2022-08-17-ISERS-2022年东南亚报告（EN）_60页_4mb

The State of Southeast Asia 2022 Survey Summary

Introduction

This survey investigates perceptions and attitudes in Southeast Asia regarding geopolitics, regional developments, and major powers. The survey, involving 1,677 respondents from ten ASEAN countries, was conducted primarily online from November 2021. Respondents were primarily academics, government officials, and others involved in policy and research. The purpose is to capture current sentiments on issues affecting Southeast Asia rather than provide definitive views.

Key Findings

• Top Concerns: COVID-19 remains the primary worry (75.4%), surpassing unemployment/economic recession (49.8%) and climate change (37.0%) as the most pressing issues in Southeast Asia.

• Perceptions of ASEAN: Southeast Asians view ASEAN as slow and ineffective (70.1%), with 61.5% concerned over its ability to handle regional developments and 49.0% worried about pandemic challenges. Government performance in COVID-19 management is mixed, with slight declines in approval ratings compared to 2021.

• Country-Specific Insights: Views vary by country. For instance, Myanmar had higher concerns about ASEAN unity due to its internal crisis, while Vietnam and the Philippines prioritized climate change more.

• Major Powers Influence: China is perceived as a major influence (highly trusted or distrusted), with questions on the rise (e.g., 46.8% welcome its economic growth). The US-China rivalry impacts regional trust; opinions on strategic partnerships show preferences for the EU and Japan, but divided views on US-China rivalry.

• Environmental and Climate Issues: Climate change is seen as an immediate threat by 50.3% of respondents. 49.6% of Southeast Asians distrust China about economic dominance and interference in domestic affairs.

• Soft Power and Education: The US is the top choice for tertiary education (25.6%), followed by the EU and UK. For travel, Japan is the most popular destination (22.8%), reflecting personal preferences for cultural experiences.

Overall Assessment

Southeast Asia faces multiple challenges, with health and economic concerns dominating. ASEAN's role is under question, and major power dynamics influence policy perceptions. North of 50% of respondents view China with varying trust, while other countries like Japan and the US are favored for soft power, with trend shifts due to the political and economic environment.