20260301-招商证券-【招商因子周报20260227】本周Beta和高动量风格显著_18页_3mb
报告摘要
招商因子周报20260227总结
核心内容概览
本周A股市场整体呈现上涨趋势,主要宽基指数涨幅普遍,其中中证1000涨幅最大,达到4.34%。同时,Beta因子、动量因子和流动性因子在风格因子中表现尤为突出,多空收益分别为3.59%、3.11%和2.43%。此外,不同股票池中的选股因子表现差异明显,部分因子在短期和长期中表现优异,而另一些因子则表现欠佳。
主要观点
- 宽基指数表现:本周主要宽基指数全部上涨,其中中证1000涨幅最大,达4.34%,而北证50涨幅最小,仅0.48%。
- 行业表现:钢铁、有色金属、基础化工、煤炭、电力及公用事业等行业表现较好,而传媒、消费者服务、食品饮料、非银行金融、银行等行业表现较差。
- 风格因子表现:Beta因子、动量因子和流动性因子在近一周表现突出,其中Beta因子多空收益最高。而在过去一个月中,杠杆因子表现最为显著。
- 选股因子表现:在不同股票池中,部分因子如60日动量、盈余公告次日开盘跳空超额、标准化预期外收入在沪深300股票池中表现较好;BP、20日反转、240日三因子模型残差波动率在中证500股票池中表现较好;而中证800股票池中,盈余公告次日开盘跳空超额、标准化预期外收入、60日动量等因子表现较好。
关键信息
1. 宽基指数表现回顾
| 指数名称 | 近一周 | 近一月 | 近一年 | 近五年 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 中证1000 | 4.34% | 2.13% | 31.71% | 35.34% |
| 中证500 | 4.32% | 1.28% | 43.61% | 36.05% |
| 中证2000 | 3.94% | 2.65% | 36.84% | 82.30% |
| 深证成指 | 2.89% | 1.15% | 32.65% | -0.09% |
| 中证800 | 2.02% | 0.45% | 25.19% | -1.58% |
| 上证指数 | 1.98% | 0.56% | 22.87% | 18.63% |
| 沪深300 | 1.08% | 0.11% | 18.71% | -11.73% |
| 创业板指 | 1.05% | -0.97% | 46.70% | 13.60% |
| 北证50 | 0.48% | -1.78% | 12.52% | - |
2. 行业指数表现回顾
| 行业名称 | 近一周 | 近一月 | 近一年 | 近五年 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 钢铁 | 11.80% | 8.59% | 39.13% | 44.39% |
| 有色金属 | 9.78% | 2.14% | 136.39% | 170.58% |
| 基础化工 | 6.23% | 5.13% | 54.62% | 35.91% |
| 煤炭 | 5.70% | 11.52% | 29.39% | 141.53% |
| 电力及公用事业 | 5.45% | 4.46% | 18.02% | 47.06% |
| 建筑 | 5.12% | 3.35% | 18.45% | 35.15% |
| 石油石化 | 4.94% | 6.43% | 44.24% | 51.09% |
| 国防军工 | 4.88% | 1.08% | 58.30% | 48.22% |
| 通信 | 4.50% | 2.71% | 86.85% | 172.74% |
| 建材 | 4.27% | 8.84% | 52.23% | -9.65% |
| 综合金融 | 4.13% | 0.25% | 14.62% | 8.78% |
| 电子 | 4.02% | 0.02% | 44.29% | 58.97% |
| 机械 | 3.85% | 4.28% | 42.21% | 50.12% |
| 农林牧渔 | 3.85% | 2.57% | 23.51% | -23.90% |
| 交通运输 | 3.29% | 3.43% | 11.39% | 12.19% |
| 综合 | 3.21% | -1.07% | 21.51% | -2.65% |
| 纺织服装 | 2.02% | 1.86% | 18.25% | 22.45% |
| 电力设备及新能源 | 1.73% | 1.92% | 43.68% | 40.54% |
| 轻工制造 | 1.28% | 2.93% | 31.15% | 2.98% |
| 计算机 | 1.28% | -2.01% | 13.94% | 36.62% |
| 房地产 | 0.88% | 1.12% | 6.01% | -36.88% |
| 商贸零售 | 0.88% | -3.47% | 7.88% | 4.63% |
| 汽车 | 0.59% | -0.21% | 13.52% | 62.55% |
| 医药 | 0.41% | -2.50% | 12.48% | -27.89% |
| 家电 | -0.43% | 0.02% | 11.63% | 11.94% |
| 银行 | -0.96% | 0.37% | 4.33% | 28.42% |
| 非银行金融 | -1.30% | -3.02% | 10.15% | 5.11% |
| 食品饮料 | -1.50% | 3.43% | -3.44% | -34.59% |
| 消费者服务 | -4.02% | -4.13% | 10.78% | -53.78% |
