世界银行-印尼经济展望,2023年6月:新冠肺炎无形的学习代价(英)-2023.6-68页_6mb
报告摘要
INDONESIA ECONOMIC PROSPECTS JUNE 2023
Economic Update
- GDP Growth: Reached 5.3% in 2022 (highest in a decade), driven by private consumption and commodity exports. Growth is moderating in 2023.
- Inflation: Declined to 4% YoY in May 2023 but broadened its base.
- Fiscal Policy: Deficit reduced to 2.4% of GDP in 2022 under fiscal consolidation.
- Competitiveness: Focus on market-friendly reforms to boost productivity, with Indonesia poised to become a High-Income Country by 2045 if maintaining current growth patterns.
Learning Recovery
- Learning Losses: Grade 4 students lost 11.2 months in math and 10.8 months in language skills (2019 vs. 2023).
- Inequality: Poorer students, rural students, and girls experienced larger learning losses.
- Policy Recommendations:
- Prioritize catch-up learning through increased class hours or remedial lessons.
- Teach at appropriate levels using differentiated instruction.
- Target support for disadvantaged students, including those in rural areas and households facing economic hardship.
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