世界经济论坛-在支离破碎的世界中塑造合作（英）-2024.1-24页_3mb

Shaping Cooperation in a Fragmenting World

Executive Summary

Key Findings & Recommendations:

• Multilateralism remains essential despite geopolitical turbulent conditions.
• Global Security: Require creative solutions to manage distrust through third-party mediation, middle-power diplomacy, and issue-specific functional bodies.
• Climate Change: Reform climate finance mechanisms, bridge capital cost differentials, share green technology equitably, and link climate-health initiatives.
• Technology: Foster innovation for responsible governance via global platforms, benefit-sharing, and compulsory licenses for dual-use technologies.
• Trade: Expand and rebalance trade agenda to support Sustainable Development Goals, ensure least-developed countries participation, and create inclusive mechanisms.

Introduction

• Geopolitical inflection point: Economic risks, climate catastrophes, and political tensions demand sustainable, inclusive solutions.
• Current structures are strained; innovative, mission-focused cooperation is necessary for solving global challenges.
• New Approach: Identify opportunities in four critical areas through practical optimism and stakeholder inclusivity.

Chapter Outline

1. MSRP Global Security: Managing Distrust<br>
2. Climate Governance: Rethinking Cooperation<br>
3. Tech Regulation: Taming Frontier Technologies<br>
4. Trade Rebalancing: Infusing Common Purpose

🔐 Global Security

Approach to Cooperation

• Focus Issues: Conflict resolution, arms control, regional disputes
• Key Mechanisms:
  • Permanent middle/major power grouping (M-10)
  • Functional ad hoc forums with affected states
  • Safety-net diplomatic protocols
  • Legal architecture support mechanisms
  • Investment in multilateral crisis response systems

🌎 Climate Change

Revised Cooperation Pathways

• Funding Innovation: Reduce finance capital costs through MDB reform, sovereign risk mitigation
• Technology Access: Promote green tech diffusion via flexible intellectual property rules
• Inclusivity: Link climate action to sustainable development goals
• Finance Targets: Scale trillions needed for adaptation alongside mitigation
• Cross-Disciplinary Link: Climate-Health nexus-centered approaches

🤖 Technology Governance

Global Regulatory Outlook

• Principles:
  • Technology’s role: Tool-building blocks for geopolitical trust
  • Issue-Specific R2P responsibility frameworks
  • Innovation paths: (Regulatory sandbox)->City-level trials->Commercial implementation
  • Multistakeholder COP structures for future tech governance
• Legitimacy Throughvoluntary cooperation schemes: Quad, I2U2 networks as bridging mechanisms

⚖️ Trade Expansion & Rebalancing

How to Advance Cooperation

• Expanded Mandate:
  • Promote climate-compliant trade
  • Ensure equitable participation from Global South
  • Protect national security within specified “fenced-off” categories
  • Balance friend-shoring/reshoring initiatives with inclusive economic design
• Risk Mitigation: Prohibit export restrictions targeting national security necessitating inclusive consultations

Contribution to Scholarly Debate

This report provides a framework for redefining multilateralism in fractured geopolitical norms. Key recommendations involve collateral innovations within core institutions — developmental innovation methodologies, governance protocol reforms, multilateral finance restructuring — to sustain economic interdependence. Such adaptation remains essential for navigating friction while enhancing resilience.