| 传媒 | -4.44% | -2.69% | 30.64% | 52.40% |
3. 风格因子表现回顾
| 因子名称 | 近一周多空收益 | 近一月多空收益 |
|---|---|---|
| Beta因子 | 3.59% | 2.78% |
| 动量因子 | 3.11% | 2.73% |
| 流动性因子 | 2.43% | 0.85% |
| 波动性因子 | 2.16% | -0.61% |
| 杠杆因子 | 2.13% | 3.30% |
4. 选股因子表现跟踪
沪深300股票池中因子表现
| 因子名称 | 最近一周 | 最近一月 | 最近一年 | 最近十年(年化) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60日动量 | 1.12% | 1.12% | 2.09% | 1.34% |
| 盈余公告次日开盘跳空超额 | 0.93% | 1.16% | 9.60% | 3.62% |
| 标准化预期外收入 | 0.86% | 1.19% | 7.57% | 3.54% |
| 标准化预期外盈利 | 0.83% | 0.35% | 11.00% | 3.01% |
| 单季度ROE同比 | 0.70% | -0.08% | 15.38% | 3.55% |
| 单季度毛利率 | 0.57% | 0.92% | 9.72% | 3.25% |
| 对数市值 | 0.53% | 1.20% | 7.17% | -0.69% |
| 单季度营业利润同比增速 | 0.43% | 0.24% | 11.24% | 2.85% |
| 单季度营业收入同比增速 | 0.38% | 1.80% | 14.32% | 4.77% |
| 单季度ROA同比 | 0.37% | -0.51% | 13.99% | 3.50% |
| 单季度ROE | 0.18% | -1.64% | 3.06% | 5.47% |
| 单季度净利润率 | 0.12% | 0.56% | 9.38% | 3.36% |
| 单季度EP | -0.10% | -1.79% | 2.57% | 2.71% |
| 单季度营业利润率 | 0.29% | 0.77% | 9.07% | 2.84% |
| 20日成交量比率 | -0.95% | 2.10% | -3.13% | -2.64% |
| 60日成交量比率 | -0.80% | 0.21% | -12.64% | -1.26% |
| 单季度净利润同比增速 | 0.60% | 0.30% | 11.98% | 3.71% |
| 单季度毛利率 | 0.56% | 0.48% | 5.16% | 2.72% |
| 单季度营业利润率 | 0.54% | 0.56% | 7.66% | 2.12% |
| 单季度ROA同比 | 0.49% | -1.16% | 13.02% | 3.93% |
| 20日特异度 | 0.48% | 0.95% | 0.35% | 0.31% |
| 对数市值 | 0.38% | 1.15% | 8.02% | -1.37% |
| 单季度ROE同比 | 0.37% | -1.67% | 19.87% | 4.44% |
| 单季度净利润率 | 0.33% | 0.36% | 10.74% | 2.57% |
| CFEV_TTM | 0.26% | 0.22% | -0.36% | 2.52% |
| 20日成交量比率 | 0.22% | 0.61% | -6.38% | -2.80% |
| 单季度营业收入同比增速 | -0.42% | 0.19% | 16.17% | 4.67% |
| 60日成交量比率 | -0.63% | -0.57% | -9.15% | -1.25% |
| 单季度EP | -0.53% | -1.48% | 8.05% | 1.82% |
| 盈余质量 | -0.62% | -1.36% | -1.91% | 1.27% |
| 60日换手率波动 | -0.74% | -0.74% | -6.95% | 2.91% |
| SP_TTM | -0.48% | -0.82% | -1.14% | -0.50% |
| 240日偏度 | -0.30% | -0.13% | 8.05% | 2.25% |
| 前十大股东持股比例 | -0.38% | -2.11% | 0.73% | 1.92% |
| 单季度CFEV | -0.39% | -1.03% | -3.49% | 1.92% |
| 240日三因子模型残差波动率 | -0.20% | 0.23% | -7.16% | 1.92% |
| 前五大股东持股比例 | -0.31% | -1.45% | -1.27% | 1.88% |
| 单季度SP | -0.43% | -0.77% | -0.94% | 1.00% |
| 60日换手率波动 | -0.56% | -1.09% | 0.71% | 2.39% |
| 20日换手率 | -0.63% | -1.18% | -11.93% | 1.93% |
| 60日反转 | -0.63% | -0.57% | -4.49% | -1.25% |
| 20日换手率波动 | -0.63% | -1.12% | -5.74% | 1.93% |
| 60日成交量比率 | -0.63% | -0.57% | -9.15% | -1.25% |
风险提示
本报告结果基于历史数据统计、建模和测算,存在因政策或市场环境变化导致模型失效的风险。
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