世界银行:2023年4月期东亚与太平洋地区经济半年报_120页_3mb
报告摘要
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Economic activity in East Asia and Pacific (EAP) has largely recovered from recent shocks alongside high inflation and restrictive policies. EAP is projected to grow 5.1% in 2023, driven by China's reopening.
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Growth is uneven across the region; Pacific Island Countries lagged in output recovery. Inflation remains elevated, requiring careful balancing with growth support.
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Over two decades (1999-2019), EAP achieved faster, more stable growth than other economies. Poverty declined significantly, though inequality remains an issue.
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Structural reforms between 1980-2000 boosted growth and productivity; however implementation slowed afterward. EAP still has gaps in reforms, especially in services.
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EAP nations are aging rapidly, with a compressed timeframe to adjust fiscal systems for sustainability and workforce participation.
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Climate change is highly impactful in EAP; adaptation investments yield triple dividends (risk reduction, induced benefits, social/environmental benefits). Adaptation can boost GDP growth.
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Potential growth has decelerated, so policies addressing structural bottlenecks (capital, productivity, demographics) and adaptation measures are necessary for sustained growth. This includes increasing female labor force participation and leveraging digital technologies.
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