IMF-英国蒙特塞拉特英国海外领土_对外部门统计团技术援助报告（2024年10月14日至25日）（英）_32页_1mb

IMF Technical Assistance Collaboration: The Statistics Department (SD) of Montserrat partnered with the IMF's Statistics Department and ECCB under CARATAC's ESS program, focusing on enhancing external sector statistics compilation methodologies through surveys, primarily the Visitor Expenditure Survey (VES).

VES Objectives: To improve estimates of Montserrat's travel exports for balance of payments (BOP), involving air, ferry, cruise, and yacht visitors. Key outcomes include adjusting expenditure averages and projections based on high and low-season VES data.

VES Data Analysis: The mission cleaned and merged VES data from 578 low-season responses (US$72.73), identifying methodological improvements for high-low season averages to reduce bias and enhance BOP accuracy.

Travel Exports Estimation: Updated estimates for 2023 tourism exports reached US$14 million (19.5% of current account credits), incorporating variables like Average Daily Expenditure (ADE) and length of stay, with projected improvements from upcoming surveys.

VES 2.0 Improvements: Subject to resource constraints, prorities include increasing statistical granularity via CloudSuite integration, enriching metadata, and expanding surveys for cruise/yacht visitors starting late 2024.

CARTAC Montserrat Meeting Notes: Budget discrepancies due to staff shortages and data format inconsistencies were noted; solutions involve partnership agreements and data detailing.

Methodological Adjustments: To prevent BOP overestimations, differentiation between high/low seasons and sector-specific data inclusion are being considered, along with future backcasting reviews and alignment with BPM7 recommendations.