2025-05-15-Jefferies-萨吉利蒂(SAGILITY)_第四季度回顾_强劲增长前景;维持买入_15页_1mb
报告摘要
Sagility India Ltd (SAGILITY IN) Equity Research Summary
4Q Results & Outlook
- Revenue: US$182m, +5.7% QoQ cc, slightly below estimates due to Broadpath acquisition contributions.
- EBITDA margin: 23.8%, down 320bps QoQ but beat estimates due to lower-than-expected depreciation and interest costs.
- Bottom-line: Profits up 2.3x YoY to Rs1.8bn, beating estimates.
Growth Drivers
- Broadpath acquisition driving cross-sell synergies and new client additions (31 net new clients added).
- Top-10 clients showed +27% YoY revenue growth, with Top-3 clients averaging US$145m.
- Revenue growth in FY25 was 15% YoY cc, driven by existing clients and organic expansion.
Margins & Risks
- EBITDA margin contraction was attributed to wage hikes (effective Jan 2025), revenue mix change (Broadpath majority operations are onshore), and forex loss.
- FY26 margins may be impacted by Broadpath earnouts but expected to recover to 24% by FY27.
Investment Thesis
- Reiterate BUY with revised price target of Rs55/share (25x FY26 PE), +17% upside.
- EPS Expected CAGR 27% over 2026-2028E, driven by healthy new account additions and cross-sell opportunities.
Valuation Comparison
- Valuation is attractive compared to Indian BPM firms, despite strong earnings growth prospects.
Key Risks
- Wage inflation, forex volatility, and concentration risk (Broadpath acquisition impact).
Excerpts from Exhibits
- Exhibit 1-17: Detailed revenue, EBITDA trends, and financial metrics (incl. margin impact, employee costs).
- Exhibit 21-27: Client growth trajectory, revenue contribution by client tiers, and financial summary (revenue growth, EPS projections, valuation metrics).
Management Questions
- Safeguards for IP, employee engagement programs, environmental initiatives for data privacy and sustainability.
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