2021-09-15-牛津经济研究院-Finland_Growth_driven_by_domestic_demand_1页_110kb

报告摘要

GDP Growth: Revised up due to solid domestic demand; 2021 forecast increased to 3.3% from 3.1%, with 2022 expected at 2.4%. Q2 GDP growth was driven by household consumption and private fixed investment, but net exports dampened it.
Key Drivers: Domestic demand remains strong, while private investment and consumption support growth; however, post-reopening effects are fading, leading to slowing momentum.
Consumer Confidence: Fell from peak in June but still elevated historically; expected household consumption growth of 2.5% in 2021, with risks present.
Employment: Rate has recovered to pre-pandemic levels, with unemployment at 7.8% in July, slowing due to higher labor supply.
Fixed Investment: Q2 investment surged 1.3% due to private sector, pushing up imports and lowering net export contribution; revised forecasts reflect this strength.
Inflation: Stable at under 2% in July, mainly driven by low base and reopening surge; expected to remain controlled, with forecast 1.8% for 2021 and 1.6% for 2022.
Overall Outlook: Near-term growth solid, but slowdown anticipated in 2022; other indicators like industrial production and consumer prices show mixed but generally positive trends.