20170504-瑞士信贷香港-Asia_Pacific_Equity_Strategy_19页_1mb
报告摘要
亚洲太平洋股市报告总结
核心内容
本报告分析了亚洲太平洋地区(不包括日本)及日本在报告季的表现,主要关注当前年度每股收益(EPS)的调整情况。报告指出,尽管部分公司出现下调,但整体趋势显示EPS的积极升级。
主要观点
-
亚洲太平洋(不包括日本)报告季表现良好:
- 截至目前,43%的公司已报告,当前年度EPS平均上调2.7%。
- 韩国是推动EPS上调的主要力量,其上调幅度达10.2%。
- 中国(MSCI)的EPS上调0.9%,新加坡、泰国和印度尼西亚分别上调0.7%、1.1%和1%。
- 亚洲太平洋的EPS上调幅度高于日本的1%。
-
行业表现:
- 周期性行业和金融业表现突出,EPS上调分别为3.6%和1.2%。
- 科技行业EPS上调显著,达到9.3%。
-
个别公司表现:
- 仅印度、菲律宾和台湾的部分公司出现EPS下调。
- 例如,印度的Tata Consultancy Services EPS下调3.2%,Reliance Industries下调2.1%,以及Infosys下调5.2%。
关键信息
亚洲太平洋(不包括日本)主要公司EPS调整情况
| 公司名称 | 市值(百万美元) | 当前年度EPS调整(%) | 当前股价(LC) | 评级 | 目标价(LC) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsung Electronics | 277,330 | 16.2% | 2,245,000 | Outperform | 2,900,000 |
| China Mobile | 218,010 | -0.5% | 82.85 | Outperform | 110.00 |
| China Construction Bank 'H' | 194,651 | 1.8% | 6.30 | Outperform | 7.90 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 170,910 | -2.9% | 198.00 | Outperform | 205.00 |
| Tata Consultancy Services | 71,714 | -3.2% | 2,337.30 | Neutral | 2,250.00 |
| Reliance Industries | 69,368 | -2.1% | 1,370.10 | Neutral | 1,360.00 |
| Australia & New Zealand Banking Group | 69,185 | -1.2% | 31.35 | Neutral | 31.00 |
| National Australia Bank | 66,543 | 0.8% | 33.09 | Outperform | 34.50 |
| Industrial & Commercial Bank of China 'H' | 56,552 | 1.2% | 5.07 | Outperform | 6.30 |
| BHP Billiton | 56,030 | 5.3% | 23.21 | Neutral | 26.50 |
日本报告季表现
| 公司名称 | 市值(百万美元) | 当前年度EPS调整(%) | 当前股价(LC) | 评级 | 目标价(LC) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTT Docomo Inc | 93,220 | -2.3% | 2,681 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Honda Motor | 52,261 | -0.2% | 3,235 | Neutral | 3,750 |
| Keyence | 49,605 | -0.3% | 45,740 | Neutral | 41,000 |
| Canon | 44,605 | 8.6% | 3,750 | Neutral | 3,300 |
| Sony | 43,425 | 3.0% | 3,853 | Outperform | 4,300 |
| Fanuc | 40,986 | 0.7% | 22,520 | Neutral | 21,000 |
| Seven & I Hldgs | 37,512 | -6.7% | 4,745 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Shin-Etsu Chemical | 36,987 | 2.9% | 9,598 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Nintendo | 35,825 | -0.2% | 28,355 | Neutral | 30,000 |
| East Japan Railway | 35,041 | -0.4% | 10,090 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Central Japan Railway | 34,235 | -1.0% | 18,635 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Denso | 34,226 | 0.9% | 4,833 | Neutral | 5,350 |
| Fast Retailing | 34,056 | -0.2% | 36,000 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Murata Manufacturing | 31,741 | -0.9% | 15,800 | Outperform | 18,200 |
| Mitsubishi Electric | 30,811 | -0.1% | 1,609 | Outperform | 2,200 |
| Astellas Pharma | 27,554 | -1.3% | 1,435 | Neutral | 1,600 |
| Nidec | 27,280 | 0.8% | 10,260 | Outperform | 1,800 |
| Kao | 27,052 | 1.9% | 6,128 | Outperform | 7,000 |
| Komatsu | 25,446 | -0.6% | 2,936 | Neutral | 2,600 |
| Itochu | 24,136 | 0.2% | 1,628 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Yahoo Japan | 23,772 | -1.9% | 468 | Outperform | 640 |
| Nomura Hldgs | 23,243 | 10.0% | 682 | Neutral | 795 |
| Kyocera | 21,957 | 5.8% | 6,520 | Neutral | 6,400 |
| Tokyo Electron | 21,799 | 13.6% | 14,795 | Neutral | 10,500 |
| Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal | 21,404 | -1.2% | 2,526 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Oriental Land | 21,177 | -2.7% | 6,529 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Chugai Pharm. | 20,040 | 0.4% | 4,015 | Outperform | 4,700 |
| Sharp | 18,487 | 118.3% | 416 | Underperform | 180 |
| Toyota Industries | 16,302 | 0.1% | 5,610 | Neutral | 5,800 |
| Aisin Seiki | 15,006 | 0.9% | 5,710 | Outperform | 6,500 |
| Shimano | 14,396 | -4.4% | 17,410 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Fujitsu | 13,973 | 6.6% | 757 | Neutral | 540 |
| Suntory Beverage & Food | 13,972 | 6.6% | 5,070 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Nitto Denko | 13,864 | -2.9% | 8,947 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Olympus | 13,630 | 1.7% | 4,460 | Outperform | 4,900 |
| Aeon | 13,060 | -12.6% | 1,680 | Not covered | n.a. |
| West Japan Railway | 12,805 | 0.6% | 7,411 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Daiwa Securities Group | 11,194 | 3.7% | 3,545 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Tokyo Gas | 10,675 | 2.8% | 520 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Japan Airlines | 10,413 | 0.7% | 3,301 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Daiwa | 10,410 | -0.5% | 687 | Neutral | 723 |
| JFE Holdings | 10,381 | -1.6% | 1,895 | Not covered | n.a. |
| Ana Holdings | 10,245 | -0.1% | 327 | Not covered | n.a. |
建议与展望
- 报告指出,尽管部分公司出现EPS下调,但整体市场表现积极,EPS上调幅度为2.7%,高于日本的1%。
- 建议投资者在市场回调时买入,因为亚洲太平洋(不包括日本)股市已上涨约17%。
- 当前市场具有良好的ROE基本面,是过去六年最佳表现之一。
展开完整摘要
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