</td></tr><tr><td>24桂林银行永续债01</td><td>3.09</td><td>0.02</td><td>102.45</td><td>-1.43</td><td>2.37</td><td>2.38</td><td>AA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2049</td></tr><tr><td>24中行永续债01</td><td>3.43</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.99</td><td>-0.85</td><td>1.89</td><td>1.90</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>9085</td></tr><tr><td>24兴业银行永续债01</td><td>3.16</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.51</td><td>-1.08</td><td>1.89</td><td>1.90</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>11165</td></tr><tr><td>24华夏银行永续债01</td><td>3.30</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.64</td><td>-1.05</td><td>1.94</td><td>1.95</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>5080</td></tr><tr><td>24民生银行二级资本债01</td><td>3.18</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.37</td><td>-1.02</td><td>2.05</td><td>2.06</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>3041</td></tr><tr><td>24平安银行二级资本债01A</td><td>3.38</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.34</td><td>-0.93</td><td>1.90</td><td>1.91</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>2026</td></tr><tr><td>24中信银行永续债01</td><td>3.17</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.60</td><td>-1.07</td><td>1.89</td><td>1.90</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>3047</td></tr><tr><td>24江苏银行永续债01</td><td>3.27</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.76</td><td>-1.06</td><td>1.94</td><td>1.95</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>4070</td></tr><tr><td>24浦发银行二级资本债01B</td><td>8.48</td><td>0.02</td><td>99.66</td><td>-0.22</td><td>2.34</td><td>2.35</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>4982</td></tr><tr><td>25华润银行二级资本债01</td><td>4.39</td><td>0.02</td><td>99.29</td><td>-0.29</td><td>2.27</td><td>2.27</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>5955</td></tr><tr><td>25四川银行二级资本债</td><td>4.35</td><td>0.02</td><td>99.43</td><td>-0.32</td><td>2.29</td><td>2.29</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>1988</td></tr><tr><td>24农行二级资本债02A</td><td>3.17</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.44</td><td>-0.95</td><td>1.85</td><td>1.86</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>5071</td></tr><tr><td>24工行永续债01</td><td>3.38</td><td>0.02</td><td>101.52</td><td>-0.89</td><td>1.88</td><td>1.89</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>10148</td></tr><tr><td>24交行二级资本债02A</td><td>3.42</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.99</td><td>-0.72</td><td>1.88</td><td>1.88</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>7068</td></tr><tr><td>24浦发银行二级资本债02A</td><td>3.79</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.81</td><td>-0.59</td><td>1.93</td><td>1.93</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>7056</td></tr><tr><td>24宁波银行二级资本债01</td><td>3.22</td><td>0.01</td><td>101.90</td><td>-1.01</td><td>1.88</td><td>1.90</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>1019</td></tr><tr><td>24兴业银行二级资本债01</td><td>3.24</td><td>0.01</td><td>102.00</td><td>-1.00</td><td>1.86</td><td>1.87</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>3059</td></tr><tr><td>24农行永续债02</td><td>3.28</td><td>0.01</td><td>101.87</td><td>-0.95</td><td>1.87</td><td>1.87</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>3055</td></tr><tr><td>25南京银行二级资本债01BC</td><td>4.16</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.19</td><td>-0.37</td><td>2.00</td><td>2.00</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2004</td></tr><tr><td>24浙商银行二级资本债01</td><td>3.15</td><td>0.01</td><td>102.01</td><td>-1.03</td><td>1.88</td><td>1.89</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>5101</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表4:商金债成交跟踪 <table><tr><td