2024-06-23-世界银行-佛得角经济更新_2024年3月_蓝色经济_佛得角渔业和水产养殖的潜在潜力（英）_48页_1mb

报告摘要

Blue Economy: The Latent Potential of Fisheries and Aquaculture in Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde’s economy recovered strongly post-COVID-19, with GDP growth stabilizing at 5.1% in 2023 (pre-pandemic levels partially achieved).
Poverty stood at 15.1% in 2023 (above pre-pandemic 14.1%), driven by high food inflation (9.1% in 2023) despite economic growth.
Services sector (including tourism) led job creation, but real incomes were dampened by inflation. Tourism arrivals reached over 1 million in 2023, stabilizing exports.

The fiscal deficit improved to -0.3% in 2023 from -4.1% in 2022, but public debt reached 113.8% of GDP (up from 108.5% pre-pandemic).
SOE reforms aim to reduce reliance on budget support via privatization, concessions, and PPPs. Public guarantees for SOEs reached $40.2 million in 2023.
Debt sustainability remains fragile, with risks amplified by climate change and external shocks. New policy recommendations stress revenue mobilization and fiscal consolidation.

Fisheries support 40% of employment and contribute ~3.4% to GDP. EU exports dominated in 2022 (~$32 million), but climate change, overfishing, and outdated infrastructure hinder growth.
EU derogation (expired in 2023) allowed processed Cabo Verdean fish to meet EU origin rules, but its return threatens export reliance.
Small-scale fishing faces limited infrastructure (e.g., refrigeration), high informality, and weak governance.
Aquaculture offers diversification potential with favorable local conditions, but needs zoning planning, technical training, and investment in infrastructure.

Enhance data collection and scientific monitoring for sustainable fisheries management and climate-resilient growth.
Promote artisanal-to-semi-industrial fleet conversion and post-harvest handling improvements, especially for small and women fishers.
Strengthen regulatory frameworks for aquaculture and coastal zones to boost investment and align with climate goals.
Integrate blue economy goals into broader economic reforms, prioritizing green and digital investments.

Cabo Verde’s blue economy holds latent potential for diversification and resilience, but requires coordinated policy action, investment, and environmental stewardship to mitigate climate and market risks.

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