2017年-世界发展银行全球_Country_Partnership_Framework_for_the_Federal_Democratic_Republic_of_Ethiopia_for_the_Period_FY18-FY22_135页_3mb

Ethiopia Country Partnership Framework (CPF) FY18-FY22 Summary

Core Content

The Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for Ethiopia, covering the period FY18-FY22, is a strategic document designed to support the Second Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP II) and align with the World Bank Group (WBG)'s twin goals of eliminating extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity, as well as the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

This CPF replaces the previous Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) from FY13-FY16 and incorporates lessons learned from the Completion and Learning Review (CLR). It emphasizes a spatial lens to address regional and local disparities, focusing on inclusive growth, resilience, and institutional accountability.

The CPF also highlights the increased role of IFC and MIGA in supporting private sector-led growth and investment. It outlines a comprehensive approach to address key challenges such as sustainable financing, citizen engagement, and corruption, while leveraging the full range of WBG institutions.

Main Focus Areas

1. Promote Structural and Economic Transformation Through Increased Productivity

• Objective: Enhance productivity across sectors to drive economic growth.
• Approach: Use a "cascade approach" to infrastructure financing, optimizing scarce public funds and supporting policy reforms to attract private sector investment.
• Key Projects: The Electricity Network Reinforcement & Expansion Program (ENREP) and Leaning on Private Participation in Energy.
• Targets:
  • Increase the number of people with access to electricity (on- and off-grid) to 50% by end of FY21.
  • Improve learning outcomes for girls in grades 4 in English and Math by about one quarter and one third, respectively.
  • Boost the contraceptive prevalence rate for rural women from 32% to 45%.
  • Reduce stunting prevalence in children aged 0-23 months by 36%.
  • Increase agricultural productivity for female-headed households by 23%.
  • Protect up to 14 million people from food insecurity.
  • Increase access to improved water sources and basic sanitation by one fifth and 43%, respectively.
  • Reduce travel time on upgraded roads by more than half (56%), improving market access for farmers.
  • Double the area of reforested lands and the number of land-use certificates issued.

2. Building Resilience and Inclusiveness

• Objective: Strengthen resilience against shocks and promote inclusiveness in development.
• Approach: Focus on climate resilience, gender equality, and social protection.
• Key Initiatives:
  • The Productive Safety Nets Program (PSNP), which has shown success in improving food security and resilience.
  • Gender-Based Violence (GBV) and Female Genital Mutilation (FGM) reduction efforts.
  • Women Entrepreneurship Development Project (WEDP).
• Key Challenges:
  • Regional and woreda-level disparities in resource endowments and service access.
  • Climate change impacts, particularly in the lowlands and pastoral communities.
  • The need for disaster risk financing mechanisms and robust systems to move beyond humanitarian responses.

3. Supporting Institutional Accountability and Confronting Corruption

• Objective: Strengthen governance, transparency, and accountability.
• Approach:
  • Promote decentralization and citizen engagement.
  • Support Public Finance Management (PFM) and Gender Innovation Lab (GIL).
  • Enhance feedback mechanisms for better governance and public accountability.
• Challenges:
  • Weak governance structures and limited citizen participation.
  • The need for institutional reforms to ensure long-term sustainability of the growth model.

Key Information

Country Context

• Ethiopia is a large and diverse country with a population of approximately 92 million (2016) and an annual growth rate of 2.5%.
• It is a landlocked nation surrounded by fragile and conflict-affected states, playing a key role in regional integration.
• Hosts the fifth-largest refugee population globally, and the second-largest in Africa (after Uganda), with over 800,000 refugees from neighboring countries.
• Has 98 nationalities and 93 languages spoken, reflecting its ethnic diversity.

Economic Context

• Real GDP growth averaged 10.5% between 2003/04 and 2015/16.
• The services sector has overtaken agriculture as the largest economic sector since 2010/11.
• State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) have dominated the economy, but this has limited private sector growth.
• GTP II aims to achieve lower middle-income status by 2025, requiring more structural reforms.

Social and Political Context

• Ethiopia is a new democracy with ethnic-based governance.
• The 2015/16 El Niño drought and 2017 Indian Dipole event caused severe food and water shortages.
• The state of emergency was declared in 2016 and extended in 2017, reflecting ongoing social unrest.
• The Government of Ethiopia (GoE) is working to address political concerns and social inequality through dialogue and citizen engagement.

Financial and Institutional Framework

• The CPF is aligned with the IDA18 special themes and special windows.
• Financial Management and Procurement will be strengthened to ensure efficient use of resources.
• Partnerships and Donor Coordination will be prioritized to enhance impact and avoid duplication.
• Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) will be improved to track progress and ensure accountability.

Annexes and Supporting Tools

• Annex 1: Results Matrix for the CPF.
• Annex 2: Completion and Learning Review (CLR) of the previous CPS.
• Annex 3: GTP II Objectives and Indicators.
• Annex 4: World Bank Portfolio Performance and Management Indicators.
• Annex 5: IDA Operations Portfolio (May 2017).
• Annex 6: IFC Statement of Held Investments.
• Annex 7: MIGA Portfolio.
• Annex 8: Spatially Inclusive Growth in Ethiopia.
• Annex 9: Systematic Country Diagnostic (SCD) for Ethiopia.
• Annex 10: Donor Mapping.
• Annex 11: Gender Filter for the WBG Ethiopia Portfolio.
• Annex 12: CPF Consultations.
• Annex 13: Informational Annex on Forced Displacement in Ethiopia.
• Annex 14: Map of Ethiopia.

Conclusion

The CPF aims to support Ethiopia in achieving inclusive and sustainable growth by addressing binding constraints such as sustainable financing, institutional accountability, and climate resilience. It also emphasizes the spatial dimension of development, recognizing the need for targeted interventions in regions and communities with specific vulnerabilities. The framework reflects a holistic and integrated approach, leveraging the WBG's diverse institutions to meet Ethiopia's development needs.