colspan="11">商金债成交跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>银行分类</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>25贵州银行绿色债01</td><td>2.38</td><td>0.03</td><td>100.30</td><td>-1.49</td><td>1.81</td><td>1.82</td><td>AA</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>2005</td></tr><tr><td>24建行TLAC非资本债01B</td><td>3.47</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.79</td><td>-0.94</td><td>1.86</td><td>1.87</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>4031</td></tr><tr><td>25江西银行债01</td><td>2.79</td><td>0.02</td><td>100.16</td><td>-0.82</td><td>1.85</td><td>1.86</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>3003</td></tr><tr><td>25江苏银行债04BC</td><td>2.82</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.32</td><td>-0.67</td><td>1.74</td><td>1.75</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>3009</td></tr><tr><td>25浦发银行03</td><td>2.80</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.34</td><td>-0.64</td><td>1.72</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>5017</td></tr><tr><td>25交行TLAC非资本债02A(BC)</td><td>2.41</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.04</td><td>-0.59</td><td>1.76</td><td>1.77</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>1000</td></tr><tr><td>25兴业银行债01</td><td>2.77</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.32</td><td>-0.61</td><td>1.72</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>3010</td></tr><tr><td>25光大银行债03</td><td>2.71</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.22</td><td>-0.57</td><td>1.72</td><td>1.72</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>1002</td></tr><tr><td>25农行TLAC非资本债02A(BC)</td><td>2.45</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.20</td><td>-0.60</td><td>1.77</td><td>1.77</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>3006</td></tr><tr><td>25兴业银行科创债01</td><td>2.21</td><td>0.01</td><td>99.98</td><td>-0.36</td><td>1.67</td><td>1.67</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>14995</td></tr><tr><td>25杭州银行03</td><td>2.54</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.35</td><td>-0.47</td><td>1.72</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>1004</td></tr><tr><td>25建行科创债01A(BC)</td><td>2.25</td><td>0.01</td><td>99.99</td><td>-0.32</td><td>1.65</td><td>1.65</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>14998</td></tr><tr><td>25平安银行小微债01</td><td>2.24</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.08</td><td>-0.37</td><td>1.70</td><td>1.70</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>94069</td></tr><tr><td>25上海银行债02</td><td>2.56</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.40</td><td>-0.48</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>4016</td></tr><tr><td>25南京银行债01BC</td><td>2.56</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.40</td><td>-0.48</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.73</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>3012</td></tr><tr><td>25中行TLAC非资本债02(BC)</td><td>2.48</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.35</td><td>-0.47</td><td>1.78</td><td>1.79</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>8025</td></tr><tr><td>25农业银行科创债</td><td>2.22</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.00</td><td>-0.30</td><td>1.65</td><td>1.65</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>14999</td></tr><tr><td>25交通银行科创债01</td><td>2.22</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.00</td><td>-0.30</td><td>1.65</td><td>1.65</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>14999</td></tr><tr><td>25工行科创债01BC</td><td>2.21</td><td>0.01</td><td>100.00</td><td>-0.30</td><td>1.65</td><td>1.65</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>14999</td></tr><tr><td>25浦发银行01</td><td>2.17</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.30</td><td>-0.34</td><td>1.68</td><td>1.68</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>5015</td></tr><tr><td>24江西银行绿色债</td><td>1.84</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.03</td><td>-0.22</td><td>1.75</td><td>1.75</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>8002</td></tr><tr><td>25农业银行三农债01</td><td>1.91</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.16</td><td>-0.20</td><td>1.66</td><td>1.66</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>5006</td></tr