2025年未来就业报告_290页_16mb

Future of Jobs Report 2025 Summary

Core Content

The Future of Jobs Report 2025 is a comprehensive analysis of the global labour market landscape, focusing on the impact of major macrotrends on job creation, destruction, and the skills required for the future. It is based on the perspectives of over 1,000 global employers, representing more than 14 million workers across 22 industry clusters and 55 economies.

Main Trends and Findings

1. Macrotrends Shaping the Labour Market

• Technological change is identified as the most transformative trend, with 60% of employers expecting it to significantly impact their business by 2030.
• Geoeconomic fragmentation and geopolitical tensions are also major drivers, with 34% of organizations expecting business model transformation in the next five years.
• Economic uncertainty and demographic shifts (aging and declining working-age populations in higher-income economies, and expanding working-age populations in lower-income economies) are also key factors.
• Climate change (mitigation and adaptation) is the third-most transformative trend, with 47% and 41% of employers expecting it to impact their business, respectively.

2. Job Growth and Loss

• 22% of today’s total jobs are expected to be transformed or destroyed due to structural changes in the labour market by 2030.
• 14% of total employment (170 million jobs) will be created, while 8% (92 million jobs) will be displaced.
• Net job growth is expected to be 7% of total employment, or 78 million jobs.
• Frontline roles such as Farmworkers, Delivery Drivers, and Construction Workers are predicted to see the largest absolute growth.
• Care economy jobs and education roles are also expected to grow significantly.
• Technology-related roles and green and energy transition roles are the fastest-growing in percentage terms.

3. Skills Outlook

• Analytical thinking remains the most sought-after core skill, with 70% of employers considering it essential.
• Resilience, flexibility, and agility, along with leadership and social influence, are also highly valued.
• AI and big data, networks and cybersecurity, and technological literacy are the fastest-growing skills.
• Manual dexterity, endurance, and precision are expected to see notable declines in demand.
• Creative thinking and lifelong learning are also rising in importance.

4. Workforce Transformation Strategies

• 85% of employers plan to prioritize upskilling their workforce.
• 70% of employers expect to hire staff with new skills.
• 40% plan to reduce staff as their skills become less relevant.
• 50% plan to transition staff from declining to growing roles.
• 64% of employers identify supporting employee health and well-being as a key strategy to increase talent availability.

5. Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion

• Diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) initiatives are on the rise, with 83% of employers reporting such initiatives in place.
• 47% of employers now see DEI as a way to expand talent availability, compared to 10% two years ago.
• DEI initiatives are particularly popular in North America and among employers with over 50,000 employees.

6. Wage Strategies

• 52% of employers anticipate increasing their share of revenue allocated to wages.
• 40% of employers expect to reduce their workforce where AI can automate tasks.
• Two-thirds of employers plan to hire talent with specific AI skills.

Key Information

1. Employer Survey Insights

• The survey includes 1,000 global employers.
• These employers collectively employ 14.1 million workers.
• The survey covers 22 industry clusters and 55 economies.

2. Regional and Economic Disparities

• Unemployment rates have decreased globally, but disparities remain, especially for women and youth.
• Youth unemployment remains at 13%, with NEETs (Not in Employment, Education or Training) showing significant variation across income levels.
• Low-income economies have seen an increase in the jobs gap since the pandemic, while lower-middle-income economies have seen the largest reduction.

3. Technology and AI Impact

• Generative AI (GenAI) is expected to have the biggest impact, with 86% of employers anticipating its transformative role.
• AI adoption is growing, with 60% of employers expecting it to transform their business by 2030.
• AI and information processing technologies are the top drivers of business transformation.
• Robotics and autonomous systems are also significant, with 58% of employers expecting them to transform their business.

4. Skills Instability

• On average, 39% of workers’ skills are expected to be transformed or become outdated by 2030.
• This is a slower rate than previous years, with 44% in 2023 and 57% in 2020.

5. Reskilling and Upskilling

• 59% of the global workforce will need reskilling or upskilling by 2030.
• 29% of these workers can be upskilled in their current roles.
• 19% can be upskilled and redeployed.
• 11% are unlikely to receive the necessary training, increasing their employment risk.

6. Public Policy Support

• Funding and provision of reskilling and upskilling are seen as the two most welcomed public policies to boost talent availability.

Conclusion

The Future of Jobs Report 2025 underscores the need for multistakeholder collaboration to address the challenges and opportunities brought by technological change, geoeconomic shifts, demographic changes, and the green transition. It emphasizes the importance of upskilling and reskilling, supporting employee well-being, and promoting diversity and inclusion to ensure a resilient and adaptable workforce for the future.