世界经济论坛-2025年全球合作晴雨表——第二版（英）-2025.1_31页_3mb

Summary of The Global Cooperation Barometer 2025 Second Edition

Context

The report analyzes global cooperation amid increasing political, geopolitical, and economic instability. It emphasizes the need for adaptive strategies to address challenges in areas like trade, technology, climate, health, and security, drawing on data from 41 indicators across five pillars. The context includes voter backlash against incumbents, rising conflicts, and technological advancements that risk fragmentation.

Findings by Pillar

Trade and Capital Flows

• Cooperation saw a slight decline due to reduced goods trade from China and developing economies, offset partially by growth in capital, services, and labor migration. Trade volumes recovered post-pandemic but face risks from geopolitical tensions, with uncertainty about future trends.

Innovation and Technology

• Digitization and generative AI advancements have boosted cooperation, but global fragmentation is hindering productivity gains. Metrics like IT services trade and data flows increased, though AI development is criticized for potential misuse and unequal benefits.

Climate and Natural Capital

• Cooperation improved modestly, driven by climate finance and low-carbon technology deployment, but remains insufficient to meet global goals. Emissions reductions are lagging, and finance flows are below required levels to achieve net-zero targets by 2030.

Health and Wellness

• Health outcomes like life expectancy continue to improve post-pandemic, but cross-border cooperation and assistance are declining. Metrics show stagnation in health R&D and trade, with risks from ongoing conflicts exacerbating health disparities.

Peace and Security

• Levels of peace and security deteriorated significantly, with increased fatalities, displaced populations, and conflicts. Multilateral cooperation weakened, and traditional mechanisms for conflict resolution are less effective in volatile geopolitical conditions.

Recommendations

• Leaders should adopt flexible cooperation models, embracing dynamic partnerships that adapt to instability. This includes practicing planned opportunism by quickly pivoting to emerging opportunities and redefining proximity to identify new partners in a fragmented world, fostering trust and delivering results.

Conclusion

Global cooperation is stagnant, with some areas showing decline due to geopolitical tensions and technological fragmentation. Urgent, adaptive strategies are needed to rebuild multilateral efforts and address critical challenges, ensuring progress toward global goals like sustainability and health.