2025-06-29-世界银行-2031财年菲律宾国家伙伴关系框架（英）_48页_1mb

Philippines Country Partnership Framework (CPF) Summary

Introduction

The Philippines is a lower-middle-income country (LMIC) with strong growth that has helped reduce poverty. GNI per capita tripled from 2004 to 2023, but income growth remains stagnant, making UMIC goals challenging. The economy remains concentrated on services, faces high climate, disaster, and human capital vulnerabilities. The World Bank Group (WBG) deepened ties with government partners, increasing lending from $377m to $2.85 billion annually in recent years.

Key Development Priorities

• Country Context: The Philippines has a young, urbanizing population with key challenges including human capital gaps, spatial inequalities, high disaster risk, 74% of the population exposed to hazards, and limited competitiveness.
• Economic Outlook: Growth slowed due to the pandemic but moderately accelerated post-pandemic. GDP is projected to grow at 5.3% in 2025, and the country is targeting a middle-class economy by 2040–2050.
• CPF Objectives (2025–2031) The CPF focuses three outcome areas:
  • Improved Access to Quality Health and Education: Aims to reach 19 million people with quality services and 15 million students with better education outcomes by 2031.
  • More Private Sector Jobs: Creates 4 million new jobs, boosts broadband access to 19.3 million users, and mobilizes $2 billion in private capital.
  • Stronger Socioeconomic Resilience: Provides 14.5 million social safety net beneficiaries and enhances resilience to climate risks.

CPF Outline

• Selectivity: Prioritizes alignment with the government's national development plan, human capital strengthening, private sector job creation, and disaster risk management.
• Cross-Cutting Priorities: Includes digital infrastructure, fiscal reforms, resilient public sector capacity, and equitable growth.
• Total Financing: Estimated $22–23 billion over six years. IBRD lending is targeted at $2.85 billion in 2025, expanding through 2031. IFC investments are also ramping up across multiple sectors.

Implementation

• Partnerships: Collaborates with development partners (ADB, UNICEF, FAO), civil society, and private sector actors.
• One WBG Approach: Leverages IBRD/IFC/MIGA coordination, especially for renewable energy, private sector risk mitigation, and digital infrastructure.
• Knowledge and Capacity Building: Provides technical assistance to governments and LGUs to improve service delivery, procurement, and human capital outcomes.
• Monitoring and Evaluation: Utilizes the WBG Scorecard to track progress on key outcomes, including gender, regional, and beneficiary disbursements.

Risk Management

• **implemented through 2025–2031 align with global strategies like climate resilient infrastructure and human capital enhancement.
  Main risks include political uncertainty ahead of 2028 elections, economic vulnerabilities (trade uncertainty, capital flight), and implementation challenges due to weak LGU capacity.