基础设施的未来（英文版）_68页-4mb

Summary of "The Future of Infrastructure" Report

Core Content

This report from AECOM presents a comprehensive analysis of the current state and future direction of the global infrastructure industry. It highlights the challenges and opportunities facing the sector, focusing on funding, innovation, workforce development, and resilience. The report is based on surveys and interviews with over 500 senior industry professionals involved in projects valued at more than $100 million, and it underscores the need for urgent action and transformation.

Main Challenges

• Funding Shortages:

  • Nearly 70% of respondents believe the industry is not evolving fast enough to meet society's changing needs.
  • One-third of global respondents cite a lack of public funding as the main constraint in starting new projects.
  • Only 24% feel the industry is fully prepared to attract private investment.
  • The world needs to invest an average of $3.3 trillion annually by 2030 to keep up with projected growth.
  • The OECD estimates $71 trillion will be needed by 2050, while the G20 believes $94 trillion is required, with a $15 trillion gap to be closed by 2037.

• Project Delivery Delays:

  • 71% of respondents believe traditional approaches are not suitable for large, complex infrastructure projects.
  • 72% feel that integration across providers is still a long way off.
  • Over 40% of respondents report that two out of every five major projects face difficulties, leading to serious delays.

• Workforce Skills Gap:

  • Only 21% believe the industry is fully prepared to source the right skills for future challenges.
  • One-quarter of respondents cite skills and talent shortages as a major obstacle to progress.

• Resilience Concerns:

  • 71% believe a major cyberattack or citywide transport disruption is likely in the next five years.
  • Future-proofing infrastructure is essential to protect against both physical and digital threats.

Opportunities and Solutions

• Innovation in Funding Models:

  • 90% of respondents believe innovative funding models are effective in bridging the gap.
  • Public-private partnerships (P3s) are seen as a promising solution, with 48% of North American respondents and 42% of APAC professionals supporting their use.
  • User-based funding models, such as advanced electronic toll collection, are also gaining traction.

• Technological and Digital Transformation:

  • The Fourth Industrial Revolution and digital technologies are enabling smarter, faster, and more efficient infrastructure delivery.
  • The industry must adopt new technologies and innovative delivery methods to meet modern demands.

• Workforce Development:

  • A skills manifesto for 2030 is proposed to secure the talent needed for future infrastructure.
  • The industry must focus on attracting a diverse and inclusive workforce that values innovation, career progression, and wellbeing.

• Resilience and Future-Proofing:

  • Infrastructure must be designed to withstand both cyberattacks and physical disruptions.
  • Embracing new approaches to project management and system integration is crucial for building resilient networks.

Key Findings

Global Perspective

• North America:

  • 83% of respondents believe infrastructure is central to national prosperity.
  • 62% of U.S. and Canadian professionals are optimistic about future funding challenges.
  • P3 models and toll-gathering approaches are widely supported.

• Europe:

  • Only 35% of U.K. respondents believe civil infrastructure is well prepared for future funding constraints.
  • 42% of mainland European professionals share a similar view.
  • European professionals are more skeptical about new funding models, with only 28% supporting P3s and 31% supporting toll-gathering solutions.

• Australia:

  • 58% of Australian professionals are optimistic about facing future funding challenges.
  • P3s and alternative funding models are seen as viable options.

• APAC Region:

  • 74% of APAC respondents agree that technological change will make the next decade critical for the sector.
  • 48% support P3s, and 42% support enhanced toll-gathering solutions.

Conclusion

The infrastructure industry is at a pivotal moment, facing a combination of funding shortages, outdated delivery methods, and a skills gap. To address these issues, the report calls for a shift in mindset, greater collaboration between public and private sectors, and the adoption of innovative and digital solutions. It also emphasizes the importance of community engagement and workforce development in ensuring the successful delivery of future-ready infrastructure. The potential for transformation is vast, but realizing it requires a collective effort and a commitment to change.