【德安华】2024年秋季全球金融机构行业并购交易报告_20页_2mb
报告摘要
Financial Institutions Group M&A Industry Insights - Autumn 2024
Executive Summary
- North America was the most active region for financial institution transactions, with over 1,400 deals observed in the last 12 months (LTM).
- The global financial institutions market is projected to grow from USD 25.5 trillion in 2022 to USD 58.7 trillion by 2031, at a CAGR of 9.7%.
- APAC recorded the highest average price-to-book (P/B) multiples, reaching 2.9x, while Europe and North America had 2.3x and 1.3x respectively.
- The deal value recorded year-to-date (YTD) in 2024 increased by 24% compared to the same period last year.
- M&A remains a key strategy for financial institutions due to the challenges of organic growth in the current macroeconomic environment.
- The M&A market is expected to increase in deal flow as borrowing costs decrease and more interest rate cuts are anticipated.
Market Trends and Investor Sentiment
- Central banks are beginning to lower fund rates, with Japan tightening its monetary policy.
- U.S. financial firms have struggled to match the performance of the S&P 500, which was boosted by rate cut optimism.
- European financial firms have outperformed the broader market, showing resilience despite macroeconomic uncertainty.
- Volatility is expected in the U.S. financial markets ahead of the November election.
M&A Activity by Region
- North America led in deal count, with 1,461 transactions in the LTM.
- APAC had the highest P/B multiples, driven by a few high-profile acquisitions.
- Europe showed a mix of performance, with some quarters experiencing higher multiples than others.
Key M&A Sectors
- Banking and capital markets remain dominant in M&A activity.
- Insurance is focusing on digital transformation to enhance growth and efficiency.
- Fintech is seeing strategic consolidations and technology integration, particularly in AI.
- Asset and wealth management firms are exploring new asset classes and strategic partnerships to expand their market share.
Strategic and Financial Investors
- Top financial investors include Sequoia, Antler, BainCapital, KKR, and TA.
- Strategic investors such as Inszone Services, Hub, Gallagher, and BrokerLink are also active in the market.
M&A Market Outlook
- The financial services M&A market is expected to become a tech-enabled ecosystem.
- Consolidation among mega banks and fintech companies is anticipated in the coming years.
- Interest rate cuts are expected to continue, providing favorable conditions for M&A activity.
- Intelligent safety systems, AI, and new product launches are expected to drive future growth.
Recent Transactions
- Notable deals include Capital One's acquisition of Discover Financial (€32.7 bn), CDR & Stone Capital's acquisition of Trust Insurance (€11.6 bn), and Aon's acquisition of NFP Corp. (€11.5 bn).
Public Trading Analysis
- Banks show varying P/B and EV/Revenue multiples.
- Financial services and insurance subsectors are also analyzed for their valuation trends, with EV/EBITDA and P/E multiples highlighted.
Contact Information
- Jonathan Jacobs (New York): +1 212 871 8013, jonathan jacobs@kroll.com
- Rebecca Nelson (Chicago): +13126974731, rebecca.nelson@kroll.com
- Alexander Kessler (Frankfurt): +49 151 7060 9210, alexander.kessler@kroll.com
- David Liu (Hong Kong): +852 2884 7707, david.liu@kroll.com
- Joanna Bartecki (Frankfurt): +4969247526732, joanna.bartecki@kroll.com
- Jan Hortebusch (Frankfurt): +49 151 2351 3230, jan.hortebusch@kroll.com
- David Blowers (Chicago): +13126974996, david.blowers@kroll.com
- Michael H. Dolan (New York): +12128715995, michael.dolan@kroll.com
- Andreas Stoecklin (Frankfurt): +49697191840, andreas.stoecklin@kroll.com
About Kroll
- Kroll is a leading independent provider of risk and financial advisory solutions.
- The firm offers a range of services including M&A advisory, capital raising, and secondary market advisory.
- Services are provided by different entities in various regions, such as Kroll Securities, LLC in the U.S. and Kroll Securities Ltd. in the U.K.
- Kroll does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of data from third-party sources.
Disclaimer
- This report is for informational purposes only.
- It is not intended to be relied upon as professional advice.
- Kroll does not guarantee the accuracy of any data provided from third-party resources.
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