国际能源署-通过分散的电力系统赋予乌克兰权力-乌克兰到2030年增加分布式能源使用的路线图（英）-2024-87页_6mb

The IEA report "Empowering Ukraine Through a Decentralised Electricity System" outlines a roadmap for Ukraine's power sector recovery, focusing on distributed energy resources (DERs) to address immediate and long-term energy challenges following Russia's invasion. Key findings include:

1. Urgent Power Needs: Ukraine's dispatchable power capacity is severely damaged (65% occupied/destroyed), leading to a projected 6GW winter deficit and insufficient system flexibility.

2. DER Solutions: DERs like solar PV, wind, batteries, and small gas turbines offer cost-effective, resilient alternatives to rebuilding centralized infrastructure. By 2030, Ukraine could deploy 24GW of solar, 11GW of wind, and 6GW of energy storage.

3. Cost-Effectiveness: DER deployment could reduce annual system costs by 5.6% through fuel savings and reduced imports, increasing to 6.3% with enhanced grid interconnection.

4. Policy Recommendations: Seven pillars include creating a decentralized vision, reforming electricity markets, enhancing system security, and enabling private investment.

5. Decarbonization Goals: DERs support Ukraine's 2030 National Energy and Climate Plan and 2050 Energy Strategy, aligning with European integration and net-zero targets.

6. Implementation Roadmap: Three phases (2024-2025 immediate, 2026-2027 scaling, 2028-2030 delivery) prioritize urgency and complexity, such as resilience integration and regulatory reforms.

This roadmap positions decentralization as both an immediate crisis response and a pathway to sustainable, equitable energy independence.