UNDP-_巴黎协定_土地利用_土地利用的变化和林业与国家数据中心工具_季度全球报告2025年6月（英）_33页_6mb

Summary of UNDP Paris Agreement LULUCF and NDC Tool Quarterly Global Assessment Report June 2025

Introduction to PLANT Tool

• UNDP's Paris Agreement LULUCF and NDC Tool (PLANT) is an interactive database supporting countries in analyzing opportunities to enhance forest sector contributions to NDCs, carbon market access, and transparency framework requirements. It consolidates UNFCCC submissions to help countries assess key elements for Paris Agreement implementation, particularly focusing on land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) activities.

Key Global Findings

• The LULUCF sector plays a substantial role in greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation for many developing countries, serving as a source or sink, with high mitigation potential.
• Among the 63 assessed countries:
  • 51 explicitly reference forests or REDD+ in their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).
  • 38 have specific LULUCF targets, with 34 presenting quantified goals.
  • Progress in transparency reporting is advancing, with over 69% submitting at least one Biennial Update Report (BUR) and many preparing for the Enhanced Transparency Framework (ETF).
  • Article 6 cooperative approaches involving carbon markets are favored by 73% of countries, reflecting strategies for high-quality emission reductions.
• Carbon market potential: PLANT estimates combined potential credits under standards like ART/TREES and Verra's JNR for nine and eighteen countries respectively, totaling 390 MtCO₂e and 1,149 MtCO₂e.

GHG Emissions and LULUCF Role

• LULUCF emissions vary widely, with some countries acting as net sinks reducing overall emissions, while others are sources increasing emissions.
• Global 2019 estimates show LULUCF sector contributing ~11% to total GHG emissions, with significant regional variations, highlighting its importance in climate strategies.

Progress on NDCs and Agreements

• Countries are enhancing NDCs through forest-based measures, incorporating REDD+ and alignment with the Warsaw Framework for REDD+ (WFR).
• Biennial transparency reports (BTRs/BURs) are improving national data reporting, with many countries meeting or progressing toward ETF requirements.
• Challenges remain in consistent data reporting and indicator selection for transparency and carbon markets.

Carbon Markets

• Article 6 mechanisms are key for achieving ambitious NDCs, with countries exploring jurisdictional carbon standards for high-integrity outcomes.
• Potential carbon credit generation is significant, with ART/TREES and Verra-JNR standards identified.

Regional Breakdowns

• Africa: Moderate but increasing participation in NDCs and carbon markets, with improving BTR/BUR submissions. LULUCF mitigation potential is noted in several countries.
• Asia: Strong NDC commitments including forest sector references, with advanced reporting under WFR and ETF preparation.
• LAC: High engagement in REDD+ and carbon markets, showing progress in BUR submissions, though LULUCF emission reductions varied.