><tr><td>25渤海银行绿债01</td><td>2.01</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.29</td><td>-0.24</td><td>1.74</td><td>1.74</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>1003</td></tr><tr><td>24海南银行小微债</td><td>1.17</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.76</td><td>-1.65</td><td>1.73</td><td>1.75</td><td>AA-</td><td>AA+</td><td>城商行</td><td>2015</td></tr><tr><td>25北京银行小微债01</td><td>1.99</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.29</td><td>-0.23</td><td>1.69</td><td>1.69</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>16050</td></tr><tr><td>25湖南银行科创债</td><td>4.76</td><td>0.00</td><td>100.06</td><td>0.01</td><td>1.95</td><td>1.95</td><td>AA+</td><td>AAA</td><td>城商行</td><td>5007</td></tr><tr><td>24建行债01A</td><td>1.01</td><td>-0.02</td><td>100.74</td><td>0.11</td><td>1.61</td><td>1.61</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>5037</td></tr><tr><td>24中信银行绿债01</td><td>1.45</td><td>-0.02</td><td>100.26</td><td>1.15</td><td>1.62</td><td>1.61</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>1002</td></tr><tr><td>24平安银行三农债01</td><td>0.95</td><td>-0.03</td><td>100.74</td><td>0.16</td><td>1.64</td><td>1.63</td><td>AAA-</td><td>AAA</td><td>股份行</td><td>4030</td></tr><tr><td>23交行债01</td><td>0.40</td><td>-0.03</td><td>100.39</td><td>0.44</td><td>1.59</td><td>1.59</td><td>AAA</td><td>AAA</td><td>国有行</td><td>40154</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表5:成交收益率高于 $5\%$ 的个券 <table><tr><td colspan="11">高收益成交个券跟踪</td></tr><tr><td>简称</td><td>剩余期限(年)</td><td>估值价格偏离(%)</td><td>估值净价(元)</td><td>估值收益率偏离(bp)</td><td>估值收益率(%)</td><td>前一日估值收益率(%)</td><td>隐含评级</td><td>主体评级</td><td>行业</td><td>成交规模(万元)</td></tr><tr><td>23产融09</td><td>2.55</td><td>1.21</td><td>79.35</td><td>-42.67</td><td>13.47</td><td>13.89</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>994</td></tr><tr><td>23产融K1</td><td>2.42</td><td>1.18</td><td>80.06</td><td>-43.07</td><td>13.42</td><td>13.85</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>40</td></tr><tr><td>23产融05</td><td>0.28</td><td>0.35</td><td>96.69</td><td>-0.98</td><td>14.83</td><td>14.84</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>610</td></tr><tr><td>23产融11</td><td>2.71</td><td>0.30</td><td>78.54</td><td>-2.12</td><td>13.22</td><td>13.24</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>118</td></tr><tr><td>24产融02</td><td>2.88</td><td>0.30</td><td>76.70</td><td>-1.49</td><td>13.28</td><td>13.29</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>24产融06</td><td>3.05</td><td>0.29</td><td>75.69</td><td>-0.97</td><td>12.93</td><td>12.94</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>8</td></tr><tr><td>24产融08</td><td>3.14</td><td>0.29</td><td>74.68</td><td>-0.80</td><td>12.95</td><td>12.96</td><td>A</td><td>AA+</td><td>非银金融</td><td>15</td></tr><tr><td>21金地04</td><td>0.12</td><td>0.13</td><td>99.51</td><td>-1.11</td><td>8.31</td><td>8.33</td><td>BB+</td><td>AAA</td><td>房地产</td><td>110</td></tr></table> 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表6:当日信用债成交估值偏离分布 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表7:当日非金信用债成交期限分布(城投+产业) 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表8:当日二永债成交期限分布 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 图表9:各行业非金信用债折价成交比例及成交规模 来源:Wind,国金证券研究所 # 风险提示 1、统计数据偏差或遗漏:报告基于CFETS、交易所债券成交数据进行统计,或与当日撮合成交结果存在一定偏差,也存在因统计时间造成数据遗漏的可能。 2、高估值个券出现信用风险:估值价格偏离较大的个券,需关注其主体资质变化。 # 特别声明: 国金证券股份有限公司经中国证券监督管理委员会批准,已具备证券投资咨询业务资格。 任何形式的复制、转发、转载、引用、修改、仿制、刊发,或以任何侵犯本公司版权的其他方式使用。经过书面授权的引用、刊发,需注明出处为“国金证券股份有限公司”,且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的删节和修改。 本报告的产生基于国金证券及其研究人员认为可信的公开资料或实地调研资料,但国金证券及其研究人员对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证。本报告反映撰写研究人员的不同设想、见解及分析方法,故本报告所载观点可能与其他类似研究报告的观点及市场实际情况不一致,国金证券不对使用本报告所包含的材料产生的任何直接或间接损失或与此有关的其他任何损失承担任何责任。且本报告中的资料、意见、预测均反映报告初次公开发布时的判断,在不作事先通知的情况下,可能会随时调整,亦可因使用不同假设和标准、采用不同观点和分析方法而与国金证券其它业务部门、单位或附属机构在制作类似的其他材料时所给出的意见不同或者相反。 本报告仅为参考之用,在任何地区均不应被视为买卖任何证券、金融工具的要约或要约邀请。本报告提及的任何证券或金融工具均可能含有重大的风险,可能不易变卖以及不适合所有投资者。本报告所提及的证券或金融工具的价格、价值及收益可能会受汇率影响而波动。过往的业绩并不能代表未来的表现。 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