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Ericsson Mobility Report Summary

Core Content

The Ericsson Mobility Report provides insights into the growth of mobile subscriptions, data traffic, and the evolution of mobile networks towards 5G. It highlights the increasing adoption of mobile broadband, the role of 5G in the future, and the impact of various technologies on traffic patterns and user behavior.

Key Figures and Forecasts

• Mobile Subscriptions (2022 Forecast):

  • Worldwide mobile subscriptions: 8,900 million (CAGR: 2%)
  • Smartphone subscriptions: 6,800 million (CAGR: 10%)
  • Mobile PC, tablet, and router subscriptions: 320 million (CAGR: 4%)
  • Mobile broadband subscriptions: 8,000 million (CAGR: 10%)
  • LTE subscriptions: 4,600 million (CAGR: 20%)
  • 5G subscriptions: 550 million

• Data Traffic (2022 Forecast):

  • Total mobile data traffic: 69 EB/month (CAGR: 45%)
  • Data traffic per smartphone: 11 GB/month (CAGR: 35%)
  • Data traffic per mobile PC: 23 GB/month (CAGR: 20%)
  • Data traffic per tablet: 11 GB/month (CAGR: 20%)

• Regional Trends:

  • North America: 25% of mobile subscriptions will be 5G in 2022, with 25 GB of data traffic per smartphone.
  • Western Europe: 5% of mobile subscriptions will be 5G in 2022, with 2.7 GB of data traffic per smartphone.
  • Asia Pacific: 10% of mobile subscriptions will be 5G in 2022, with 9.5 GB of data traffic per smartphone.
  • Latin America: 9.6 GB of data traffic per smartphone in 2022.
  • Central and Eastern Europe: LTE subscriptions are expected to increase from 10% to 70% of all mobile subscriptions by 2022.
  • Middle East and Africa: Expected to shift to 80% WCDMA/HSPA and LTE subscriptions by 2022.

Main Points and Trends

• Mobile Subscriptions Growth:

  • Mobile subscriptions are growing at around 3% year-on-year globally.
  • By 2022, mobile broadband subscriptions will account for 90% of all mobile subscriptions.
  • Smartphone subscriptions now make up 55% of all mobile subscriptions, with this percentage expected to increase to 95% by 2022.

• Data Traffic Growth:

  • Total mobile data traffic is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 45% from 2016 to 2022.
  • Smartphone traffic is expected to increase by 10 times, making it the dominant contributor to mobile data traffic.

• VoLTE Adoption:

  • VoLTE is becoming mainstream, with over 200 million subscriptions by the end of 2016.
  • By 2022, VoLTE is expected to reach 3.3 billion subscriptions, making up over 60% of LTE subscriptions globally.
  • In North America, 90% of LTE subscriptions are expected to use VoLTE by 2022.

• 5G Development:

  • Commercial 5G networks based on ITU standards are expected to be available in 2020, with 550 million subscriptions by the end of 2022.
  • 5G will enable new IoT use cases and provide enhanced mobile broadband services.

• Network Evolution:

  • LTE networks are evolving with higher speeds and new functionalities, such as LTE-Advanced (LTE-A) with peak downlink speeds of 1 Gbps.
  • LTE-A enhancements include carrier aggregation, higher order modulation, and 4x4 MIMO, which increase data speeds and network capacity.

Key Contributors and Tools

• The report includes five feature articles, focusing on topics such as time-to-content, live streaming, IoT, and network performance.
• The Traffic Exploration Tool allows users to create custom graphs and analyze data by region, subscription, technology, and device type.
• The report is compiled by a team of experts including Patrik Cerwall, Anette Lundvall, and others.

Methodology and Glossary

• The report provides a detailed methodology section and a glossary to explain key terms.
• It includes regional appendices for further insights into specific markets.

Conclusion

The Ericsson Mobility Report outlines a significant shift in the mobile landscape, emphasizing the growth of mobile broadband, the rise of 5G, and the increasing importance of IoT. It highlights the global trends in subscription growth, data traffic, and network advancements, offering valuable insights for industry stakeholders and researchers.