20231115-招银国际-Fixed_Income_Daily_Market_Update_6页_1mb
报告摘要
Fixed Income Credit Commentary Summary (15 November 2023)
Key Market Dynamics
- Asian IG credits tightened by 2-4bps with two-way flows; LG/FV/AT1 bonds saw better buying, while profit-taking was observed by noon.
- High-yield LG/FV perps active due to strong market sentiment; names like GZINFU'24 and property-related CPDEVs/ZHHFGRs chased by onshore RMs and moved 0-4 points higher, despite some profit-taking in weaker technicals.
- Chinese MAC-holdings like SJMHOLS rose after stronger-than-expected Q3 results; SOEs remained firm, with ICBCAS and CINDBK unchanged.
- In SEA, ADANEM'30/31 up on news of USD12bn tender offer; LNGFORs rose, while VNKRLEs fell slightly.
- Euro-zone GDP growth and US CPI data moderated expectations, keeping US yields stable; key yields for 2/5/10/30 ranged at 480%/442%/444%/461%.
Significant News and Analysis
- DALWAN: Media reports that Zhuhai Wanda Commercial Management's IPO investors rejected initial proposal to delay repayment; DWCM is exploring credit lines, potentially affecting ownership and operation capping.
- Chinese Properties: October contracted sales fell 50% mom for 34 developers, with yoy declines widening; government plans at least 1tn RMB low-cost funding for affordable housing, urban villages, and public infrastructure; supportive measures include LPR cuts and eased purchase restrictions expected soon.
- Offshore Asia New Issues: Jinan Rail Transit Group issued USD210mn 364-day bond at 6.7%; pipeline includes ABC London Branch bond.
Trading and Analyst Perspectives
- Chinese AT1s stable, AMC sector credits moved higher; TMTs like TENCENT/BABA unchanged amid mixed beta names.
- Analysts highlighted risks in Chinese real estate; state-owned developers likely to benefit from government support plans.
Risk Factors
- No significant profit-taking dampened market enthusiasm in some areas.
- Reports on onshore primary issuances and PPP project curbs from China.
Author Certification and Important Disclosures acknowledge independence and potential conflicts, with risks emphasized in securities transactions.
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