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Ericsson Mobility Report Summary

Core Content

The Ericsson Mobility Report provides an overview of the evolution of mobile subscriptions and traffic across the globe, focusing on the growth of mobile broadband, the rise of 5G, and the increasing role of the Internet of Things (IoT). It also highlights the trends in data consumption, the adoption of VoLTE, and the development of mobile networks towards higher speeds and capabilities.

Key Figures

• Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) devices not included
  ** Active devices

Key Trends

• Mobile Subscriptions Growth: Global mobile subscriptions are expected to grow to 8.9 billion by 2022, with mobile broadband subscriptions making up 90% of all mobile subscriptions. By 2022, there will be 550 million 5G subscriptions, with 25% of all North American subscriptions expected to be 5G.
• Smartphone Dominance: Smartphones account for 55% of all mobile subscriptions, and this share is expected to grow to 6.8 billion by 2022.
• VoLTE Adoption: VoLTE is becoming mainstream, with over 200 million subscriptions by the end of 2016 and an expected 3.3 billion by 2022. In some regions like North America and Japan, over 90% of LTE subscriptions are expected to use VoLTE by 2022.
• Data Traffic Growth: Mobile data traffic is expected to grow at a CAGR of 45% from 2016 to 2022, reaching 69 EB/month by 2022. North America will have the highest monthly data traffic per smartphone at 25 GB, while Asia Pacific is projected to have the highest total mobile data traffic.

Regional Outlook

• Asia Pacific: Expected to have the largest share of mobile data traffic by 2022. China alone is projected to add 440 million mobile broadband subscriptions between 2016 and 2022. However, mobile broadband maturity varies significantly across the region.
• CEMA (Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa): Will experience a twelvefold increase in mobile data traffic by 2022, driven by smartphone growth and data-intensive applications.
• Western Europe and North America: These regions have high penetration of LTE and WCDMA/HSPA, with a significant share of mobile broadband subscriptions. North America is expected to have the highest share of LTE subscriptions, while Western Europe will see a 5% share of 5G subscriptions by 2022.
• Latin America: LTE subscriptions are expected to increase from 10% in 2016 to 70% by 2022.

Traffic by Application Category

• Mobile Video Traffic: Is forecast to dominate, growing at around 50% annually to account for nearly 3 quarters of all mobile data traffic by 2022. YouTube remains the leading source of video traffic, with a share of 40-70% in most networks.
• Social Networking: Expected to grow by 39% annually but will see a decline in its relative share of traffic due to the stronger growth in video content.
• Other Applications: Include web browsing, audio, file sharing, and real-time communications, with varying growth rates. Software updates and file sharing are increasing in traffic share.

Network Development

• LTE Networks: Achieve peak downlink speeds of 1 Gbps, with LTE-Advanced (LTE-A) enhancements such as carrier aggregation, higher order modulation, and 4x4 MIMO improving data rates and network capacity.
• 5G Networks: Expected to start in metropolitan and urban areas by 2020, with 10% population coverage by 2022. 5G will enable a wide range of IoT use cases and support new service innovations.

Methodology and Additional Resources

• The report includes detailed methodology and glossary for understanding the data and trends.
• The Traffic Exploration Tool allows users to create custom graphs and analyze data by region, subscription, technology, and device type.
• Additional regional reports are available on the Ericsson website.

Conclusion

The Ericsson Mobility Report highlights the rapid evolution of mobile subscriptions and data traffic, emphasizing the increasing role of smartphones, the growth of 5G and IoT, and the continued expansion of LTE networks. It provides a comprehensive view of global and regional trends, supported by detailed data and forecasts.