世界银行-弥合差距:泰国的不平等与就业(英)-2023-93页_8mb
报告摘要
Income Inequality in Thailand: Analysis and Policy Recommendations
1. Introduction and Historical Trends
- Thailand has made significant progress in reducing income inequality over the past two decades, but inequality remains high, especially income and wealth concentration.
- In 2021, income inequality (Gini coefficient) reached 43.3% and wealth inequality soared to 74.2% for the top 10% share (highest among peer countries).
- Poverty declined significantly (from 42.3% in 2000 to 6.3% in 2021) but regional disparities persist, particularly in the South and Northeast.
2. Recent Developments (Post-COVID)
- The COVID-19 pandemic had a mild impact on inequality in Thailand, partly due to expanded social assistance.
- Social transfers reached 30 million people, but benefits were smaller for poorer households despite higher coverage.
- Fiscal policy reduced inequality by 8.9 points on the Gini index in 2019, outperforming many UMICs in cash transfers.
3. Structural Drivers of Inequality
- Education Gaps: Education inequality is the largest contributor to income disparity, with only 5% of poor youth completing tertiary education (compared to 52% for rich youth).
- Labor Market Issues: Less-educated workers are concentrated in low-productivity agriculture and informal employment, with 70% of low-educated workers in informal jobs.
- Geographic Disparities: Spatial inequality is evident, with Bangkok's GDP per capita being 6.5x higher than the Northeast, yet poverty remains higher in rural areas.
4. Fiscal Policy and Redistributive Measures
- Thailand's fiscal system is progressive, with the richest 10% contributing 3x more than the poorest in cash terms.
- Tax revenues are low (16% of GDP), with reliance on less progressive indirect taxes despite a progressive Personal Income Tax (PIT).
- Policy recommendations include strengthening social protection, improving tax collection, and increasing spending on health and education.
5. Policy Recommendations
- Short-term: Address learning losses, inflation, food insecurity, and household debt.
- Medium-term: Revitalize the economy through reskilling, education reform, and women's labor force participation.
- Long-term: Boost farm incomes through productivity, diversification, and market access. Promote equal opportunities in education and foundational skills.
6. Annex Overview
- The report includes detailed data sources, inequality decomposition, labor market trends, and references for further research.
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